JotCast | Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat

Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 6/29/23

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Dan Szymborski

12:17

wait, what's the reverse of sweeping?

vaccuuming?

or dropping something?

Ben

12:18

Is Fallout 4 worth playing? It's on sale for $7 on steam.

Dan Szymborski

12:18

It as fine, a bit buggy

TKDC

12:18

How necessary is it to poo-poo a perfect game just because the opponent is trying to be awful?

Dan Szymborski

12:18

It's not really

perfect games are always hard

James

12:18

Is Shohei having the greatest season of all time?

Dan Szymborski

12:18

Of all time? Probably not because he's going against weird early baseball

12:19

but I think you could call it the SPECIALIST

depends if you're talking value or awesomeness, which correlate, but the r^2 is not 1

Bob

12:19

should we just accept that even with the shift banned, Max Muncy is just. .200/30-35 HR guy?

Dan Szymborski

12:20

I think he's probably closer to 210/220 or so, but I think that's the gist

People overrated just how many grounders some of these guys hit

12:24

Here

12:25

Lefty pull grounder BABIP by year

shifts exploded over this time frame

but the BABIP wasn't huge before shifts became hot

and htey didn't go to 0 after it

At best, it was going to be maybe one extra hit per 20-25 pulled grounders

and when you hit like 70 a year, that's not going to save you

RTJ

12:25

It's basically July and the Diamondbacks are leading their division. Is Corbin Carroll the MVP of the first half of the season?

Dan Szymborski

12:26

It's Acuña

Birds

12:26

Assuming the O's will be trading from no higher than the Norby / Ortiz / Stowers tier of prospects, what SP could they reasonably target?

Dan Szymborski

12:26

Not that many. May depend if the Cards throw in the towel

There really aren't a lot of sellers yet with interesting pitching

12:27

You've got E-Rod if he's healthy

12:28

Now, what would be interesting is if the METS become seller

Volpe

12:28

Hey, he's hitting well for the last weeks. They say it's because he stopped listening to the hitting coach. Do you buy that sort of thing?

Dan Szymborski

12:28

That's a bit out of my jurisdiction

Trea Leaves

12:29

bop, bop, bippity bop....bop

Eric

12:29

Loved your Cardinals article. Do you see Goldy agreeing to a trade to a contender? He seems the most likely due to age, team control, and still puts up a near MVP line. Arenado gave up a ton of money by opting in, so I would imagine that Goldy wants to stick with him too.

Dan Szymborski

12:29

I suspect they're not traded

So kind of a moot point

I think in the end, it depends on what the other team offers

Because in the end, everything's negotiable

Travis

12:30

Speaking of Acuna, is his strikeout rate for real? How has he cut his K rate basically in half?

Dan Szymborski

12:30

Not to THIS extent, but it should be improved; his contact rate is up across the board