JotCast | Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 7/23/20

Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 7/23/20

Prev Page View Full Chat Next Page

Dan Szymborski

12:34

The Rays are a mystery to all who predict things.

RMR

12:34

Obviously only one start, but Zac Gallen had a moderately high BB rate last year once he came up too (much higher than his MiLB stats would hint at). Is this just small sample still or is he a guy that kind of needs to nibble at the ML level because he's not an overwhelming stuff guy?

Dan Szymborski

12:35

Not worried yet.

12:36

He *is* going to be more nibbler than power pitcher with his stuff, of course

Tim Tebow's Thunder Thighs

12:36

My reaction when I serve Dan my award winning black bean Skyline chili:

Sean

12:36

How high do you think Gleyber Torres’ ceiling is?

Dan Szymborski

12:36

Sistine Chapel

NotGraphs Revivalist

12:36

Gerrit Cole had a 10.8% SwStr versus Baltimore yesterday and his fastball velo is down almost 1 mph, so who should I drop him for in my fantasy league - Merrill Kelly or Chris Bassitt?

Dan Szymborski

12:36

heh

12:37

This is a weird year in terms of offseason and preparation, so I'm not sure some of the things that would worry us in prior years should worry us with the same brow furrowment this time

Slapshot

12:40

If I set the over/under on the number of teams who don't play 60 games this season at 10, do you take the over or the under?

Dan Szymborski

12:40

Over

....

12:40

Rob Manfred is by far and away the worst commissioner in N. American sports

Dan Szymborski

12:41

There's a lot of competition

Daniel

12:42

So given David Fletcher’s contact skills, his hot start and the short season, you got to think he could really make a push to finish at .400, no?

Dan Szymborski

12:42

There's certainly a chance! I might do an update if anyone's still surging in another week.

He finished just out of the top 25 in my piece last week on the subject.

https://blogs.fangraphs.com/toppling-ted-the-60-game-season-and-the-40...

12:43

His rest-of-season ZiPS BA is up a whole 12 points from preseason!

Matt

12:43

Corey Seager’s batted ball results are absurdly great so far. How much of a resurgence do you expect?

Dan Szymborski

12:43

I think he's fine. Nothing too new here.

RMR

12:44

ETA on Nick Madrigal? Sox could really use him right now with Mazara hurt (no star, but when him being out puts Delmonico in the lineup you've got problems).

Dan Szymborski

12:44

The White Sox have said he's close

RMR

12:44

Errr probable COVID for Mazara, not hurt.

Dan Szymborski

12:45

WE DON"T KNOW ANY OF THIS IT'S A SECRET, HE"S OUT WITH TOTALLY-NOT-COVID

RMR

12:45

How much stock do you put in hitters switching leagues as a cause of struggles? Thinking Mookie, Grandal, etc. Obviously way early, but is there any data that backs this up as a common cause of early struggles?

Dan Szymborski

12:45

Not much.

12:46

What it comes down is that it's not 1951

Szan Dymborski

12:46

I opted out of my home league this year because I figured something like the Marlins was gonna happen. "I told you so" doesn't feel so good in this case :(

Friend

12:46

Javier looked incredible last night for the Astros. It was reminiscent of Freddy Peralta's first major league start. Small sample or is there something there?

Dan Szymborski

12:46

More time, though it was a great start

Morbo

12:46

Can I request a poll? I'm going to put the offensive numbers of two players over approximately the first 9 years of their careers. I'd like to see which player everyone would choose. Guesses as to the player identities are welcome too

Dan Szymborski

12:46

OK, this might look garbagey

12:47

Who Would You Choose?

G PA HR R RBI SB 1202 5286 286. 904 756 200 BB% K% ISO BABIP 15.2% 21.2% .276. .348 AVG OBP SLG wOBA. wR (19% | 4 votes)

G PA HR R RBI SB 1399 6082 366 1071 1112 61 BB% K% ISO BABIP 13.3% 9.4% .294 .317 AVG OBP SLG wOBA. wR (81% | 17 votes)

Total Votes: 21

oh god

COVID Ball

12:47

Article idea: have there been more pitcher injuries early this year? Anecdotally, it feels like there have been, but who trusts hunches when there is data available?!

Dan Szymborski

12:47

It's tricky given how everything's being treated differently

sportznut

12:48

When do the Tigers call up Casey Mize?

Dan Szymborski

12:48

It's soon if they know what they're doing

Jimmy2Times

12:48

TylerChatwood. Tyler. Chatwood. Does he think he might be good at pitching this year?