JotCast | Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat

Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 6/15/23

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Dan Szymborski

12:33

I mentioned the Messiaen recently a couple times. Maybe here?

Turanga Lila in Futurama is an intentional reference from Groening

12:36

222/321/276

B Snit’s Bongos

12:36

Who will make the most starts in 2023? deGrom, Rodon, or Fried?

Dan Szymborski

12:36

I mean it's not going to be degrom

12:37

Though I guess it's technically possible if fried and rodon were out for the season

but the Braves have been pretty adamant, unless there's been a very recent development I've missed, that Fried's UCL isn't damaged

so him

B Snit’s Bongos

12:37

If you could pick only one MiLB player most deserving of a callup TODAY, who would it be?

Dan Szymborski

12:37

CES

Guest

12:39

what percentile of his preseason projections is Carroll at right now? 98?

Dan Szymborski

12:39

Percentile 2B HR BA OBP SLG OPS+ WAR 95% 35 26 .313 .400 .550 154 7.0 90% 32 24 .301 .386 .522 144 6.3 80% 30 21 .286 .370 .495 132 5.4 70% 27 19 .274 .360 .471 124 4.9 60% 25 17 .261 .351 .448 116 4.3 50% 23 16 .253 .341 .428 110 3.9 40% 21 15 .243 .335 .413 103 3.4 30% 20 13 .233 .325 .394 96 2.8 20% 18 12 .223 .312 .371 87 2.2 10% 15 10 .206 .298 .348 75 1.3 5% 13 9 .192 .279 .319 69 0.7

gdu

gdi

This was entering the season

12:40

His OPS+ is about 170

but it's in half a season, so more likely than over a full season

so I'd guess somewhere between 90-95

Cat

12:40

How cat?

Dan Szymborski

12:40

Last I saw, Mercutio was hanging around on the cat tree in the upstairs tv room

12:41

while the three black cats were asleep in different places in the living room

They're all exhausted because we had fishing pole time.

12:42

THIS had been one of the most successful cat fishing toys

https://www.walmart.com/ip/Cat-Toys-Interactive-Feather-Wand-Kitten-Re...

It's got fishing line instead of the elastic line, which is good because the catlets will bite through the black elastic cords

12:43

and it's really long so I can launch the toy a long way without my hand getting absolutely mauled

because Constantine and Justinian will fly around the living room like nutballs

Cassiopeia less so, but it still tires her out because she's lazy

BCB

12:43

Do you think it's okay that we allow narratives and emotions to shape MVP talk? To me it adds more flavor to baseball history when you look back at MVP races and see generally what was going through the collective baseball consciousness at that time, but I understand if others disagree

Dan Szymborski

12:43

I'm really torn on the whole thing

I don't mind it being part of the argument

12:44

But I think awards are the most deserving when they go to the best

and when you bring in narratives and emotions, it ends up basically with treating players in an arbitrary fashion

12:45

I tend to think there's something extremely arrogant about judging players based on intangible qualities

SneakyCat

12:45

If I change my name mid chat does the software still recognize me as the same person? Trying to maximize my Dan engagement