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Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 9/19/16
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S
12:43
Is Jon Gray the most talented pitcher in Rockies history? How does he compare to prime Ubaldo?
AvatarDan Szymborski
12:43
I think he's more talented.
I'm sorry for doubting ZiPS when it kept ranking Gray agove Appel.
above
Q-Ball
12:43
The Reds have tied the NL Record in Homeruns given up in a season at 239 (Rockies of course). The all-time record is 241, by the '96 Tigers. Reds have had some HR issues this year....
AD
12:44
What was the genesis of ZIPS?
AvatarDan Szymborski
12:44
That's a looong story.
Erik
12:44
What does Theo Epstein do that other executives don't that makes him so good at building dominant teams?
AvatarDan Szymborski
12:44
Patience. But he's not like it in a magic tier about himself.
Outta my way, Gyorkass
12:44
What do you think about the recent ESPN article about Mike Trout having an impediment on his MVP chances because he's just not flashy? Do voters in today's day and age still really think that way?
AvatarDan Szymborski
12:44
It's improving, but there are a lot of narrative voters remaining.
Q-Ball
12:44
Let's say the D-Backs fire the FO. If you are the new FO, what are your priorities? You probably have to try to win some games around Pollack, Goldy, Grienke, Miller, etc, next year, rather than full re-build...right?
AvatarDan Szymborski
12:45
Only if I have the financial tools for a retool.
Rob
12:45
I know it's a guess at this point, but which direction do you think the White Sox will go in......retool or rebuild? It seems foolish to me to retool again.
AvatarDan Szymborski
12:45
They're going retool.
They don't have the stomach to make the hard decision to throw in the towel.
12:46
REINSDORF KILLED APOLLO CREED
Outta my way, Gyorkass
12:46
What's your take on non-contenders in September - tank it for the draft position, or try to legitimately win to build up momentum/identify potential contributors for the following season?
AvatarDan Szymborski
12:46
Using the time to add knowledge of players is more important, losing only secondary.
Q-Ball
12:46
Matt Kemp and Jason Heyward have nearly identical WARs this year. Contract aside, who would you rather have had this year playing on your team?
AvatarDan Szymborski
12:47
Well, Heyward. Because there's more of a hope he plays better.
Q-Ball
12:47
AJ Preller got off light, but he was having a good year, IMO, in terms of re-stocking the farm and shedding regrettable deals before that happened. Am I right?
AvatarDan Szymborski
12:47
The Padres had an excellent summer.
Erik
12:47
In what circumstances would voting for someone other than the WAR leader for MVP be a smart move?
AvatarDan Szymborski
12:47
Large discrepancies between measurements, a high percentage from the more volatile component (defense)
12:48
Lack of loyalty or effort, which unlike team quality *is* explicitly described by the ballot.
Mike
12:48
Your tweets over the weekend about 40+ homer guys with low WAR totals was fascinating. Lots of Adam Dunn! Was defense the big reason those guys appeared in that list, or was something else about their offense that year the big driver behind such low WAR?
AvatarDan Szymborski
12:48
He was a very lousy defensive player.
Oneear
12:49
How many pitchers will the Cubs carry into October?
AvatarDan Szymborski
12:50
11?
Raindog
12:50
Dozier currently has 41 HR. How many more must he hit in the next 12 games before he gets a single first place MVP vote? At least 9, right?
AvatarDan Szymborski
12:50
I think he'll sneak out one.
Raindog
12:51
I've been asking various chatters: after Kershaw, Verlander, Felix, which active pitcher has best chance at HOF?
AvatarDan Szymborski
12:52
Greinke still. Lester's still in a position at which he could hit 260 wins.
But would need BBWAA to improve, obviously
Steve
12:52
uhh, isn't the MTV generation real late Boomers and Gen Xers? constant stimulation is more of a millennial thing.
Sirras
12:53
If you could fuse two pitchers together, what hybrid would you want on your team? Kershaw-Sale? Fernandez-Syndergaard? Moyer-Colon?
AvatarDan Szymborski
12:53
Colon-Randy Johnson, because the combination would look like the wrestler Vader with a mullet.
Kevins Dad
12:53
Can you think of a more lopsided matchup this season than today's Aaron Blair v. Noah Syndergaard?
Connecting…
Sirras
 - 
3:48
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Who ultimately won the presidential brawl?
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Bork
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3:54
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If Justin Smoak and JP Arencibia took turn pitching to each other who would strike the other one out more?
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Hi
 - 
4:09
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What do you think about Hanley Ramirez's hotstreak and how it can affect the postseason and the postseason ace?
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Outta my way, Gyorkass
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4:10
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Regarding the AJ Preller suspension - how much does this impede the Padres' ability to make deals moving forward? Do they miss out on opportunities to improve long term because other GMs don't trust Preller, or are their valuable players going to be pursued no matter what, and GMs will consider dealing with him just a cost of doing business?
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Bork
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4:13
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DAN ARE YOU OKAY
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Matt Damon
 - 
4:25
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MATT. DAMON.
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Bork
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4:53
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Sabathia for HOF.
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cc
 - 
4:00
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ZIPS update on Gary Sanchez?
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Jones
 - 
4:01
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Should Atlanta look to trade Markakis this offseason and insert Mallex in CF and moving Ender to RF?
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Erik
 - 
4:02
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Who is more impressive compared to their peers, Theo Epstein or Joe Masson?
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EvanC
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4:10
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Is a generic, barely-jumping home run robbery that can be made by 90% of outfielders (for example) inherently more valuable than a diving catch to rob a single that only 10% of outfielders would have made?
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Andrew
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4:15
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Given all their injuries, how do you (dis)like the Mets' chances against the Cubs if they win the WC game?
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Ronnie
 - 
4:16
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Looks like no one on the Angels is going to end up with 10 saves this year. I know it's a junk stat & all that but it's probably been awhile since that happened, or no?
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Jay Bruce
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4:16
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Jay Bruce toast? Or does a good schedule allow him to turn it around this week?
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Graves
 - 
4:17
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It is 2016 and water falling from the sky is impeding baseball games. Why can't MLB mandate all teams to build a retractable roof? If nothing else, shouldn't all new stadiums be required to have a roof?
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mtsw
 - 
4:18
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I'm about to win a fantasy league because I'm apparently the only one who knows about the "stream starting pitchers who get two starts that week" thing. Should I feel bad about winning largely through tactical acumen rather than player evaluation?
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Steve
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4:24
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Chapman contract prediction?
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here goes nothing
 - 
4:25
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what do you make of jharel cotton? are the Baby A's in better shape with pitching or hitting?
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David
 - 
4:25
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Hanley. Hanley. Hanley. Please discuss.
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Devin
 - 
4:29
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What would it cost Atlanta to acquire Chris Archer? Albies, Touki, and Sims enough?
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Erik
 - 
4:30
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Is what really is the main cause of pitcher injuries a solvable question? And if a team solves it, should they be required to tell everyone, for the sake of pitchers everywhere? Or can they keep it a secret for a competitive advantage?
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Nick
 - 
4:31
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Tim Tebow has a better swing than Mike Trout. Who do you think has a better MLB career?
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Nick
 - 
4:31
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Could Tim Tebow be good
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Disco Dan
 - 
4:31
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on the last day of the season, Arod in his final at bats hit a grand slam and then a 3 run home run in the same inning, giving him exactly 30 home runs and 100 rbis on the season to keep that streak alive. Always enjoyed that fact
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Tim
 - 
4:31
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Can you explain the leverage component of reliever WAR?
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Erik
 - 
4:32
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What is the maximum WAR a "good clubhouse guy" could reasonably provide just by being a good guy?
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Jeremy
 - 
4:32
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When do you see Amed Rosario making his debut for the Mets?
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Nick
 - 
4:33
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The Orioles have hit Rick Porcello pretty well this season. How do you think Chris Davis and Mark Trumbo will do tonight?
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Kiner's Disembodied Hands
 - 
4:33
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How hard do you have to squint to see Kang putting up a 5+ WAR season or two if healthy? Could he hit 40 home runs?
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Nick
 - 
4:33
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Who do you think wins the World Series?
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Scott
 - 
4:33
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What's your theory on the high home run numbers this year?
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Steve
 - 
4:33
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You add, subtract, and multiply. You do not plus, minus or times. Good grief.
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Nick
 - 
4:34
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Brewers have a young roster with a few vets. How do you like their future?
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Hank
 - 
4:34
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Do you think Atlanta would be better off with Markakis on the bench and Ender in RF and Mallex in CF in 2017?
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CamdenWarehouse
 - 
4:34
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Who has more at bats for the Mets going forward: David Wright or Tim Tebow?
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Nick
 - 
4:35
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Markakis is a fucking lord Alex you fucking dumb sack of shit
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Zach
 - 
4:36
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Tebow or Trout
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@RationalMLBFan
 - 
4:36
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I was glad that Ichiro got hit 3000th (and counting!) hit, but was this joy worth watching him be barely playable for the past 5 years? I'm not sure.
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Zach
 - 
4:36
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Kershaw or Bumgarner tonight?
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cc
 - 
4:37
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Do you speak Polish?
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Jeet
 - 
4:37
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Drop Desmond for Drury or Sean Rodriguez?
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Fidel Castro
 - 
4:37
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Why isn't Lourdes Gurriel Jr being rather higher? Teams saw him as the real prize. What changed?
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Corey Taylor, Slipknot
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4:38
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Favorite post-hype sleepers 2017
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Slamboni
 - 
4:38
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Rangers only good starting pitchers suddenly look gassed and not great, are they doomed?
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Jeet
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4:38
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Why is no one talking about Tom Murphy from the Rockies? Young power bat in the middle of a loaded lineup what is not to like for 2017?
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nick markakis
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4:39
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how come you never talk about me
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DyNASTY Joe
 - 
4:39
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Is it stupid to do dynasty trades the day when the window opens (after the last day of fantasy playoffs for my league)
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Tony
 - 
4:39
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Should Cubs fans be worried about the offense? Their team OPS is .681 in September which is 52 points lower than their next lowest month and 87 points lower than their season average? I know teams slump and surge, but I fear that with the foot going off the gas by clinching early, we won't see the struggling hitters sharp again by October 7th.
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Scott
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4:40
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Speaking of wasting prime years, is there a way to get Mike Trout to a contender?
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Dave
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4:40
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Could you give us an example for what kind of package the Braves could get for Freeman? I'm truly interested, thanks!
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Ceej
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4:41
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Do you view Baez's offensive outlook any differently than you did a year ago? The k's are down but I dunno how much he's actually improved.
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CamdenWarehouse
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4:41
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Who would be the potential landing spots if Freeman were made available both in terms of need and ability to put up a package the Braves would accept?
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Dave
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4:41
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Markakis to the mets for Tim Tebow! Who says no?
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HugoZ
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4:42
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Markakis isn't "overpaid" by Fangraphs' own standard.
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Billy Mumphrey
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4:42
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Why so many ATL q's???
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Erik
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4:42
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If Bryce Harper plays the rest of his contract at his current level of performance, what is he worth in free agency?
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Logan
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4:42
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What type of package would the Braves have to surrender to land Longoria?
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Southi
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4:42
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Seems like you answer a lot of Braves questions. Do you think that is more a factor of the team having so many question marks? Or is it just because the fan base of the Braves likes to bug you a lot and you like to reciprocate by dashing their hopes?
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Youngman
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4:43
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Markakis seems like a solid value get this offseason during a weak FA class, could Atlanta maybe save some cash and net a notable back of top 30 pack type prospect?
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Southi
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4:44
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Since you deem it prudent to seek young talent for the better Braves players like Inciarte or Freeman, what type of package would you personally deem acceptable (and fair) to both teams involved?
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Erik
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4:44
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Do you think the Braves/Cubs can work out a deal for Soler? What would it cost ATL
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The
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4:44
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Which one of the bigger surprises this season do you think is legit?
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scremsha
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4:46
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do you think it'd make sense for the Red Sox to trade for Freddie Freeman and stick Hanley at DH? That'd make up for a big chunk of David Ortiz' lost offense and vastly improve 1B defense.
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Sally
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4:46
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Why in the world each week do you bash Markakis? And also why do you want the Braves to trade every good player they have! Teams have to have players people wanna watch!
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Johnny5Alive
 - 
4:46
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with god (tebow) on their side, shouldnt the mets be world series favorites?
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Ronald McDonald
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4:48
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If Trout doesn't win MVP this year is this the biggest travesty of all the years he should have won but didn't?
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i hate my manager
 - 
4:48
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is there really more hope with heyward?
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Wayne
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4:48
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Ender, Mallex, Kemp, and Markakis.. Which two should the Braves rid themselves of?
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Jeb
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4:49
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What did you study in college?
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Jonny
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4:49
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Braves fans are silly... Markakis sucks... Teheran is a true #4 type starter, Freeman is not this good... Tell em Dan... End this ridiculousness.
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Matt
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4:49
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Hi Dan. Sorry I'm late - did you miss me?
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Jim Lonborg
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4:50
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In the spirit of The Other Final, who would have the edge in a 7-game series between the Braves and Twins?
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Avi
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4:50
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Are the Mets going to be able to do a 4 man rotation of Syndergaard, Colon, Matz?, Someone else? Can't see that kind of quartet holding up past the first two in the post season.
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Sonny
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4:51
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Any insight into why the Twins are taking so long to fill their FO vacancy? Organizational decision to keep it transitional through the regular season or difficult ownership/market? All the above?
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Jim Lonborg
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4:52
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Is Hanley's contract starting to look decent yet? The RS don't care if he's streaky as long as the streaks are timed to be helpful, as at present, right?
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Sonny
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4:53
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Wil Myers 80 Grade in box bat twirl skill
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Old professor
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4:53
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Cc with 3,000 k's and Bumgarners post season records should merit HOF over Greinke
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Vere
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4:53
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When do you expect Albies to join Swanson up the middle? Or should they ponder packaging him with Ender and going after a frontline starter or big bat?
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A cat
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4:56
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Should the Red Sox be given the opportunity to redo the compensation for Pomeranz, either receiving a prospect or exchanging lesser prospects for Espinoza? There was an article by a sports attorney on SI who even threw out the idea of making SD take Sandoval or Craig as a penalty.
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pirates hurdles
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4:56
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RE lopsided matchup - Chad Kuhl vs Kershaw and Kuhl won
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Hank
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4:57
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Getting back to Freddie Freeman, who's currently a MVP candidate and arguably the best 1st baseman in baseball. Isn't it a solid argument to keep him and build around him? 2018 wild card seems realistic right? Or have I lost my mind?
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Maverik312
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4:57
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Earlier you said Vargas didn't have a good year in AAA this year. He had low 20 K%, 16% BB rate, and 15 HR in 400 PA -- scaling to 21/22 over 600 PA. Are you just dinging him for the lack of HR? Looks like a pretty good season to me
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Keith
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4:58
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Braves sign Wieters and Nova, and trade for Archer. How much would that move the needle?
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Jim Lonborg
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4:58
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Randy's body with Bartolo's face might actually be a decent looking guy. Bartolo's body with Randy's face would be truly hideous.
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Pauly
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4:59
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Should Coppy bring De Jon Watson aboard his crew?
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Snakes
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4:59
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Aaron Blair and Lucas Sims for Shelby Miller, who says no?
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Lenny
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5:01
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You sure do pick on Nick Markakis alot, seems like a pretty solid player to me.
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Rotten Cotton
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5:01
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Start Cotton vs. HOU?
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Matt
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5:02
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True or False: Brian McCann plays for the NYY in 2017
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Payne
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5:02
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Silly Atlanta fans... Drop the hammer Dan!
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Mike
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5:03
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I was thinking the Braves could pay 90% of Markakis remaining contract and actually net a ok prospect.
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Derek
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5:03
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If nominated for the Supreme Court, how do you see Markakis interpreting the commerce clause?
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Germans Running SNPP
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5:03
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If you were Brian Cashman, would you consider flipping Greg Bird to improve SP (and what could you even get), then throwing $Texas at Edwin? How else could you improve the rotation given the SP FA market is...inelegant.
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Logan
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5:03
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Matt Wisler and Ronald Acuna for Jason Hammel?
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Alex
 - 
5:04
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Whose more valuable: Nick Markakis or Mike Trout without his left pinky finger AND toe?
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James
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5:04
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Markakis + 20 million + Weigel for Jorge Soler?
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CamdenWarehouse
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5:05
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Jason Hammel, the other Cubs pitcher picked off the garbage pil...I mean, who came from Baltimore
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Bobby
 - 
5:05
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Do you think the Braves should bring Ryan Howard aboard, much needed power off the bench and also gives them an option just incase they do decide to trade Freeman?
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Gary
 - 
5:05
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Is it fair to call Trout an OBP guy? He's pretty much Votto with more speed and defense at this point.
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Doug
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5:06
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How about this. Freeman to LA for AGon and DeLeon?
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