JotCast | Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat

Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 7/15/21

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Dan Szymborski

12:37

You assume that the challenge of the Kessel runs is a *time* one rather than an *efficiency* one.

Think of it in terms of chess moves.

12:38

Han was *efficient*, navigating through the Kessel run with less than 12 parsecs of travel distance

Ozzie

12:39

I was surprised that Giolito didn't pop in your recent article on the Zip projection misses.

Dan Szymborski

12:40

Just over a run isn't an impressive error for a half-year!

Run per game

not one run

Appa Yip Yip

12:40

I think ZiPS would be a lot more likeable if you put some googly eyes on it.

Dan Szymborski

12:41

Kinda funny given what happened to Davis' career

Dan

12:41

Is Mancini a consolation prize for a team that fails to land Gallo?

Dan Szymborski

12:41

I think so, though the O's may chicken out

Uncle Spike

12:41

Have you ever done a calculation to see what is the furthest possible a human could hit a baseball? Like, if Stanton hit a 100 MPH pitch at a 120 MPH EV an the optimal launch angle at Coors Field with a steady wind at his back? Is Babe Ruth's 575 foot home run realistic or just a myth?

Dan Szymborski

12:41

I have not

12:42

I think you need someone with more idea of how the human body works

Just last night, my mom texted me that my sister's baby dropped. So I started getting dressed to go to the hospital. Turns out the "baby dropping" doesn't quite mean what I thought it does

Erik

12:42

How low is Keston Hiura's trade value right now? Is there a chance he's shopped at the deadline or is that selling stupidly low on him?

Dan Szymborski

12:42

I don't think it would make sense to trade him

Trey Mancini

12:42

Am I on the move or are the O's afraid of the PR hit?

Dan Szymborski

12:42

Heh, that's MY quewstion

Erik

12:42

By some form of magic, you're transported back to 1901 with a fully-functioning ZiPS setup but no memory of the real players who actually played in that era. You're given the GM role for a team. How much better than the average GM do you do, assuming you avoid getting burned at the stake for witchcraft?

Dan Szymborski

12:43

At the risk of arrogance, I think I would do quite well

Simply by having knowledge of how things work

JEFF BRIDICH would dominate the league in 1901.

I think literally anyone here would do very well

Dumb question

12:43

How accurate is ZiPS overall? How often is it generally in the ballpark of being correct?

Dan Szymborski

12:44

That's a bit vague! Define the ballpark of being correct!