Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 5/31/17
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Dan Szymborski
2:29
But Rizzo was amazing last year and I'd find voting for based on "April, May, June performance, but far more heavily weighted to April than June" Team to be a pointless exercise.
2:31
Rizzo is at 289/380/532, a 145 OPS+, over the last calendar year. If we go strictly by performance, how could anything be much dumber than a game that rewards an arbitrary cross-section of early-season performance.
2:32
The All-Star Game can't even properly honor first-half performance if that's all you go buy. April performance would be weighted far more heavily because the ballots are a combination of April ballots, April/May ballots, and April/May/June ballots
Woudl I take Goldschmidt over Rizzo? I would. But it's not crazy to vote for Rizzo.
Justin Smoak
2:33
Am I real, or have I been possessed by the thing from Twin Peaks?
Dan Szymborski
2:33
Trust Smoak a little more in one of his good spells than usual, but he's had good runs that have people declaring him having turned the corner before
Dylan
2:34
Is Dan Straily actually really good?
Dan Szymborski
2:34
I wouldn't say that.
Rusty
2:35
What is the trust level in Tyson Ross being a difference maker in Texas this year?
Dan Szymborski
2:35
None.
YKnotDisco?!
2:36
Serious question, I'm not trolling. If the Angels can talk Salmon outta retirement, should they trade for Pollock and move Trout to LF?
Dan Szymborski
2:36
heh
Jose Berrios
2:36
Am I a top 20 SP next year?
Dan Szymborski
2:36
I like Berrios, but that's a bit aggressive
Matt
2:36
What does Yonder Alonso's next contract look like? And does he get traded at the deadline? Who might be the buyer?
Dan Szymborski
2:36
Too much uncertainty to say now. He's certainly raised it a lot
Robert
2:36
If ZiPS had Ray 10th in pitcher WAR remaining coming into the season, and he's been great to start the year, are you saying you view him as a top 10 pitcher?
Dan Szymborski
2:36
That's career.
2:37
It had him 24th in WAR for 2017.
Los
2:37
Let’s say you estimate a player’s true talent (preseason) at 100 wRC+. Is ZiPS more like to believe a change in true talent if he runs a 50wRC+ for 3 months or a 150wRC+. Obviously the new estimate will be regressed heavily but which direction is a change easier to be identified.
Dan Szymborski
2:37
Depends on where it comes from
JeFF
2:37
why is quintana now considered " meh " goods, and Lester is considered elite Ace when they have identical stat lines this year when you throw out ERA? Lester 65IP 64H 23BB 67K in the NL, and Quintana 64IP 66H 24BB 64K's in the AL? not to mention Q is 5 yrs younger and $70mil cheaper. in your opinion should Hahn come down on his ask price?
Dan Szymborski
2:38
I haven't had a lot of excitement about Lester right now.
And yes, Hahn should come down on his price.
he can't trade Quintana at the price he wants.
And Quintana's not much value as a player
(To the White Sox)
Tom
2:39
best buy-low you'd be going hard after right now?
Dan Szymborski
2:39
Kluber
...
2:39
Manny Machado's average launch angle was actually higher last year. 14.6 degrees to 13.1 degrees. not a huge difference though
Dan Szymborski
2:39
Thanks
That's why I like data. I watch and attend a billion baseball games. But data collects information of this type far better than human brains though.
baby bull
2:39
do they Marlins run a profit every year? Any idea what percentage of gross income? I cant see anyone wanting to buy a franchise with 0 fans unless they are moving it to a different state
Dan Szymborski
2:40
I'd be surprised if they didn't typically have a modest income.
MLB finances are a bit complex, it dpeends on what you're counting
History
2:40
Which US president would make the best DH? SP?
Dan Szymborski
2:40
Taft a good DH
2:41
Did H.W. Bush play first base for Yale?
2:43
I don't know if Gerald Ford played baseball but he was a significantly good athlete in football and he'd bea gainst presidents, not baeball players
Zach
2:43
After a god awful start in AAA, Austin Meadows seems to have turned a corner this past month and is on an absolute tear. With Marte's suspension still a ways to go, should I be grabbing Meadows in fantasy?
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