JotCast | Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 7/21/22

Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 7/21/22

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Dan Szymborski

12:31

I smell a neural network thing!

12:33

Some New Dumb Synonyms for Fastball

1. Flameball
2. Hotpitch
3. Gritball
4. Hot Block
5. Burning Ball
6. Hot Rolling Block
7. Roaring Rooster
8. Boomhanger
9. Stabber
10. Slingshot
11. Warped Pipe
12. Wobbling Wobblebug
13. Battered Bulldozer
14. Geyser
15. Brickslayer
16. Peg Leg
17. Lathe
18. Forward Lunge
19. Spearburst
20. Breech

12:34

So, Petish, you are now LEGALLY required to use one of these.

I'll let you choose!

Bubba

12:34

Whose playoff odds increase the most by getting Soto? WS odds?

Dan Szymborski

12:35

While I can't run a simulation in my head, I would *guess* the Blue Jays

Maybe Cardinals or Giants too?

Harmon Ripkowski

12:35

Hi. Why do wpa, rew, and bs not go back further on your site when it does on other sites?

Dan Szymborski

12:36

We don't have an extensive play by play going back as far as some

Which is why you don't see splits far back historically

Duchess

12:36

Spencer Strider has been great but correct to assume he will be more or less shut down in the second half to manage workload?

Dan Szymborski

12:36

I think he'll be at least singificantly limited

Adam

12:36

As a fan, would you trade the last five + next five years of the Nationals for that of the Cardinals?

Dan Szymborski

12:36

No

Wait, Am I trading AWAY the Nats/

then yes

The Great Giambino

12:37

What does a realistic package from the Guardians for Sean Murphy look like?

Dan Szymborski

12:37

I'm not sure they actually do that

but

12:39

They'd certainly want 2-3 guys (not including Rocchio, Valera, Espino)

The A's aren't usually against taking a whole bunch of lesser but fascinating prospects and see who works out

Doug

12:39

I feel like Ricky would still be a 0.1 WAR player at 63

Dan Szymborski

12:40

He'd probably hit like 150/350/150

Oddball Herrera

12:40

Wobbling Wobblebug sounds more like a Jimmy Garoppolo attempt to go deep

The Ghost of Bobby Thigpen

12:40

So...Haseley has a 103MPH Roaring Rooster? I'll take "Things That Sound Dirty, But Aren't" for $800

Tim Tebow's Thunder Thighs

12:40

I recently discovered Flamin Hot Cheetos boxed mac 'n cheese. If you like your chili over pasta (because, really, without beans it's just a variation on pasta sauce) this is a good way to go.

Guest

12:40

Can ZIPS estimate how an ace-level starter would fare in a full season as a closer? Like would Gerrit Cole be a 5 WAR closer pitching 90-110 innings?

Dan Szymborski

12:40

Yeah, ZiPS can do that

12:41

ZiPS has his ERA in the low twos as a reliever

12:42

but that's not pushing five WAR. That's REALLY hard to do for any reliever

12:43

We only have one five WAR reliever season in the FG database (Sutter 1977)

Devin

12:44

I’m trying to find xwOBA, and for some reason the fangraphs columns are empty! I know baseball savant has it, but I’m looking for team 30 day xwOBA (they only have yearly). Any thoughts on how to find this? Thank you, love your work!

Dan Szymborski

12:45

I'm honestly not sure why it's not filled in

Julio vs. Witt

12:45

Who are you picking for AL ROY this year, Julio or Witt? Who would you rather have on your team for the next 6 years?

Dan Szymborski

12:45

Julio. Juilo

Julio

cm

12:45

Should the Orioles try to trade for Luis Castillo? If so, what would be fair?

Dan Szymborski

12:45

Honestly, I think the window is *too* short for the O's to do that

Adam

12:45

Dan, what is the most likely explanation for Matt Carpenter?

Dan Szymborski

12:46

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