JotCast | Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat

Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 6/8/23

Prev Page View Full Chat Next Page

Dan Szymborski

12:37

Hardly THAT much higher.

12:38

105 wRC+ vs. the 123 depth chart projection at the start of the year is an underperformance, but hardly a shocking one

It's not Bellinger a couple years ago!

and the depth chart's down to only 9 points of wRC+ over season to date

12:41

A 105 wRC+ was his 30th percentile projection in ZiPS at the start of the season

Sandwich Enthusiast

12:41

Is Trea Turner back or was that just the Tigers bump?

Dan Szymborski

12:41

Given his history and age, I think he'll be fine

Greg from Cincy

12:41

Imagine if the Reds would reconfig GABP to make the Outfield Coors sized and move Elly to CF...
I'd love to see him covering massive amounts of ground and firing lasers to nab fools!

To my ?...
What's an appropriate sample to recognize reral change when loking at an in-season adjustment, such as the increased walk rates for EDLC and CES the past month?

Dan Szymborski

12:42

It always depends on the number of PA *and* the magnitude

12:43

Now, if you're asking when in-season a change becomes *as* predictive as the projection

12:44

for hitters, K/PA in 65 PA, 153 PA for HR, but 475 PA for singles per balls in play!

Snakey

12:44

How long before we can consider the Dbacks a legit contender to the Dbacks?

Dan Szymborski

12:45

They're definitely legitimate contenders when playing themselves!

Vladdy

12:45

Where has my power gone?

Dan Szymborski

12:45

Not worried. Still hitting the ball in the air, still hitting the ball hard

12:46

You ought to see some Vlad on Hitters zStast tomorrow mornign

Who's Fabio

12:46

Can I request a Boba Chette GIF viewing party this week? I think last week you were short on time but Bo is still mashing the ball.

Dan Szymborski

12:46

I'm not sure what I'm supposed to do!

12:47

From earlier

cortezthakillah

12:48

Alejandro Kirk or Gary Sanchez ?

Dan Szymborski

12:48

Still Kirk!

Royals pit of despair

12:48

So which is worse: The A's are losing games at an historic pace, but are trying to be bad. The Royals are also losing games at an historic pace, but thought they'd be better this year. At least one team is seeing things go according to plan.

Dan Szymborski

12:48

See, if you're going to be awful, be AMAZING at it. The A's are

The A's could lose 120 games

Nobody's going to remember most of these Royals

12:49

And it's too bad that Quatraro is probably the sacrificial lamb that gets blamed by the org

12:49

The Rangers effectively acquired Heim, Garcia, and Lowe for two 45ish prospects, Elvis Andrus, and cash considerations. Seems like a pretty good deal.

Al Bundy

12:49

What team has been the worst underperformer relative to their ZiPS projected record, historically? Are the 2023 Cardinals at risk of taking that crown?

Dan Szymborski

12:49

Oh, 2021 Giants

oih wait

other way around

12:50

hang on

Big Jeff Pfeffer

12:50

People in Kansas City are so stockholm-syndromed to bad old school managers that some are saying they'd rather have Matheny than Quatrato

Dan Szymborski

12:52

2018 Orioles at -30, 2017 Giants at -24, 2005 Dodgers at -23, and then five teams at -21: 2019 Tigers, 2014 Rangers, 2012 Rockies, 2009 Mets, 2008 Padres

Well-Beered Englishman

12:53

Thanks all for the Baltimore recommendations! We went to Faidley's for crab cakes straight off the plane, hit up Attman's Deli and the Mount Royal Tavern, and whacked a bunch of crabs with mallets. Didn't get to try a Chaps pit beef so I'm making plans to go back. Cool city. Wish the O's had been in town.

Dan Szymborski

12:53

Glad you had fun

JFC you guys have asked a lot of questions

12:54

This is going to be one of my worst chats for answer rate

Connecting…