JotCast | Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat

Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 5/20/2019

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Dan Szymborski

12:17

Roberto Beers

12:17

randplaty

12:17

If two teams have the exact same wOBA, but one is balanced between ISO and OBP but the other team is almost all ISO. Does the first team score more runs than the second? Or does it not matter? Does balance between ISO and OBP matter?

Dan Szymborski

12:17

Doesn't really matter

Jim Leyland Palmer

12:17

Dan, you buying into a Zach Wheeler turn around?

Dan Szymborski

12:18

Yes

Jim Leyland Palmer

12:18

In fantasy terms, how would you value Cutch & Hicks?

Dan Szymborski

12:18

It depends on how risk-averse you are. Cutch is safer, but Hicks has more upside. Depends on your team.

Jerry

12:18

Is this the end of Joey Votto? Outside of a BABIP that's 90 points off his career mark, there aren't a lot of redeeming qualities on his numbers or peripherals. (I hope it isn't)

Dan Szymborski

12:18

I think the BA/OBP will get up there but I suspect the power isn't coming back this time.

Dystopian Future

12:18

Your article on the Giants brought up the more interesting failure of the Rockies to date. Part of it is the regression monster (Freeland), but the collapse of Jon Gray has been confusing. In 2018's first half he had that awful ERA with good peripherals, but in the second half his peripherals worsened to match the ERA. This year he's managed to be worse (his BB% has gone way up and he's given up even MORE hard contact). Is this all he's ever going to be or is there a route to success for him still?

Dan Szymborski

12:19

I should note that Gray's ERA isn't even *bad* - he has the ERA+ of a 2/3 starter.

He's someone who may benefit for a different environment

black wolf

12:19

Dan: my late uncle was a big chess fan. Before he died, he turned me on to a chess web site called agadmator. Do you like his analysis?

Dan Szymborski

12:19

Honestly, I've been mostly out of chess following for a number of years.

12:20

And I get too on-tilt to be a good chess player

Mathews

12:20

Oscar Mercado- given Cleveland horrible outfield situation do you believe he will get enough playing time to steal 20 bags. In you opinion. What % of FAAB budget would you spend on him?

Dan Szymborski

12:20

He ought to, but I don't know what Cleveland's doing with the outfield.

tb.25

12:20

Just gonna leave this here...

On May 20, 1873 @LEVIS invented the blue jean. Celebrate with Lou Seal in the jean that started it all. 👖 #501Day bit.ly/2LGR8Rb

lee

12:20

Are there particular types of players or evolutions to the game that break ZIPS in certain ways?

Dan Szymborski

12:20

Well, injured players for one

12:21

It'd be nice if there was specific groups for which ZiPS displayed systemic issues. It would make it easier to improve

Sean

12:22

How much variance is there in player projections, e.g. the gap between the floor and ceiling? Is it pretty similar across most players or is there a lot of variance/volatility?

Dan Szymborski

12:22

Lot of variance

Some guys have very short resumés

My name is Judge...

12:24

how long will the following statement remain true?
The only teams to never go to the playoffs in back to back seasons are the Chicago White Sox and Miami Marlins.

Will be it because the White Sox break the streak? the marlins break the streak? or expansion?

Dan Szymborski

12:24

White Sox

976

12:24

Hey Dan, it's me, your son from Jacksonville.

Dan Szymborski

12:24

DON'T HAVE A SON

Brood550

12:24

Cease pitched on the 17th. That would be 3-days rest. And against the Astros of all teams. Was sure he was not getting the call this time.

Dan Szymborski

12:24

Oh, I thoguht he started on Wednesday

LFC Mike

12:24

not for the board.. but is that Jacksonville, Fla?..that is my hometown

Dan Szymborski

12:25

Yeah, my dad's sister.

Oh, sorry

My dad died when I was still a teenager and we didn't know his side of the family all that well - he was much younger than his siblings.

12:26

My dad's siblings are both in their 80s. Dad would have been 70 this year.

Zach

12:26

Is Ryan McMahon close enough to being a lousy player in his 30s to get many ABs moving forward?

Dan Szymborski

12:26

He may have to go elsewhere before the Rockies sign him back.

Chechen Warlord

12:26

Hello Dan. We received your name from Kiley McDaniel, who has refused our demands to name and describe 7 zebras at different zoos across the United States. Will you name these zebras and provide entertaining anecdotes about each? If not, Kiley dies.

Dan Szymborski

12:26

Rick the Zebra (Cincinnati Zoo) is an angry atheist.

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