JotCast | Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat

Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 5/20/2019

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Dan Szymborski

12:27

Arbez the Zebra (Baltimore Zoo) dreams of being a regular horse.

12:28

Zebulon, Zebrassiere, and Z-Horse (different zoos) are in a tontine together.

Z-Dice escaped the Miami zoo and with the help of hair dye, is hiding as an American flag.

12:29

Blutpferd in Zoo Berlin is fed the sedated bodies of German children who misbehave.

Can Kiley live now?

Zach

12:29

Will the Astros ever give Josh James a chance to start?

Dan Szymborski

12:30

Yes

Matt

12:30

Regarding spinach and arugal: Did you mean to say "either" or is it in the very specific situation where they're combined that they must be raw?

Dan Szymborski

12:30

Either. Most vegetables I will only eat raw

Billy Beane

12:30

Hey Dan, has there ever been a player projection that made you convinced ZiPS was broken, and you spend a bunch of time trying to figure out why and it turns out that their 'correct' projection was just wya higher or lower than you thought?

Dan Szymborski

12:31

Well, there was a the time I must have hit an extra 8 and Jose Molina was projected to have a 1.200 SLG

12:32

Also, I messed up something with a team record when running team projections last night. I put the Marlins as having a record of 113-31, so they had surprisingly high probability of making the playoffs

Sean

12:32

Dan, thanks for answering the question regarding player variance. Would it be possible to create and publish how volatile a player is? For instance, you have two players with a 110 wRC+ projection, but one has a huge range of outcomes but the other has a much narrower range. The first one would rate highly in volatility while the second would rate low.

Dan Szymborski

12:32

I've tried -- and have struggled -- with a way to make it easy to understand for the layman.

I'm not always just hoarding projection stuff. I really want to offer stuff that people can understand and use in a practical fashion

Chech-fil-A

12:32

Our Chechen sandwiches are the envy of the world. Would you like one, Dan? Sadly, you cannot have one.

Joe

12:33

Do you ZIPS NCAA guys? Curious if a projection system would find Rutschman as exciting a cornerstone of the next good Orioles team as the scouting/hype hints at?

Dan Szymborski

12:33

I only do when I'm forced to. It' ssomething for me to review long term

Bort

12:33

A Jon Gray for Brandon Belt trade would be interesting, wouldn't it? I mean, yeah, Daniel Murphy's in the way there, but if he wasn't....

Dan Szymborski

12:33

If the Rockies can't completely commit at this point to throwing in the towel on Desmond after 2 1/4 years of sucking, a player who never should have been signed by them in the first place, they're not going to give up on Murphy, an actual good signing of a player that was injured

jkim

12:33

Also it's crazy that the best lefty on the Dodgers now may be Hyun Jin Ryu

Trent

12:34

Rick the Zebra was not always an angry atheist. It was his sampling Cincinnati chili that ruined his erstwhile faith and amicability.

Dan Szymborski

12:34

True. Cincinnati chili does make one believe that there is no god.

Matt

12:34

Dan, we don't care about your opinions on Zebras. Stick to chili. At least you're well informed about that wrong opinion.

Dan Szymborski

12:34

LIVES WERE AT STAKE

Big Money Benny

12:34

Think Mallex Smith turns it around this year? Another guy that has been brutal to start.

Dan Szymborski

12:34

I still believe in him.

12:34

If you were marrying a woman named Danica Szymbobski, would you hyphenate your last name or leave it as is?

Dan Szymborski

12:35

After all this training to get people to spell my name correctly?

Thomas

12:37

Did Maddon have a legitimate complaint about Doolittle? And even if he did, do you think the decision to raise the issue was motivated more by gamesmanship than by actually protecting the interests of his players?

Dan Szymborski

12:37

I think he does given the Edwards precedent.

12:38

I think MLB is too strict with deliveries

I like a little deception!

Dave

12:38

Do you think Adbert Alzolay comes to the bigs this year?

Dan Szymborski

12:38

I think he could apepar down the stretch