JotCast | Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 5/25/23

Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 5/25/23

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Dan Szymborski

12:10

but I tend to like the uniforms if they look good and have some connection to the team and not just the city

Some of them are just uninteresting

and some just cram too much stuff into them

and they end up like this

12:11

I think Braves have the best City Connect so far

12:12

A lot of it ends up being like

12:13

Hey, let's put a ocelot on the jersey. Random? Well, if you were a TRUE fan of this city you would know Dali visited this city once in 1951

cool

1

Lucas

12:13

Who wins the AL East and can they send four teams to the playoffs?

Dan Szymborski

12:13

They can and they may. Money's still on the Rays

Sodo Mojo

12:14

Is Bryce Miller for Robbie Ray an upgrade ROS or is he going to crash to earth soon?

Dan Szymborski

12:14

I mean, Ray's not throwing any more injuries...

Rip Calkin

12:15

If you're the O's, do you mess with success by trying to work in Cowser/Westburg/Ortiz (more than to date)? Or do you let things ride as long as the winning continues? Elias has been fairly dogmatic in his commitment to the long-term so far, but seems caught in a dilemma now.

Dan Szymborski

12:15

You always mess with success

When you don't mess with success, you're chasing yesterday's victories again

Oh Oh Oh O'rioles

12:18

Are we nearing Westburg time? Gunnar and Mateo have been pretty meh, as has 2B.

Dan Szymborski

12:18

Hopefully he won't displace Gunnar

cool

1

Didace

12:18

So, you like City Connect that looks just like old uniforms?

Dan Szymborski

12:18

No, but I do want to see some kind if unifying element

Wes

12:18

Do the 10 people in this chat making the A's pitching staff have to audition or is it more of a dibs system? I'll call dibs now just in case.

Dan Szymborski

12:19

It's whoever's willing to work for fame, I think

Justin

12:19

If you could own any piece of baseball memorabilia what would it be?

Dan Szymborski

12:19

I'd like to get a ball from the first game I have memory of, a Mike Boddicker start against the Red Sox

Thought Experiment

12:19

If MLB were to expand, how do you think the expansion process would work? Would there be an expansion draft and a major league team playing right away, or would a new organization be allowed to spend a couple years building up a farm system before fielding a big league roster?

Dan Szymborski

12:19

The latter, like with Arizona/TBV

TV

TB

Cave Dameron

12:19

How chunky do you like your peanut butter?

Dan Szymborski

12:19

Very

Sadtrombone

12:20

It seems like ZiPS still thinks the A’s have an above-replacement team going forward. Is the only way to change its mind jettisoning the vets off the roster? Or is it just against the nature of ZiPS to project above replacement performance?

Dan Szymborski

12:20

Replacement level is REALLY bad

12:21

and the teams that lose the least and the teams that win the most are the least likely to be in close approximation of their median outcomes

Kinda like how MOST lottery winners are having a lucky day

Nobody has the MEAN outlook of winning the lottery, but lottery winners exist

12:22

Teams that win 45 games are far more likely to be unfortunate 50-win teams than fortunate 40-win ones

A .350 hitter is more likely to be a fortunate .320 hitter, not an unlucky .380 one

Syndergaardengnomes

12:22

Why are the Mets so reluctant to just plugging Vientos in at DH and moving on to other issues? Yes, he will strike out. He will also likely outhit Vogelbach and Pham...

Dan Szymborski

12:22

There's a real vein of conservatism in a lot of their decision making

I draw my sword at thee, Mercutio

12:22

Any update on our feline friends?

Dan Szymborski

12:24

Justinian is asleep on the top of the PC

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