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Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 8/20/18

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Dan Szymborski

12:15

Sweeps are always worrisome, but it's dangerous to draw deep conclusions from them.

Moltar

12:16

I am throwing my weight behind A-Rod as Fully Autonomous Mets GM. I was honestly astounded to hear a national commentator call out the Mets owners explicitly, even mentioning Fred and Jeff Wilpon by name! And he was absolutely correct, the biggest thing the Mets need is an autonomous chief executive to run things from top to bottom.

Dan Szymborski

12:16

Fat chance

12:17

The chef de cuisine?

Kiermaier's Piercing Green Eyes

12:17

I'm giving you a lot of power here, but what do we call the 4-5 inning guy who comes in after the opener? Kiley used "second pitcher" in his recent article, but that doesn't feel descriptive or elegant enough.

Dan Szymborski

12:18

Pitcher de cuisine? What's pitcher in baseball terms in French?

Does lanceur work?

12:19

With Harper and Murphy reportedly hitting waivers over the weekend, is Rizzo waiving the white flag on this season? Chances they deal anyone?

Dan Szymborski

12:19

It didn't make sense to try to pass them through waivers right at the deadline if you're on the fence about competing.

12:20

Once you pull 'em back that one time, the waivers become irrevocable.

I don't think Harper gets traded in the end. Murphy might.

Bing Russell

12:20

What do you think AJ Reed could do as a starting 1Bmen or DH if give a full time job?

Dan Szymborski

12:21

I think he'd be in the 40th percentile of 1B starters, a fill-in for a team like the Rockies.

Justin Bourish?

Outta my way, Gyorkass

12:21

Is the Brewers bullpen falling apart from overuse?

Dan Szymborski

12:22

I don't think their usage, in the end, is crazily different from average, either innings or number of appearances

andy

12:22

If the Nats sell off parts now that they're out of it, could the Rockies jump on anything there? Wouldn't Wieters be at least a semi improvement? Or is it really a front office so stubborn they won't improve their team?

Dan Szymborski

12:22

Not sure I'd even call Wieters an improvement.

This is a team that did nothing for the offense at the deadline except give Holliday a mascot minor-league deal.

They didn't even try to claim Bour.

12:23

The team is apparently limited to Guys Bud Black Has Heard Of But Bud Black Hasn't Learned New Names Since 2014.

Outta my way, Gyorkass

12:23

Brewers have a lot of crappy teams left on the schedule. Is this the time they right the ship and make a run, or is the team's suddenly exposed pitching staff and inconsistent offense going to sink them?

Dan Szymborski

12:24

I don't actually have their schedule as weaker than other teams in the division except fo rthe Cardijnals

James

12:24

Wil Myers: Third Baseman. Yay or nay?

Dan Szymborski

12:24

Haven't actually seen him in his 3B starts, but it's something worth trying.

Dbo

12:24

Emojis and Peanuts are back!

Ozzie Ozzie Albies Free

12:25

What are your thoughts on my idea to cut down on time: instead of commercials, have a permanent ad bar on the bottom or top of the screen. Then during inning/pitching changes, have baseball trivia, highlights, tips for little leaguers, etc.

Dan Szymborski

12:25

Commercials are simply way more valuable, so you're not going to yank them away.

Outta my way, Gyorkass

12:25

How much longer do teams who were great a few years ago like the Pirates and Giants keep trying patch holes / make incremental upgrades with their current groups of players before finally being forced into reckoning with needing to rebuild?

Dan Szymborski

12:25

The Giants sooner than later.

Pirates still have a path, though they need to be a bit more aggressive.

Pencil 15

12:26

I was just thinking Michael Kopech would be the best pitcher on the Cubs’ $130M pitching staff today. Is that crazy?

Dan Szymborski

12:26

Probably a LITTLE premature.

CamdenWarehouse

12:26

I probably shouldn't get excited about Rodon at this point. On the other hand, he's pitched into the 8th in 6 of 12 starts this year.

Dan Szymborski

12:26

ZiPS adores Rodon.

12:26

Who do you think ends up taking the NL East?

Dan Szymborski

12:26

I think Philly by a hair.

Stanton

12:26

With Didi now hurt, I shall be the entire Yankee offense for the remainder of August. Yet we'll probably still be okay, or do you think we go get a, say, Murphy on waivers?

Dan Szymborski

12:26

I don't think the Yankees do anything major at this point. The math disincentivizes it.

JayRam

12:26

Season ends today, do I win MVP?

Connecting…

James

3:53

Does Ohtani win the ROY if he is able to make a few quality starts next month?

Bing Russell

3:51

What is your top ten players for a start up Dynasty league

The Bryce is Right

4:01

Harper to the Phillies before August 31 boosts the world series chances by ____%?

Seattle

4:09

Why are we so cursed?

C.J. Cron

4:10

Why am I not a Rockie? Fill a brutal need, not too expensive, not a rental and Rays clearly have no regular spot for me.

silvpak

4:15

has taillon quietly made the leap this year? absent two starts in april and one in may (where he still went six innings and k'd eight, despite allowing six earned), he hasn't allowed more than three earned in ANY start this entire year, has a sub 3.00 era, and nearly eight and a half k/9. given archer at the top of the rotation and that his various dings early in his career have actually served to not overload his arm/innings until maturity, i think we're looking at a decade of #1/#2 performance.

Over Here

4:16

Boston needs a lh reliever. Can they get one via waivers?

Bork

4:16

Think Donaldson gets moved? If not, will he even get a QO?

dave in slc

4:16

are any of miami outfield sierra, galloway, or dean worth spending $5 of my remaining $11 of faab money on to replace pence as a flier they could be something or sit tight w the $ for now?

AKA22

4:16

Any relievers left in the August trade market you would go after if you were the Braves GM? They still seem weak in the pen.

Dbo

4:17

Cincinnati chili is with cinnamon and sometimes dark chocolate, there's also Mexican chocolate chili

AKA22

4:19

Dusty Baker retroactive manager of the year 2017?

lee

4:20

The plan in LA seemed to be handing C over to Barnes (or Ruiz, or Smith in a year or two) after Grandal's contract expires, but with Grandal a top 3-4 catcher and Barnes's bat going all Chris Davis on us, what do you think the next 3 years of Dodger catching looks like?

$11 Worth of Taco Bell

4:20

This offseason how many years do the O’s give Trevor Cahill?

Jeffy

4:20

The pitcher after the "Opener" is the "Follower"

Bort

4:21

Any players come to mind that you'll be looking to buy low on next year?

$11 Worth of Taco Bell

4:22

Which AAAA hitter has the best chance of breaking out into at least an average MLB player if given the chance?

Jose Iglemirez

4:22

Ideas on who the second PTBNL in the Fiers trade will be? Better or worse than Blackwood?

Marshall

4:22

Suppose you wanted to trade Kershaw (current ERA+ of 160, but likely only 150 innings for the year) for a pitcher with 200+ innings. What's the lowest ERA+ you would accept for the pitcher you get back?

jake

4:23

is this the new amed rosario?

Chuck

4:23

How do you feel about Nathan Eovaldi going forward for the Red Sox? He's had a few great starts and a few not-so-great starts so far.

Better career?

4:27

Brian Anderson or Harrison Bader?

Josh Nelson

4:27

What is ZiPS projecting for Michael Kopech in 2018?

Justin

4:29

You think JD beats Betts? But Betts is so much bett(s)er!

CamdenWarehouse

4:30

didn't you have that mammal question two weeks ago?

4:33

Re: ad bars during games, other sports have begun to use this as a way to keep viewers watching during "downtime." I've seen football broadcasts show a live feed of coaches, players, etc alongside commercials. Win-win.

AKA22

4:33

You heard it here first - DeGrom for Cy Young and Scherzer for MVP. COULD IT HAPPEN??

David

4:33

Isn't a long reliever a failed starter anyways??

All Cats Are Beautiful

4:34

What's the r^2 between the current fWAR formula and a perfect measurement of a player's value? Where is the most room for improvement? Defense? Intangibles?

Moltar

4:36

Forget not marketing Mike Trout enough, why don't more people know about Mookie Betts? He plays for a first place Red Sox team! He's young and talented and fun! I'm an NL fan and I feel like I hear him mentioned once or twice a month at most.

Devil Ray Jay Johnson

4:37

Do the O's make the playoffs again before or after Mars colonization?

The Shell

4:39

How come no one talks about those old projection systems like Marcel and Oliver anymore

Andrew

4:39

The NL award season is going to be interesting. With a weak field for MVP, I've heard talks of deGrom/Scherzer this year, and not to mention the Cy Young race. How likely is it that the voters start breaking from tradition and give deGrom a shot for one or both awards?

CubFan

4:40

You a fan of Taylor Ward ros, 2019?

Tom

4:41

NL chapter, eh? Will you give Matt Carpenter a good look despite his slow start?

CubFan

4:43

Not that it's overly important in the grand scheme of of things but who's catching on the south side of Chicago in 2019, Castillo or Narvaez?

Mark

4:43

Is Keegan Akin an option for the Os rotation next year? Leading Eastern league in ERA and strikeouts

Al Avila

4:44

Should Tigers fans trust me

Jim

4:44

Daniel Murphy a good fit for the Yankees with Didi out?

HappyFunBall

4:45

The pitcher who comes in after the "opener" is the "headliner". Just like with a rock concert.

Dan's Parents

4:48

We have never taken it seriously.

David

4:48

If you were the braves, and only have the funds to lock up 1 player to a long term contract who would you give it to? Freeman or Acuna?

Dusty

4:49

When you say a lot of questions need to be answered about Wander Javier, do you mean by me about him or about him that he has to prove?

Lunar verLander

4:50

In-season turnaround HAS to go to Kole Calhoun...right?

Confuzled

4:50

When minor league players have a projection that only has like 1 PA, is that predicting what they would do if in the majors currently? How seriously should I be looking at those?

Jim

4:50

Thoughts on Mike King from the Yankees?

David

4:51

Will Julio Urias ever pitch like he did as a prospect?

Fan

4:51

Projections like the Dodgers in terms of playoff success. I don't. Do you?

Hello

4:51

When should the Mets start worrying about Rosario?

Matt

4:52

Dan. Save me.

Bob

4:53

Jose Peraza, still only 24
2017
518 PA, .259-.297-.324-.622
2018
528 PA, .292-.334-.412-.745
Thoughts on his future outlook ?

Bort

4:56

Does Austin Barnes have a starting job next year?

Joey Bart

4:57

Should the Tigers have picked me #1 overall?

Oyster Burns

4:58

think gleyber is still hurt or slumping? the hip stuff can be scary

NC GO STL

4:59

Harrison Bader's upside?

David

5:00

How crazy is this offseason going to be?

Dbo

5:01

Nashville deserves an expansion team

Hello

5:01

Great, then should Jeff McNeil be the Mets' 2019 starting 2B?

Bread Gardner

5:01

So what did ZiPS say about the number of alien babes Kirk and Riker will sleep with?

David

5:03

Charlotte!

James

5:03

that was quick

Bread Gardner

5:04

Which one (current or historical) major leaguer would you want on your beer league softball team?

Ray Liotta as Shoeless Joe

5:04

Re: $300 per Orioles run scored, whiskey per run allowed, what if the rules were that the moment you became incapacitated/unable to keep drinking, you'd forfeit the rest of the season? How many games do you think you could make it? Could you last through a grand slam? What if a three-run homer happened later in the inning? You could die before you earned a single dollar!

Matt

5:05

What about great GMs as flawless clams? Sans-sand, if you will.

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