JotCast | Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat

Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 8/20/18

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Dan Szymborski

12:27

I think J.D. Martinez actually wins the vote, though I would not vote for him.

Though it's a moot case as I'm in an NL chapter.

Outta my way, Gyorkass

12:27

Is Harper still a Nat on September 1st?

Dan Szymborski

12:28

Yes

CamdenWarehouse

12:28

Did you just refer to ZIPS projections as "snot leak"?

Dan Szymborski

12:28

Bayesian boogers.

Bork

12:28

Ever consider leaking out incorrect ZiPS info to mess with people's fantasy stuff ?

Dan Szymborski

12:28

No, reputation is very important.

Pencil 15

12:29

Now that Kopech is up, who is the next Uber-exciting pitching prospect you can’t wait to see in the bigs?

Dan Szymborski

12:29

I'm still excited to see Honeywell's return next year.

Outta my way, Gyorkass

12:29

When will the Orioles be good again?

Dan Szymborski

12:29

Way too early to say

Matt

12:29

What's the largest mammal you think you could take in a fight? One on one, no weapons or armor and it's in the animals natural habitat.

Dan Szymborski

12:29

Human?

Kike's Tight Pants

12:29

I cannot remember a time the NL was this tightly packed and competitive. The # of teams with a chance to make the playoffs is huge and none of them are separating from the pack either. It's anarchy.

Dan Szymborski

12:30

The AL and NL have flipped a bit. The NL was the bifurcated one a few years ago

D-Cat

12:30

Who is your favorite Tiger's prospect?

Dan Szymborski

12:30

Mize!

12:30

What's a bigger late August surprise - Nationals or Dodgers not being in first place?

Dan Szymborski

12:30

Dodgers, though it depends on when you're being surprised.

Jake Junis Priest

12:30

Cedric Mullins is making me happier about being an O's fan. Don't spoil it!

Slapshot

12:30

If this were the late 1990s, where would Khris Davis finish in the AL MVP voting given the power numbers he's putting up and the A's incredible performance of late?

Dan Szymborski

12:31

He'd do well I think and I dont' think he'd do terribly in 2018 even.

Writers aren't simply ranking by the WARs

bosoxforlife

12:31

Jacob deGrom was actually allowed to pitch a CG yesterday. Is it time to let the great pitchers go all the way again. Forget the lack of offense, he has lost several wins because of the Mets bullpen. This idea that he loses his stuff is rendered absurd by the fact that his next to last pitch was his fastest of the game, a smooth 99.

12:31

What are your thoughts on the "special" games such as the Little League Classic, the Fort Bragg game, and so forth? I personally think it's great for MLB but they need to do a better job marketing them.

Dan Szymborski

12:31

I like fun games. There are 2430 of them after all, be a little creative!

MLB's marketing seems to generally be awful

Chock Full O Nuts

12:31

Are pistachios just tree oysters?

Dan Szymborski

12:31

I'll say yes.

Jeffy

12:32

Thought of Trout as a MVP shoe in 2 months ago but now its looking like JRam and Mookie might both be better candidates. Is it possible the voters give it to Trout just bc it seems like he should have 3-4 by now instead of just two? Reverse voter fatigue?

Dan Szymborski

12:32

It would be funny if they gave Trout an easy walk to the MVP when it's finally not completely obvious he's the MVP

Moltar

12:32

Isn't there already a name for a reliever that throws 4-5 innings but doesn't start a game? Back in my day (I'm 31), they were called "long relievers" or "the long man". I know today's Rays-esque second pitcher is not analogous to the long relievers of yore, but the name still fits!

Dan Szymborski

12:33

I think that stretches the purpose.

john cale

12:33

rougned odor - greatest in-season turnaround ever?

Dan Szymborski

12:33

Carpenter had a below .600 OPS in mid-*MAY*

Some of the questions I'm not answering because there are pieces in the works.

All Cats Are Beautiful

12:34

Is there a better example of a AAAA player than Jabari Blash?

Dan Szymborski

12:34

Dave McCarty?

Slapshot

12:35

Which title match was more disappointing last night - Rousey/Bliss or Lesnar/Reigns?

Connecting…

James

3:53

Does Ohtani win the ROY if he is able to make a few quality starts next month?

Bing Russell

3:51

What is your top ten players for a start up Dynasty league

The Bryce is Right

4:01

Harper to the Phillies before August 31 boosts the world series chances by ____%?

Seattle

4:09

Why are we so cursed?

C.J. Cron

4:10

Why am I not a Rockie? Fill a brutal need, not too expensive, not a rental and Rays clearly have no regular spot for me.

silvpak

4:15

has taillon quietly made the leap this year? absent two starts in april and one in may (where he still went six innings and k'd eight, despite allowing six earned), he hasn't allowed more than three earned in ANY start this entire year, has a sub 3.00 era, and nearly eight and a half k/9. given archer at the top of the rotation and that his various dings early in his career have actually served to not overload his arm/innings until maturity, i think we're looking at a decade of #1/#2 performance.

Over Here

4:16

Boston needs a lh reliever. Can they get one via waivers?

Bork

4:16

Think Donaldson gets moved? If not, will he even get a QO?

dave in slc

4:16

are any of miami outfield sierra, galloway, or dean worth spending $5 of my remaining $11 of faab money on to replace pence as a flier they could be something or sit tight w the $ for now?

AKA22

4:16

Any relievers left in the August trade market you would go after if you were the Braves GM? They still seem weak in the pen.

Dbo

4:17

Cincinnati chili is with cinnamon and sometimes dark chocolate, there's also Mexican chocolate chili

AKA22

4:19

Dusty Baker retroactive manager of the year 2017?

lee

4:20

The plan in LA seemed to be handing C over to Barnes (or Ruiz, or Smith in a year or two) after Grandal's contract expires, but with Grandal a top 3-4 catcher and Barnes's bat going all Chris Davis on us, what do you think the next 3 years of Dodger catching looks like?

$11 Worth of Taco Bell

4:20

This offseason how many years do the O’s give Trevor Cahill?

Jeffy

4:20

The pitcher after the "Opener" is the "Follower"

Bort

4:21

Any players come to mind that you'll be looking to buy low on next year?

$11 Worth of Taco Bell

4:22

Which AAAA hitter has the best chance of breaking out into at least an average MLB player if given the chance?

Jose Iglemirez

4:22

Ideas on who the second PTBNL in the Fiers trade will be? Better or worse than Blackwood?

Marshall

4:22

Suppose you wanted to trade Kershaw (current ERA+ of 160, but likely only 150 innings for the year) for a pitcher with 200+ innings. What's the lowest ERA+ you would accept for the pitcher you get back?

jake

4:23

is this the new amed rosario?

Chuck

4:23

How do you feel about Nathan Eovaldi going forward for the Red Sox? He's had a few great starts and a few not-so-great starts so far.

Better career?

4:27

Brian Anderson or Harrison Bader?

Josh Nelson

4:27

What is ZiPS projecting for Michael Kopech in 2018?

Justin

4:29

You think JD beats Betts? But Betts is so much bett(s)er!

CamdenWarehouse

4:30

didn't you have that mammal question two weeks ago?

4:33

Re: ad bars during games, other sports have begun to use this as a way to keep viewers watching during "downtime." I've seen football broadcasts show a live feed of coaches, players, etc alongside commercials. Win-win.

AKA22

4:33

You heard it here first - DeGrom for Cy Young and Scherzer for MVP. COULD IT HAPPEN??

David

4:33

Isn't a long reliever a failed starter anyways??

All Cats Are Beautiful

4:34

What's the r^2 between the current fWAR formula and a perfect measurement of a player's value? Where is the most room for improvement? Defense? Intangibles?

Moltar

4:36

Forget not marketing Mike Trout enough, why don't more people know about Mookie Betts? He plays for a first place Red Sox team! He's young and talented and fun! I'm an NL fan and I feel like I hear him mentioned once or twice a month at most.

Devil Ray Jay Johnson

4:37

Do the O's make the playoffs again before or after Mars colonization?

The Shell

4:39

How come no one talks about those old projection systems like Marcel and Oliver anymore

Andrew

4:39

The NL award season is going to be interesting. With a weak field for MVP, I've heard talks of deGrom/Scherzer this year, and not to mention the Cy Young race. How likely is it that the voters start breaking from tradition and give deGrom a shot for one or both awards?

CubFan

4:40

You a fan of Taylor Ward ros, 2019?

Tom

4:41

NL chapter, eh? Will you give Matt Carpenter a good look despite his slow start?

CubFan

4:43

Not that it's overly important in the grand scheme of of things but who's catching on the south side of Chicago in 2019, Castillo or Narvaez?

Mark

4:43

Is Keegan Akin an option for the Os rotation next year? Leading Eastern league in ERA and strikeouts

Al Avila

4:44

Should Tigers fans trust me

Jim

4:44

Daniel Murphy a good fit for the Yankees with Didi out?

HappyFunBall

4:45

The pitcher who comes in after the "opener" is the "headliner". Just like with a rock concert.

Dan's Parents

4:48

We have never taken it seriously.

David

4:48

If you were the braves, and only have the funds to lock up 1 player to a long term contract who would you give it to? Freeman or Acuna?

Dusty

4:49

When you say a lot of questions need to be answered about Wander Javier, do you mean by me about him or about him that he has to prove?

Lunar verLander

4:50

In-season turnaround HAS to go to Kole Calhoun...right?

Confuzled

4:50

When minor league players have a projection that only has like 1 PA, is that predicting what they would do if in the majors currently? How seriously should I be looking at those?

Jim

4:50

Thoughts on Mike King from the Yankees?

David

4:51

Will Julio Urias ever pitch like he did as a prospect?

Fan

4:51

Projections like the Dodgers in terms of playoff success. I don't. Do you?

Hello

4:51

When should the Mets start worrying about Rosario?

Matt

4:52

Dan. Save me.

Bob

4:53

Jose Peraza, still only 24
2017
518 PA, .259-.297-.324-.622
2018
528 PA, .292-.334-.412-.745
Thoughts on his future outlook ?

Bort

4:56

Does Austin Barnes have a starting job next year?

Joey Bart

4:57

Should the Tigers have picked me #1 overall?

Oyster Burns

4:58

think gleyber is still hurt or slumping? the hip stuff can be scary

NC GO STL

4:59

Harrison Bader's upside?

David

5:00

How crazy is this offseason going to be?

Dbo

5:01

Nashville deserves an expansion team

Hello

5:01

Great, then should Jeff McNeil be the Mets' 2019 starting 2B?

Bread Gardner

5:01

So what did ZiPS say about the number of alien babes Kirk and Riker will sleep with?

David

5:03

Charlotte!

James

5:03

that was quick

Bread Gardner

5:04

Which one (current or historical) major leaguer would you want on your beer league softball team?

Ray Liotta as Shoeless Joe

5:04

Re: $300 per Orioles run scored, whiskey per run allowed, what if the rules were that the moment you became incapacitated/unable to keep drinking, you'd forfeit the rest of the season? How many games do you think you could make it? Could you last through a grand slam? What if a three-run homer happened later in the inning? You could die before you earned a single dollar!

Matt

5:05

What about great GMs as flawless clams? Sans-sand, if you will.

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