JotCast | Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat

Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 6/29/23

Prev Page View Full Chat Next Page

Sean

12:31

Dane Dunning was one out away from a CGSO last night. He also pitched enough to qualify and is 4th in the AL in ERA.
My question: How is he doing this and is it sustainable.

Dan Szymborski

12:32

I AM disappointed that Bill Krueger isn't the Ranger pitching coach so that we can make Dunning-Krueger Effect jokes

Color me very skeptical

12:33

I don't see in his periphs things that will be easy to sustain

@RationalMLBFan

12:33

While unlikely that the Tigers as a team do anything of note this year, they are only 5 games out in the very weak AL Central. When should they bench or release Miguel Cabrera to give their fans and their own players a shot at the postseason? (The obvious answer is "several years ago," but unlike this year, they hadn't had much of a chance at doing anything.)

Dan Szymborski

12:34

A month ago I would have suggested immediately, but they've faded enough away in June that it's probably a "don't bother, let's just have the farewell" scenario

CFH

12:34

I went to a Mexican restaurant and under 'tradicionales' they had chili, which was described as 'chunks of pork with chilis, peppers, and onions'. Are you a stickler about the no beans thing because that's actually correct?

Dan Szymborski

12:34

I like to think I'm a stickler about most things because its correct

Guest

12:34

89 mph screwball? isn't that just Strasburg's change circa 2010?

Resolution

12:34

What does Zips see for Christian Encarnacion-Strand going forward?

Dan Szymborski

12:34

A lot of power, OKish everywhere else, meh-minus defense

12:34

The reverse of sweeping is just spilling all the cheetos back into the bag

Bob Welch

12:35

What kind of Bizzaro World am I seeing? The Snakes in first place and my Dodgers 3rd? The Orioles with the 3rd best record in the AL?

Dan Szymborski

12:35

OK, I didn't predict the latter, but I *did* spend the winter hyping the diamondbacks!

Marlins Man

12:36

Could Jazz still have a 25/30 season?

Dan Szymborski

12:36

If he stays healthy, it's possible, but I'd guess it's more a 30% thing than a more likely than not

Domingo

12:36

Thoughts on mlb the show’s strategy of locking almost all the good 99s behind packs this year

Dan Szymborski

12:37

Getting packs and stubs is really easy though

I've almost completed the live set and I haven't spent a dime on the game (outside of buying the game and...err...the PS5)

Appa Yip Yip

12:37

You're better off grabbing fallout New Vegas if you haven't played it tho tbh even if it's not on sale

Alex

12:37

How good of an indicator of talent is baseruns record? Is it at all predictive? As a Cubs fan, can I gather any hope in that the baseruns record is six games better than their actual record?

Dan Szymborski

12:37

I've never personally tinkered with it, so I don't want to attest to anything

Sean

12:37

Last night, Dane Dunning was one out away from a CGSO and he reached enough innings pitched to qualify for the AL ERA title, where he sits in 4th place with a 2.69. Can he sustain this?

Dan Szymborski

12:38

Uh...that's the Q I was answering earlier

I didn't just randomly start talking about Dane Dunning for no reason

Kyle Lewis

12:38

Has been hitting a ton in AAA of late, thinks he could be a difference maker this year now that he's seemingly healthy?

Dan Szymborski

12:39

I'm not sure *difference maker* but it's not preposterous that he may be an offensive plus. And Arizona's not overloaded on plus offensive guys

Big Fan

12:39

If he keeps it up, Bryce Elder will have a 3.0-3.5 WAR season. Is that in line with a #2, #3 or #4 starter?

Dan Szymborski

12:39

#2 really

Chris Jaffe had the average ERA+ for starter positions

in his book

let me find it

12:40

The Fun Stuff: Results
First thing to look at – what exactly is the overall average performance of starters?
I’ll give you the ERA+s for each of the four leagues I used. In order, it’s the 2006 AL,
2006 NL, 2005 AL, and 2005 NL. All subsequent lists will be in that order. Total starter
ERA+s were: 96, 96, 96, and 100. No idea what went on in the 2005 NL, but it
looks like an outlier. Even then the starters’ ERA was actually below league-average
(4.23 to 4.22). An average starter should have an ERA+ of 96-97. OK, but that’s not
what I’m here to look at. The real question is how did all five slots come out. Well . .

#1 slot: 118, 123, 118, 128
#2 slot: 103, 107, 104, 108

#3 slot: 98, 96, 97, 101

#4 slot: 89, 86, 90, 88

#5 slot: 79, 77, 78, 80

Prospect Ave.

12:40

Why does Crews have a 50 hit tool when his pitch selection and bat control are both 55?

Dan Szymborski

12:40

You should ask Eric!

Todd Bonzalez

12:40

Is Ian Gibaut the greatest middle reliever of all time? 8 wins baby!!! /s

Dan Szymborski

12:41

It's also fun to say his name with an over-the-top French accent, which adds points

Greg

12:41

The reverse of the Sweeper is called the Litterball. Sorry cats, litter is something that we do too!

Prospect Ave.

12:42

Over his career, Tom Glavine had a 5.32 K/9 and a 3.06 BB/9 equaling 3.95 FIP. How the hell did the game work back then?

Dan Szymborski

12:42

People hit more balls into play

Connecting…

Message History

On Off

Your current subscriptions

None

E-mail Address	Chat Owner	Status	Remove

Enter your email address to be notified when Dan Szymborski hosts a chat