Dave Cameron FanGraphs Chat
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Z
12:23
Todd Frazier could net the Reds what?
Dave Cameron
12:23
Jose Peraza and some stuff, apparently.
Bob
12:24
You think the Tampa-LA shuttle will be open for Jake McGee?
Dave Cameron
12:24
Seems to make a lot of sense to me, yeah. Doesn't have to close, so Jansen can stay in that role, and still gives them an elite LH. Could get one of TB's surplus starters in a deal too.
Erich
12:26
My take on the Heyward contract: Kind of "square peg in round hole" move. Improves team in the short term no doubt, but Heyward loses some of his considerable defensive value in CF, and to put him in one of the corner OF spots displaces either Soler or Schwarber, whom the Cubs may be counting on to provide future value (and in Soler's case, have some $$$ invested in). Not convinced Heyward in CF is worth $100M+ more than any of the other options out there. Am I just being an rival team homer and nitpicking?
Dave Cameron
12:26
Yes.
Brian
12:26
Soler for Inciarte makes too much sense for both teams. Do you believe the Braves are holding out for more?
Dave Cameron
12:26
Agree, it's a fair move for both sides. Trading with Dave Stewart regularly might give one a desire to not make fair trades, though.
Mike
12:27
Still trying to wrap my head around the Dansby Swanson trade. This is pretty much unprecedented. As I find it difficult to believe that Arizona was actually that high on Miller, I am left only with the conclusion that they had already soured on Swanson. Which is more likely?
Dave Cameron
12:28
Rumor going around Nashville was that Stewart was never in love with Swanson. But everyone in baseball agrees that this package should have gotten more back, even if they're low on him.
Joe
12:28
Who would get the biggest contract if they were FA right now: Machado, Arrenado, or Bryant?
Dave Cameron
12:28
Bryant.
Sebastian
12:28
Is Kyle Hendricks better than most teams' #5 starters?
Dave Cameron
12:28
Yes. He's better than a lot of team's #4.
Kevin
12:28
What do you think about the DBacks chances in 2016? The projections on the site think they still kinda stink but media spin is that they added good pitchers to a strong offense
Dave Cameron
12:29
I don't think they stink. I think they're .500ish, so they'll need LAD or SFG to have a rough year, and they'll need some stuff to go well.
Alex
12:30
Are the Cards gonna go anything? Seems like right now they are an 80-win club.
Dave Cameron
12:30
Yeah, if they had $200M to spend on Price of Heyward, they're not going to just pocket that now. They'll do stuff.
Michael
12:32
If the Marlins were actually interested in dealing Fernandez, would Eduardo Rodriguez, Blake Swihart, and one of Owens/Johnson/Shaw/Travis be a reasonable offer?
Dave Cameron
12:32
Yes. Maybe even an overpay, depending on how high you are on Swihart. I'm not as high on him as many others, so I think it's about right.
(
12:32
Soler for Rusney Castillo plus. What's the plus?
Dave Cameron
12:32
A lot. Rusney has minimal trade value.
Julio Pepper
12:34
Wait, wait, wait. Why on earth would Cleveland trade Carrasco for Baez/Soler? Carrasco's under control for 5 more seasons and is at least as good as Greinke over that time (and probably much better). Isn't his surplus value something like $150m?
Dave Cameron
12:34
Carrasco is intriguing, but when you think his floor is Zack Greinke, you're overrating him.
JJ
12:35
Best FA SP left on the market? Chen? Kazmir?
Dave Cameron
12:35
Chen.
El Chapo
12:37
Dave I dont get why fans dont understand that player options only benefit the player. But in the case of Cueto and SF it seems SF essentially is looking at this like a 2 year deal with all the risk of a 6yr deal. They front loaded the contract in hopes that Cueto will opt out as they will need to reallocate costs elsewhere while betting that pitching in the minors will be ready to step into the rotation. Its a expensive gamble.
Dave Cameron
12:38
Right, but it's a less expensive gamble than guaranteeing him $140 million or whatever he would have required without the opt-out. That's the benefit to the team; they lower their total costs if the deal goes badly. They give up some upside to get a smaller penalty if the deal goes south.
TIM
12:38
Do you think we ever see a contract structured with a team opt-out? Like a 5-year deal where the team can cut bait after year 3 if they want?
Dave Cameron
12:39
We see that all the team with pre-FA contracts. Lots of long-term extensions include a bunch of team options.
Jojo
12:39
What a weird deal for the Dodgers.
Dave Cameron
12:39
They probably like Montas and Thompson more than Peraza. I don't blame them.
Joe
12:39
Seems like a poor return for Frazier, no?
Dave Cameron
12:40
Two years of a good-not-great player at arb prices. I don't know how much more than this he should have brought back, really.
DS
12:41
Among Gordon, Upton, and Cespedes, who would be the best fit for the Angels LF job? Who are they likeliest to sign?
Dave Cameron
12:41
Gordon
Currywurst
12:42
how much did the Reds cost themselves by not trading Frazier at the deadline last year?
Dave Cameron
12:43
A lot. Chapman too, and probably Bruce. They should have burned it down in July, and now they're going to take significantly less than they would have otherwise gotten for their pieces.
Jordan
12:43
Is it just me or does it look like the Dodgers got the best end of the Frazier trade?
Dave Cameron
12:44
I think I'm okay with this for everyone involved. Love it the least for the Reds, but I don't think Frazier had as much trade value as was assumed.
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