JotCast | Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat

Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 8/8/24

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Guest

12:44

but Dan I thought ZiPS was just you spitballing numbers

Frank

12:46

How worried are we about Corbin Burnes? He doesn't seem as sharp lately (although still getting wins).

Dan Szymborski

12:46

I'm not

but I can only speak for myself

Local

12:46

Is there a way to listen to ones local team announcers once the playoffs come or only the national broadcasters?

Dan Szymborski

12:46

I think you'd have to hire them without them violating their contracts?

captain planet

12:47

WITHOUT LOOKING: Who was the better pitcher, Hiroki Kuroda or Daisuke Matsusaka?

Dan Szymborski

12:47

Easily Kuroda, so long as we're talking MLB

Guest

12:47

even if the White Sox don't pass the 2003 Tigers in losses, what are the chances they manage to do it in GB? currently 40.5 behind Cleveland; Detroit ended up 47 back in '03

Dan Szymborski

12:47

Dunno, I'm not really equipped for that

Benjamin, J

12:48

If you're the Guardians, what prospect would you promote to provide an offensive jolt in the arm? Brito? Manzardo? Valera?

Dan Szymborski

12:48

Manzardo

I Miss Kyle in Boston

12:48

Apologies if this is doubling up my question, new to the chats and not sure if it sent the first time. Schwarber is going to finish his age 31 season with ~280 home runs, does he have an outside chance at 500?

Dan Szymborski

12:49

I get an absurd amount of questions, so me being able to unanswer defintiely doesn't mean I didn't see

12:50

ZiPS thinks he has a about 180 left in him before decline takes him away, so that's certainly enough to have an outside chance at 500

(180 not including this year)

Adam

12:50

Does ZiPS have a way to approximate a whole season out of teams given their roster construction at a particular moment? In other words, how many wins would the July version of the Dodgers with all their injuries be expected to produce over a full season?

Dan Szymborski

12:50

As long as I have the roster, ZiPS does that

TomBruno23

12:50

Favorite MiLBer is Ramon Sambo. Guy could swipe some bags. Currently a coach with the Norfolk Tides.

Guest

12:50

best approach for Rockies: move team to Death Valley

2025 Orioles

12:52

Reasonably, how much better could the Orioles lineup be next year (assuming Santander is retained)? They are Top 3 this year, but there's a hoard of young hitters. Holliday, Gunnar, Westburg, Cowser, etc. will be another year into their careers. Or would you let Santander walk and put all of your available money into pitching considering all of the injuries and question marks there?

Dan Szymborski

12:53

I think they're kinda near where they can likely be. Once you're this good, the risk is mostly one-sided

oh crap, I was supposed to do Andrew Benintendi

proejction

Jason N

12:56

I have a question inspired by Angel Hernandez. When he retired, I read some commentary on FG (Ben maybe?) claiming that Hernandez was rated an average umpire a decade ago and it speaks to how much umpiring has improved. Got me thinking about Maddux and Glavine for some reason. I remember so much broadcaster commentary about how they worked the outside of the zone so well that they regularly enjoyed an expanded strike zone as the games went on. If they were playing in today’s game with these umps (and their slow fastballs), do you think either of them would thrive in a modern rotation?

Dan Szymborski

12:56

Was he? It certainly didn't feel that way!

12:57

If he's better than I thought, the AI song I wrote for his retirement is really mean.

https://soundcloud.com/dan-szymborski/angel-hernandez-goodbye

Jon D

12:58

Pirates are a playoff team when? What do they need to add this offseason to make your answer 2025?

Dan Szymborski

12:58

They would actually need to add bats in free agency and pay for them