JotCast | Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat 7/23/26

Return to

Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat 7/23/26

Prev Page View Full Chat Next Page

This chat is available to members only. Please log in to participate.

Dan Szymborski

12:53

Basically, I go with a distribution of the starting pitchers and hwo they're used

12:54

ZiPS doing individual games in, say, the postseason, doesn't cheat and try to think of a better way to use relievers, but hwo they're typically used

eandy

12:54

Is Curtis Mead on a hot streak or is he finally living up to his billing as a prospect?

Dan Szymborski

12:54

a little from column A and a little from column B

InsertWittyNameHere

12:54

Playing a lot of old timey fields in The Show recently. Why don't teams make odd 500 ft corners in CF anymore? SHOULD teams make odd 500 ft corners in CF? Since you love triples, this should definitely make more.

Dan Szymborski

12:54

I think they should

I like playing on weird fields

12:55

Polo Grounds and Griffith are fun

Though I tend to suck in Polo Grounds as I tend to be a power alley hitter in the game

maximus74

12:55

why does Kyle Tucker suck

Dan Szymborski

12:55

To this degree? I don't know

but it's worth noting that ZiPS has been really leery of Tucker the last two years

clydethedog

12:56

Wouldnt it be more advantageous to keep Moniak until next deadline in an effort to have consistent talent on the team?

Dan Szymborski

12:56

It really depends on what the interest in Moniak is. And I'm not really sure on that one

clydethedog

12:56

same goes for goodman, etc

Dan Szymborski

12:56

Goodman I'd be more inclined to keep and extend

Like I was quoted saying in a Keeler piece recently, I'd be inclined to keep Goodman, but if someone wants to offer something crazy, I'd listen

InsertWittyNameHere

12:57

Read that a dude from the Pirates (can't remember his name because, well, Pirates) trying to play all 9 positions in a year. What other silly things should more teams do when they're not going to make the playoffs? Left handed shortstops?

Dan Szymborski

12:57

I'd love to see some left-handed 2B/SS for science

and I think teams should aggressively try players at new positions in a lost season

Big Fan

12:57

Does Zips provide handedness projections? I was wondering if Jim Jarvis might make sense as the strong side of a platoon.

Dan Szymborski

12:57

Yes, ZiPS has for quite a while!

hang on and I'll get you the current 2027 slashes for Jarvis

12:59

303/324 vs. LHP, 329/367 vs. RHP

ImKeithHernandez

12:59

Who do you like more: AJ Ewing or Carson Benge?

Dan Szymborski

1:00

Ewing since he's a 99/91 basestealer in MLB the Show 26 in the Topps Now version!

Michael Powell

1:00

Dan four O’s are seriously underperforming their ZIPS (Gunnar, TON, Cowser, and Mayo), one seriously over performing (Blaze). Noise, or indicative of a coaching problem?

Dan Szymborski

1:00

Probably noise, but it's hard to tell

oaktownblues

1:00

Every year the trade value list comes out, I'm sad when my team's players get left off - not because I care about the ranking, but because it means I don't get to see the 5 year ZiPS projection. Can you ease my pain? What does Tyler Soderstrom's projection look like now that he has another good half season under his belt?

Dan Szymborski

1:01

ZiPS up to a 118-122 wRC+ guy in ZiPS over next five years, about 6-8 points over preseason

Daniel -

1:01

Kalshi has PCA at a 25% chance at the MVP. Is this all because of uncertainty with Ohtani's pitching? If Ohtani hits and pitches the rest of the year, what do you think PCA's odds are?

Dan Szymborski

1:01

I have an award model update coming at some point!

probably post-deadline

Domingo Ayala

1:03

I'm content, Dan

zabadoey

1:03

If I want to see which players have had the largest projection improvements while in-season, am I right to assume the Steamer600 Update is the place to look? And what exactly is the Zips (Update) doing? My recollection is that it's the Actuals YTD + Remaining Original Forecast. Thanks for your help.

Dan Szymborski

1:04

ZIPS update is the actual YTD plus the *updated* rest of season projection

ghib

1:06

How historically underperforming are this year's Giants, relative to how you projected them?

Dan Szymborski

1:06

If they finish the season with the same winning percentage they have now, it would be a 9th percentile result

but the bars are wider if we're just talking around 100 games

which I don't have handy.

Connecting…