JotCast | Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 8/24/23

Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 8/24/23

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Dan Szymborski

12:18

The White Sox

don't laugh

They're not *going* to turn things around quickly

But imagine if Reinsdorf sold the team

12:19

The new owner would have a Chicago team, even if it's the lesser Chicago team, in a low-effort division

12:20

Fact is, the White Sox weren't *that* far from having a few things go their way and the Reinsdorf-TLR-Hahn-Kennydubs garbage fire working out anyway

crying

1

Matt G

12:20

Do you imagine ZIPS more like Data, Spock/Tuvok/etc, the holodeck, or the 'computer' / Majel Barrett?

Dan Szymborski

12:20

I would hope Data

Though I'm certainly not

RobertoBeers

12:21

A man, a Dan, a Chat, Ohtani ennui, unneinathotahcanadanama

Laxtonto

12:21

Am i a potatoe?

Dan Szymborski

12:21

My mom spells potato wrong in both forms. Potatoe and Potatos

Laxtonto

12:21

Pizza or tacos?

Dan Szymborski

12:21

Tacos

Laxtonto

12:21

Beer or..... Beer?

Dan Szymborski

12:21

Why not both?

David Howell

12:21

If Ohtani has thrown his last MLB pitch, does that make everyone give up on the idea of a two-way player in the majors, with implications for drafting two-way amateurs?

Dan Szymborski

12:21

I don't think it makes everyone give up on the idea

12:22

I think it's always going to be rare

Jerry Reinsdorf

12:22

I'm not actually going to hire Dayton Moore and promote Chris Getz to run the baseball operations, am I?

crying

1

Dan Szymborski

12:22

Getz did have the best walkup music of all time

tz

12:22

If Ohtani had TJ tomorrow, and you were running a big market team, would you still offer him 10/500? I'd strongly consider it, if only because the upside of him pitching again is a plus on top of being a clear top 10-20 MLB hitter.

Dan Szymborski

12:22

I would not.

Phil

12:23

With the bad news about Ohtani, how does that effect his contract?

Dan Szymborski

12:23

Poorly I assume. But he won't be dancing in the subway station for nickels anytime soon

Link

12:24

What are your thoughts on Tears of the Kingdom?

Dan Szymborski

12:24

Have not played yet

Mike

12:24

Are ZIPS 2024/2025 updated mid season? If not, is there a good way to identify mid-season projection improvements for minor leaguers or young big leaguers?

Dan Szymborski

12:24

On my end they are. We only do them preseason on the site

Scott

12:24

What has happened with Xander this year? Has it been mostly wrist related? I know he turned 30, but the guy had been a .300/.375/.480ish guy the last 3 years. Can we make the "first year of a new big contract" excuse? I know you did an article on SD recently, should Xander's ZIPs really fall that fast? He was great last 3 years. Thanks.

Dan Szymborski

12:24

I certainly hope it's a fluke

A Huge Dog

12:25

Woof woof! I feel like not enough people are discussing Sonny Gray's excellent season and home run suppression. As a dog, I only see Gray, but do you think Gray's stats tell the true picture? Do you think he has a realistic shot at the Cy Young? Bark!

laughing

3

Dan Szymborski

12:26

Never fall in love with a guy based on one year HR outliers

xFIP only works as well as it does because HRs allowed is a crappy stat for pitchers

Gray should be good at preventing homers, but there's not much supporting *this* as a skill

12:27

I'd probably vote for Gallen if the season ended today

though it's close

(I'm RoY again, not Cy this year)

Oddball Herrera

12:28

Oh boy - the Monday morning quarterbacking on the Angel's keeping Ohtani is going to be brutal after today's news

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