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Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 9/25/25

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Dan Szymborski

12:51

There will be some who prefer Trout's ball though; value is in the eyes of the beholder

12:52

I would PERSONALLY value a Miggy homer from 2013 far more than his number 500 ball

12:53

it had an equal part of him making the milestone, and it came off teh bat of AWESOME miggy, not -- let's be honest -- when he was a bad role player who wasn't as good as half of Triple-A 1B at the time and only played because of his history and salary

12:54

why do I want a homer from shitty miggy over beast mode miggy?

Coby Mayo

12:54

I lead the Orioles in position player WAR in September. Am I good now?

Dan Szymborski

12:54

I sure hope so, for multiple reasons!

Skeptic

12:54

Hey Dan, I think one of the worst outcomes of the steroid era is that when someone like Cal Raleigh hits 60 homers, my first thought is “is he juicing?” Not sure there’s a question there, but appreciate your work as always!

Lord Thunder

12:54

What is more responsible for the Astros' run seemingly coming to an end: the cumulative effects of constant talent drain or injuries?

Dan Szymborski

12:54

Injuries certainly don't help

12:55

The team's also a lot less creative than they used to be, especially with the lineup

HOWEVER, that's my personal feeling, and I could have bias because of Creane's changes

Oaktown Blues

12:55

Insofar as ZiPS ROS can be thought of as ZiPS' best guess at a players true talent level, it seems that ZiPS hasn't totally bought into Tyler Soderstrom's breakout (projecting a 108 wRC+ ROS compared to his season mark of 127). I'm curious if you (or full-fat ZiPS, but that's a bigger ask) are more of a believer than that?

Dan Szymborski

12:55

full-fat ZiPS likes both Soderstrom and easpecially Kurtz a lot more than ROS

Guest

12:55

you hit with the new Trout card in the Show yet? unbelievably rakes

Dan Szymborski

12:56

No, I'm away, so I haven't done any program talent since last Thursday

program CONTENT

John

12:57

Anybody who thinks Cal isn't the MVP this year clearly don't truly understand what it takes to catch 120 innings while putting up his numbers in T-Mobile. Period.

Guest

12:57

do you use ZiPS to flip cards in MLB The Show? If so how successful are you at it?

Dan Szymborski

12:57

No, I'm arbitrage in MLB the Show

12:58

2023 was my best year at 4.6 million in net profit averaging 9,177 stubs per trade

12:59

Reminds me of my good ol' days trading in the late 90s

Honking

1:00

Who is honking outside my window and why?

Dan Szymborski

1:00

Your mom because you didn't call

Eminor3rd

1:00

I actually LIKE the zombie runner rule, but hate the idea of robot umps. What's wrong with me? Should we even try to strive for some type of conceptual internal consistency as fan?

Dan Szymborski

1:00

consistency is overrated

though you're wrong!

Guest

1:00

Hey Dan love hearing you every once in awhile with Brock Huard and Mike Salks radio show in Seattle. Do you think fWAR does a good job calculating value for the Catcher position? To me it seems like its impossible to quantify

Dan Szymborski

1:00

It's hard to quantify, but I think we have a reasonable guess. We give a LOT of runs to a guy for playing catcher

John

1:01

as Jodi Ernst said "we are all going to die "

Dan Szymborski

1:01

I mean, she wasn't wrong, even though it's a pretty dumb thing to say

We *all* make tradeoffs, both private and public, that hasten or delay deaths

Marshall

1:01

A bit of a pedantic question, but do you consider this a breakout year for Raleigh? Considering he averaged 4.5 WAR his first three seasons, I think “no”.

Dan Szymborski

1:01

Well, to THIS extent maybe

Sherpa

1:01

I am puzzled that Fangraphs always give players who DH a "negative defensive" value. Like, how? By definition a DH does not add or subtract any value from how well a team plays defense? Shouldn't it be just 0? Also wonder why Fangraphs hates "Matt" Michael Busch's defense at 1B because the eye test gives him pretty good range.

Dan Szymborski

1:02

Compared to an average player a DH does

(Eventually, I'm confident it will match 1B defensive value)

Dan the Rookie

1:02

You were a former NL ROY winner?

Dan Szymborski

1:02

NO way!

drplantwrench

1:02

with the oncoming of ABS, i wanna say that i think framing is incredibly silly and we should welcome the end of it, in spite of what catchers say - agree/disagree?

Dan Szymborski

1:03

I agree. I like there being skill things, but I don't like tricking the judges

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