JotCast | Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat

Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 7/16/20

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Dan Szymborski

12:33

Least comfortable: White Sox. So much variance there

Guest

12:33

While I enjoy AEW a lot, are you a little concerned that they're not pushing young guys more? Seems the top faces (Cody, Young Bucks, Omega) get a lot of the titles/play and all the up and comers get pushed for a few weeks then ultimately fall short.

Dan Szymborski

12:33

It's a concern, but they're still establishing their brand for now

Number 20

12:33

How did you arrive at the assumption that an average of two players out of every 25 will test positive each month. My own thinking is the positive tests would be weighted toward the front and decline due to regular testing, peer effects, observing player time reallocation from those testing positive, etc.

Dan Szymborski

12:33

Pulled out of my ass because we have no idea.

Dbo

12:33

I used to put BBQ sauce on my tuna in college, I called it western style

Dan Szymborski

12:33

Ugggh

Josh

12:33

I'm excited for baseball despite the current events. its okay to feel this way? When will MacKenzie Gore pitch in the majors?

Dan Szymborski

12:34

It's OK to feel however you feel!

I expect Gore's appearances will be largely based onw hat the team is doing

Seasonal depres

12:34

Generally, is it easier to increase a hitter's exit velocity or a pitcher's fastball velo? Which orgs do which best in player development, to your knowledge?

Dan Szymborski

12:35

I'm not sure I'm convinced enough on the last question, but exit velocity can be added with an approach change better than a pitcher velocity can be

Appa Yip Yip

12:35

Probably should have done a better job of obfuscating what that team is by spelling of favorite

12:36

With the signing of Puig, where does Swanson end up in the batting order for the Braves?

Dan Szymborski

12:37

I personally expect he'll be at the bottom of the order somewhere

I dont' think they open the season with him 2nd

Schilling and Pence

12:37

What are you hearing as far as Juan Soto is concerned, and what do the Nats do if he's delayed a few weeks?

Dan Szymborski

12:38

The rumors were that his arrival was imminent. I could have missed if there is something new though

Brad

12:38

This has probably been done somewhere, but how about a column on the best 60 game stretches since... divisional play maybe? to give us a little context for the numbers we'll see this season

Dan Szymborski

12:38

Doing a BA piece either for friday or early next week (depends how much progress I make finishing things up)

Mr. big time

12:38

How accurate is ZiPS? I’m very weary of projection systems

Dan Szymborski

12:38

That's a pretty big question that you can't get a simple one-line sentence for.

It's like saying "how good is chemotherapy?"

Accuracy will always change depending on what group you're talking about, what stat, what cutoff point.

12:39

The data is all out there for anyone to test. And when peopel can't find data, I always provide if to for them

dave in slc

12:39

my al only auction draft didnt go as planned. My starting pitching is McCullers, Luzardo, McKay, Pearson, Gibson. Its a keeper league and i got good prices on Pearson and McKay but am i screwed for this yr or have hope? thoughts on this bunch?

Dan Szymborski

12:39

This seems to be the Dice Roll Rotation

LFC Mike

12:39

I assume Fangraphs will have an opening day spectacular chat?

Dan Szymborski

12:39

I don't think we've finalized anything yet -- probably at next staff meeting -- but I would expect *something* oepning day related

Josh Nelson

12:39

1) Who should be the White Sox 5th SP to start 2020: Gio Gonzalez or Carlos Rodon?

2) What is your favorite Taco Bell menu item?

Dan Szymborski

12:40

Gio to start

Sierra Mist

Dbo

12:40

Is bacon chili really chili? Didn’t you say that only beef could be in chili?

Dan Szymborski

12:40

I never envisioned bacon chili

I have to ponder

Shorty

12:40

Washington football is simple. Should be Washington Sentinels, with Shane Falco at QB

Your Name

12:40

Is chat volume up this week given the upcoming start of the season?

Dan Szymborski

12:41

It IS up a bit

Gashouse Gorilla

12:41

"Murder Hornets bid for Mets Franchise....:

Tacoby Bellsbury

12:41

Using either current MLB players or historical Orioles -- your choice -- what comps would ZIPS spit out for your cats?

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