JotCast | Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 9/25/25

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Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 9/25/25

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Code Curious

1:03

You mentioned that there was a bug in the playoff odds unfairly weighting the advantage of home-field for AL teams. If you're comfortable, was it new this year or just a freshly discovered bug?

Dan Szymborski

1:03

It was like as of last week

Adam

1:03

Have you watched Taskmaster? Seems like it'd be up your alley.

Dan Szymborski

1:03

I keep meaning to, but it's on my to do list

1:04

the thing is, games tend to get priority over things I passively watch

and I already have a steam backlog that means I have to live to 120 to play them all even if I never buy another game. And I won't and I will

drplantwrench

1:04

talent == content, dan szymborski sleazy superagent

Guest

1:04

Do you think Russel Martin will go into the HOF on veterans?

Dan Szymborski

1:04

No

Guest

1:04

how does arbitrage work in the show? Like, you load up on moonshot cards for instance after the program is over, then wait for the moonshot 2 program to launch, then sell them?

Dan Szymborski

1:05

There's a time imbalance in the MLB the Show markets because people are naturally impatient

1:06

so people will tend to sell their extra cards or cards they don't want for the best buy bid the moment they get them and people buying will just get the frist one available rather than bidding

1:08

My best flip last year, for example, was on 7/25 when someone sold me Awards Kris Bryant for my 62,012 buy offer and I sold the card seven minutes later for 85,950, for a profit of 15.3K after 10% sales price tax

The Person Who Asks the Lunch Question

1:08

What's for lunch? (Is it a lunch day?)

Dan Szymborski

1:08

It IS a lunch day and I had a pit beef sandwich with horseradish from charcoal deli in cockeysville

Insert Witty Name Here

1:09

For off season reading, I’d like to recommend Keith O’Brien’s Pete Rose biography. Only partway in, but thoroughly enjoy it. Sometimes we forget to look at the entire person instead of just their public transgressions. Although Szym’s private transgressions we may never know…

Dan Szymborski

1:09

I'm actually pretty boring. My worst transgression is I didn't pay someone $15 I owed them for a decade just out of spite

1:10

I also helped myself to store materials to fashion various things (a small trebuchet, a powered up staple gun, a gallows with a handle that would allow us to stage hangings of a mannequin) when I worked at a hardware-houseware store in Towson called Stebbins-Anderson when I was 16-17

1:11

Truth is, I destroyed a lot of stuff there, stuff like melting things in the parking lot with chemicals, while working there and they could not have cared less.

While my friends who also worked there would get in trouble for everything they did

1:12

The difference was that the store had this complicated closing process every night that required an ability to operate the Unix terminal

Which meant that every night, one of the full-time staff had to stay until 9:30 PM to close out the store for the night

1:13

UNLESS, that is, Szymborski was working, since I was the only part-time night employee that could do the thing, in which case NOBODY had to stay late.

Insert Witty Name Here

1:13

What was the $15 for? A bag of low grade pot?

Dan Szymborski

1:14

A baseball ticket for a game I missed with a ruptured ulcer that required an emergency trip. I was really annoyed that even after telling him, he immediately sent a *demand* for the $15 that night which was waiting before I even got home from the urgent car

e

which pissed me off, so I was childish, and intentionally didn't pay him

1:15

We were mostly cordial, but he was still annoyed I wouldn't give him the $15, out of the principle

eventually, I stopped being a dick about it and offered to donate $500 to a charity of his choice to settle the $15, but he refused and let it go

Guest

1:15

I miss the (ir)responsibility of high school jobs. The restaurant I worked at had one rule: No eating steaks. Anything else was forgivable: no showing, getting an advance on your paycheck then skipping out of town, fighting customers....

2131 | 1312

1:16

Which disappointing team do you think is in a better position to rebound next year: Orioles or Braves? And which of them do you actually expect to do better, given their respective likelihoods of making needed improvements

Dan Szymborski

1:16

Orioles. I think most of their core is intact and their needs are obvious

Curious reader

1:16

Do you factor 1st baseman receiving skills in Zips? Like maybe a shortstop is making more plays because the guy who is catching his balls doesn't let them go by or come off the bag? Does statcast track this? I feel like it could

Dan Szymborski

1:16

I actually use a scoops measurement, which causes my projections to differe a little. You'll see that in the Alonso data

(I mix DRS and OAA)

1:17

On that note, I have to head out for another week, I have to wrap up my playoff tool for this year!

Thanks for coming all

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