JotCast | Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat

Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat - 9/8/22

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Christian Colon for Men

12:57

This is going to be a weird day for Royals Twitter

Judge

12:57

How many does he end up with? Not just zips but what you expect?

Dan Szymborski

12:57

I think he gets 60

Brooklyngail

12:57

First it was Harris. Then Strider. Now Grissom. This trend is becoming very annoying.

someguy

12:58

What do you make of Trout's K% this year?

Dan Szymborski

12:58

Not unexpected as his contact rate has faded last two years

Torquelson

12:59

Hey Dan, Do you think Mookie keeps getting starts at second base?

Dan Szymborski

1:00

He got a handful of appearances there last year too

I never thought him as a wreck at second as a prospect

1:01

But he had the misfortune of being a middle infield prospect on a team that had Bogaerts and Pedroia

A Boy Named Yu

1:01

Favorite hot sandwhich? I.E. Philly steak, chicken melt, reuben?

Dan Szymborski

1:01

Gimme a cheesesteak

second-favorite may be rost pork

as long as we're talking subs

as sandwiches go, I love a good pastrami

brian

1:01

i don't believe your claim to 41 consecutive expletive-less chats

Dan Szymborski

1:01

Any statement is true if you lie!

Guest

1:02

Great gray owls are the most superb.

Lance Biggerstaff

1:02

barn owl supremacy

Oddball Herrera

1:02

Going back to: https://blogs.fangraphs.com/projecting-seiya-suzuki/ --- what's happened to Seiya's projections now that he has almost a season under his belt? I assume they are lower than before

Dan Szymborski

1:02

A bit

but some of that is league

a wRC+ 119 projection leading to a 111 wRC+ isn't that impressive a miss

Jon

1:02

Has Fangraphs discussed moving away from FIP-based WAR?

Dan Szymborski

1:02

Jon

1:02

Is ZiPs for pitchers FIP based?

Dan Szymborski

1:02

No, ZiPS is run-based because the run figures are already regressed heavily towards FIP based on the pitcher's history

A Boy Named Yu

1:03

I was unaware of Gallen's streak until it was written about on here. Failure on my part or has not much been said/written about it so far?

Dan Szymborski

1:03

It hasn't gotten a TON of press

Max Mantis

1:03

Does Zips think I'm crazy for believing in Kerry Carpenter?

Dan Szymborski

1:04

I mean, I've *seen* him so I knew he exists. And "19th round draft pick" isn't the most outlandish origin story

1:05

It's not like you said he flies around in a magic truck every July 31st, putting wooden toys under the Carpentry Day Workbench if good little boys and girls leave wood screws.

He was legitimately excelelnt in the minors this year

There's decent evidence he can hit

Yo-Yo

1:06

With a 7+ WAR season and possible MVP votes, how much is Arenado losing by not opting out of his current deal? It feels like he could add a year and some cash to his current contract, but I haven't looked at the numbers closely.

Dan Szymborski

1:06

I don't think it's THAT much

1:07

He'd be entering his age 32 season

John b

1:07

FG and BBref are always updated each morning after all the games . Who does that? How many data points need to be entered ? How can turnaround be so quick ?

Dan Szymborski

1:07

FG usually updates at like 3 AM

it happens automatically

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