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Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 6/29/17
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AvatarDan Szymborski
2:49
Goldschmidt, Seager, Votto, Harper, Rendon, Turner, Arenado or something like that
ot long enough to winnow down the field
Zimmerman will probably get more support than he deserves
Slim Charles
2:49
Do you agree with Eno's assessment that Judge will never be able to substantially improve his K%? George Springer and Kris Bryant are two guys who had similar contact profiles in the minors and who have continued to improve their contact rates well into their 20s in the majors.
AvatarDan Szymborski
2:49
Did he actually say never?
2:50
I would never say never, but it's still pretty hard to fundamentally change who you are
I expect some gradual improements though
TeamNameRedacted
2:50
I'm more excited for the futures game than the all-star game. Let's see Kyle Tucker hit a bomb off Domingo Acevedo
AvatarDan Szymborski
2:50
The main All-Star Game kinda bores me.
The matchups aren't special with interleague play and free agency
And it's not really played like a real game.
Reginald
2:51
What do you think is Judge
AvatarDan Szymborski
2:51
He's that guy on the Yankees who murders baseballs with tree chunks.
Reginald
2:51
What do you think is Judge's true talent batting average?
AvatarDan Szymborski
2:51
Probably around .270.
CamdenWarehouse
2:51
The Orioles are not going to rebuild despite it being the correct thing to do, right?
AvatarDan Szymborski
2:52
I suspect you are accurate.
Slapshot
2:52
Is it time to pour one out for the career of Bartolo Colon, who was DFA'd by the Braves just a few minutes ago?
AvatarDan Szymborski
2:52
SADNESS
Babe Lincoln
2:52
The Mets are _________?
AvatarDan Szymborski
2:52
incompetently run by boobs in on-field and ownership.
Ben
2:52
Does Hanley turn it around this year?
AvatarDan Szymborski
2:53
I wouldn't say turn it around, I don't think he's actually all that good, but he's a bit better than his line so far
Joe
2:53
Judge has gotten all the attention in the AL ROY, which is obviously correct, but Trey Mancini has had a nice under the radar. Can he be an above average regular going forward?
AvatarDan Szymborski
2:53
I think it's likely htat he's an above-average player at this point
Joe
2:53
How do you feel about SIERA as a metric compared to FIP? I ask because I read yesterday that Michael Fulmer has a SIERA of 4.29 which is bad but, his FIP is 3.07. Sell him high now or hold and trust his results so far?
AvatarDan Szymborski
2:53
it depends, on going case-by-case.
2:54
There's no reason to simply rely on one thing and throw everything out.
Ray Liotta as Shoeless Joe
2:54
If I had a time machine, I'd just make sure Hitler didn't get kicked out of art school.
Ben z
2:55
Would it be financially rational for Harper to go full Lebron and take a series of like 2 year deals at 40m a year?
AvatarDan Szymborski
2:55
I don't think so.  Baseball's structure is different.
John
2:55
How surprised are you that nearly* everything has gone wrong for the Cubs this year? They were due for negative regression, but this year has just been a negative slap to the face.
AvatarDan Szymborski
2:55
It's regression toward the mean, not on the other side of the mean to balance out the world.
Ben z
2:56
Would you rather have Anthony Rendon or Nolan Arenado? I actually don't think this answer is nearly as obvious as it seems.
AvatarDan Szymborski
2:56
I would probably take Arenado, but like you, I don't think the answer is obvious.
hjrrockies
2:56
The Rockies have 70% odds to win the WC and yet my bigger concern is: how good is the team, really? The offense is so putrid once park-adjusted. I do think the pitching, with a healthy Gray, is still really good, but I don't know.
AvatarDan Szymborski
2:56
I suspect if you could somehow get them to play a million games, they'd be somewhere in the 85 per 162 range or so.
Dan
2:56
No karaoke? It's like I don't even know you. :( Next you'll tell me you like skyline chili.
AvatarDan Szymborski
2:57
When I'm at bars, I'm there for drinkin'
And yuck.
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