JotCast | Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 6/3/2019

Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 6/3/2019

powered by

Prev Page View Full Chat Next Page

IMAGES FOREVER SEEN

12:36

Dan..ALWAYS dry your hair before bed.

Dan Szymborski

12:36

I didn't intend to doze off.

Something I've discovered as I've entered my 40s

is that I don't rebound from nights of no sleep that well

and I'm sometimes up to 5 AM/6 AM because I'm into something I'm working on

Like the other day, I decided to make some edits on my defense stuff at 3 AM

12:37

So I have a breakdown of what types of hit are at each degree. There's a fudge factor (or to be fancier, data smoothing) because stringers aren't going to perfectly plot points.

dam that doesn't show the thread

But it results in some fun (and useful) data. For example, based on the last decade of minor league data, here is the probability of single/double/triple/outs for each degree of difference from that home/CF line.

Alby

12:38

If I put a hot dog between two slices of bread, then it's a sandwich? Jeez, you're a sticker. I used to make PB&J by putting PB on one half and jam on the other and folding it in half. Not a sandwich?

Dan Szymborski

12:38

Folding is a hinge.

the pressures are different

Al Gone Quinn

12:38

Better Kevin, Sorbo or Newman?

Dan Szymborski

12:38

Still Sorbo

T-dog

12:38

Better Kevin: Sorbo or Bacon?

Dan Szymborski

12:38

Bacon

T-dog

12:38

Is Alex Bregman offputtingly arrogant or the right amount of confident to be likeable?

Dan Szymborski

12:38

I think it's appropriate

I don't mind players talking trash and stuff.

cool

1

I just don't want them throwing baseballs at each other

cool

1

Mike

12:39

What do the Brewers do with Keston Hiura when Shaw comes back? No way they can send him back to San Antonio right?

Dan Szymborski

12:39

Unless he slumps horribly, no way he's going back

Alby

12:39

Just wanted to add, your chats are the best, not just on FG but anywhere.

Dan Szymborski

12:39

Yeah, but there's survivor bias. You've chosen to stay.

draft

12:39

woah whats this about a draft tonight? like why dont they just shut the window mann

trophy

1

T-dog

12:39

Are s’mores a sandwich?

Dan Szymborski

12:39

Yes

I'm a structural purist, ingredient rebel

Red Foreman

12:40

ZiPS ROS is only projecting 53 more games for Senzel this season. Should he hire some bodyguards to stop the guy locked in your basement that does the ZiPS from getting out and making this projection true?

Dan Szymborski

12:40

Remember, ZiPS is intentionally left agnostic on this kind of thing, based on past

hscer

12:40

"NASCAR Coach Reveals Winning Strategy: Drive Fast"

Oberyn

12:41

ive noticed the bat projections seem to have more players having a higher hr rate than the others. you think steamer/zips might be too conservative or the bat too aggressive>

Dan Szymborski

12:41

Honestly, I'm not sure what Derek's using for league level of offense in season

Redleg

12:42

Dan, time to start getting worried about Puig's lack of success at the plate?

Dan Szymborski

12:43

Yes. He's been *way* too aggressive at the plate. The Dodgers did a better job in recent years at toning down some of his worst habits

The Mighty Bostone

12:43

Have you ever been close to tragedy or close to folks who have?

Dan Szymborski

12:43

Personally speaking, none that I am aware of

12:44

my dad and mother's father were in wars

My dad saw a lot of crap and drank himself to death over 25 years after coming back

Connecting…

Register

Message History

On Off

On Off

On Off

Your current subscriptions

None

Register now to continue managing your subscriptions

E-mail Address	Chat Owner	Status	Remove

Enter your email address to be notified when Dan Szymborski hosts a chat