JotCast | Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 7/22/2019

Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 7/22/2019

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Dave in London

12:25

What are your expectations for Borucki now that he's healthy? Is he assured a spot in Jays rotation?

Dan Szymborski

12:25

Are you LondonDave? If so, I know you!

Either way, I think he's more of a 4th starter type. I think he'll be hard-pressed to be as HR stingy as he was last year

Acunami

12:26

Dodgers or the field for the NL pennant?

Dan Szymborski

12:26

Field. Anything can happen in a five-game series.

12:27

You could put the O's in the NL playoffs for some odd reason and they'll occasionally beat the Dodgers in five games.

Dave in London

12:27

Any idea what's wrong with Benintendi? How did he become such a mediocre hitter?

Dan Szymborski

12:29

I think he's better than this. Honestly, in my completely unscientific opinion, it almost feels like he's trying to get more loft and take advantage of the environment but he's fundamentally a line drive guy and that's hurting him

Dan the Man Fan

12:30

Ive been looking at your ZiPS future projections. How long have they been a thing, how accurate have they been, and how do you go about doing that? Is it basically ZiPS stretched out over a 3 year period? Anyways I think its great, and I thank you for it!

Dan Szymborski

12:31

It's tricky because nobody has tested them against other systems (and I have an insurmountable conflict of interest).

But certainly less accurate. ZiPS has been equipped to do this sicne 2005

And I bring up long-term projections a lot, but this is the first time I was willing to publish them whole.

Guest

12:31

With Strasburg finally healthy and having something of a career resurgence, if he stays healthy do you think his performance could get him into the HOF ? Does ZiPS have an opinion? He'd need to average 4 WAR per year for the next 8 to match CC

Dan Szymborski

12:32

I think there's a solid chance Strasburg is *worthy* of the Hall, but I'm not sure he'll get enough wins.

It wasn't easy getting Mussina in with 270 wins and twice Morris's WAR

peanut-gallery

1

(OK, not twice in fWAR, but you get the idea)

D

12:32

If you were in charge of the Red Sox, would you be preparing to sell at the deadline? If so, who would you be trying to trade?

(Related: Do you think most of Price's contract could be unloaded with value coming back?)

party

1

Dan Szymborski

12:33

I would not be selling.

LLW

12:33

Would you ever, under any circumstances, order soup at a ballgame

vomit

6

Dan Szymborski

12:33

I might. Say it was an April game and really cold and they had sausage-and-bean soup in the press box cafeteriette, sure

12:34

But I'd also have a natural inclination to not get food, in an office environment, that I may make a mess with

I'm still mortified by my potato chip disaster at an ESPN meeting.

12:35

Some years ago, I was at a meeting of all the MLB writers (except, I don't believe Keith or Jerry were there) in a large conference room. We had just come back for lunch and most of us still had sandwiches and stuff from the cafeteria

12:36

But the styrofoam flipped and all the potato chips went on the floor.

I ducked out to try and find a broom and dustpan but couldn't find one.

12:37

They had a janitor come and I was embarrassed that this guy was having to clean up a mess I made.

trophy

4

laughing

3

Dbo

12:37

Is a gyro a taco?

Dan Szymborski

12:37

I guess you could argue it's a greek taco

Stevil

12:37

What kind of value should Domingo Santana have on the market as a right fielder (we all know how terrible he is in left)?

Dan Szymborski

12:37

I think he's one of the more interesting bats available

12:38

You get him for a couple years

Don't be a Hader

12:38

Which Padre likely to be dealt?

Dan Szymborski

12:38

I think Yates goes.

Charles Bengal Tiger

12:38

A lot of comment pushback against Tatis Jr. being #2 in the trade value series. Thoughts? I'll take your answer off the air.

Dan Szymborski

12:38

I haven't read the comments. What was the dispute?

Dbo

12:38

Which of your cats would have the highest trade value this year?

yawn

1

Dan Szymborski

12:38

I would assume Cassiopeia since she's two years old.

12:39

Galileo's a grumpy, 20-year-old, deaf cat who pillages your food and can open the fridge.

I think that's like having Pujols's contract, in cat terms.

And Mercutio is friendly, but he's also 10 and a big ol' chonk and not very smart.

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