JotCast | Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat

Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 8/10/23

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MilwaukeeBeerJays

12:49

Feels good seeing the Yankees and Red Sox at the bottom of the AL east. A plague on both your houses!

Michael Freaking Lorenzen

12:49

Have I improved my outlook enough this year to warrant a sizeable multi-year FA contract? Or will I be back in the 1 year/5-10mil range come this offseason? Topline (and no-no) look great, but peripherals only slightly better than 2022.

Dan Szymborski

12:50

Lorenzen ought to get a decent deal, but nobody's going crazy

TomBruno23

12:50

So...Jordan Walker...what kind of wRC+ does he have to put up in order to compensate for all of the other baseball things that he does not do so well?

Dan Szymborski

12:50

Depends where they play him

The defense is a real drag

If he's playing a corner, he may need a 125 wRC+ to be a league-average player or so

Key Flaw

12:50

Kevin Brown is the first Orioles announcer that I liked as much as Jon Miller. Is that irony or appropriate given what has happened?

Dan Szymborski

12:50

heh

TomBruno23

12:51

Along with that Greinke note, really hoping the Cardinals let Wainwright hit on October 1 in his last MLB game.

Ballywoop

12:51

Jays or Mariners down the stretch

Dan Szymborski

12:51

Jays

12:51

Does ZiPS believe in Owen Caissie? Feels like a prime ZiPS top 100 candidate where his performance for his age is insane but scouts are less keen.

Dan Szymborski

12:51

ZiPS is not keen on Caissie yet

12:52

It does not like his 2022

12:54

and southern league is high offense and smokies stadium is a very good HR park

Guest

12:54

It really looks like the Astros need to find a way to get Diaz's bat in the lineup more. If you were given the ability to set the Astros lineup every day, which of these players would see the most reduction in starts to get Diaz more PT: Maldonaldo, Abreu, Dubon, or Meyers? If Dusty does play Diaz more, I suspect the PT will come from Meyers.

Dan Szymborski

12:54

Maldonado

I know pitchers love him

but there are limits here

Re: Strategy Games

12:55

have you played XCOM? if so, which is your favorite version. I got XCOM 2 recently since the bundle was 90% off on steam

Dan Szymborski

12:55

Just the original, which was as lot of fun at the time!

Microprose was one of the few companies that's always an automatic buy from me no matter what

12:56

And I got to see their offices a few times! They were in the same building as my mom's office was in the 90s

12:57

Falcom is another company from which I'll reflexively buy games

Wireless Joe Jackson

12:58

Bobby Witt is up to 4 WAR and a 110 wRC+ and still underperforming his xwOBA by 35 points. Which if any under-25 shortstops would you still prefer to him?

Dan Szymborski

12:58

Wander/McLain

that's it

Guest

12:58

I’m so disappointed that Kevin Brown isn’t that Kevin Brown.

Dan Szymborski

12:59

If he was that Kevin Brown, you'd see a lot less media stick up for him, sadly

Bravesfan

12:59

How for real is Orlando Arcia? Can he maintain a BABIP of over 330?

Dan Szymborski

12:59

I don't think my opinions have much changed since I wrote this

https://blogs.fangraphs.com/vaughn-grissom-gets-a-cameo-as-orlando-arc...

12:59

What do the Braves do with Vaughn Grissom. .Another year in AAA seems like a waste

Dan Szymborski

1:00

I think he's traded

Jon

1:00

Why does the pitcher point up on a fly ball? That doesn't help anyone.

Dan Szymborski

1:00

It's always worth testing to see if reality has been altered and finger guns are now real guns

1:01

You're not the prospect guy, but... Coming up, Arraez had miniscule K rates but had a 60 FV hit tool. Was the concern quality of contact or proximity to the majors?

Dan Szymborski

1:01

Basically, nobody liked him much outside hit tool

1:03

He was actually 8th in rest-of-career WAR for 2B in 2019 ZiPS

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