Dave Cameron FanGraphs Chat
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Dave Cameron
12:19
You're probably glad they hung onto Lindor and Salazar now, right?
"Impact moves" are overrated.
Paytonrules
12:19
If you were a betting man - who is the Cubs opening day centerfielder? Heyward? Baez? Almora?
Dave Cameron
12:19
Denard Span.
Roger
12:20
The Diamondbacks and White Sox seem to be in a similar place insofar as they both have a great core (Goldy/Pollock/Greinke/Miller and Sale/Abreu/Quintana) but lack complementary pieces to really make them contenders. Which one do you think is more likely to have actual post-season success in the 2016 or 2017?
Dave Cameron
12:20
The White Sox aren't in the same division as the Dodgers, so CHW.
Phil
12:20
Considering the market right now, would it make sense for Upton to accept a 1/35M offer over something like 5/100M or even 6/110M, betting on himself to make a bigger splash next year as the best under-30 hitter on the market?
Dave Cameron
12:20
No one is paying Upton 1/$35M.
12:21
If he could get that, then yes, he should definitely go that route. But I'd bet he'd have to settle for $25-$27M on a one year.
Eric
12:21
People often suggest that a team should wait to trade a struggling player so that the player can rebuild their trade value. This makes no sense to me. Other teams can evaluate the possibility that the player will bounce back nearly as well as the player's team can (and certainly as well as any fans or journalists), and everyone involved should be able to make the same risk/reward evaluation.
Dave Cameron
12:22
To a large degree, I agree with you, but there are health related things that only the team who owns the player gets to know, and teams will discount a player if a team isn't willing to try and let their injury-prone guy prove he's healthy. So in those cases, I think a team can build value by letting an injured player prove they're healthy.
Paul D
12:22
Can analytics work in football?
Dave Cameron
12:23
Making decisions based on quantifiably true conclusions can work in any area of life.
Guest
12:23
Is Upton a decent fallback for Davis?
Dave Cameron
12:23
I'd rather have Upton, and he's cheaper, so I'd have Davis as a fallback to Upton personally.
Bork
12:24
What's more nutty this year, the price of starting pitching or relief pitching? The contracts some RP have been getting have been mind boggling.
Dave Cameron
12:24
Yeah, the inflation in the reliever market has been pretty stark.
Threat Level Midnight
12:24
What do you think of Pablo Sandoval going forward? Is he young/good enough in your mind that you expect him to turn it around and become at least league average again, or are the Red Sox stuck with a sub-1 win anchor for the next 4 years?
Dave Cameron
12:24
Average isn't an unreasonable expectation.
Yovanni Gallardo
12:25
Am I really worth 4 years and $50-$60 million with draft pick compensation tied to me?
Dave Cameron
12:25
No.
Joel
12:26
Are the Angels getting one of Fowler, Cespedes, or Upton?
Dave Cameron
12:26
If they really only have $4 million to spend below the luxury tax line, and Moreno doesn't want to pay the tax, then no.
Gordon made the most sense for them.
James
12:27
Given reluctance on 4th year for Gordon from some teams, Bautista looking like 3 year and $60-$70 million for next contract?
Dave Cameron
12:27
No, dingers get paid. He might only get 3-4 years but they will be at much higher salaries.
The Boat
12:27
Do Giants sign a big fish like Cespedes, or back down to Span/Fowler?
Dave Cameron
12:27
I'd bet on Fowler.
TJ
12:28
who do you see as this year's Padres , win the off season and loss the regular season ?
Dave Cameron
12:28
The Padres didn't win the off-season last year according to anyone who knew what they were talking about.
But the most similar off-season to SD last year is AZ this year.
jtt
12:29
Jon singleton has 3 club options each with a buyout, does he get all 3 buyouts if the first club option is declined?
Dave Cameron
12:29
I believe so, yes.
Norman
12:31
Ian Kennedy and James Shields had the two highest HR/FB rates among qualified starters last year. Did something happen out in Petco to change the ballpark's HR-suppressing tendencies?
Dave Cameron
12:31
Yeah, they moved the fences in a few years ago, and it's been much more HR friendly than it used to be since.
Leo
12:32
Can the Jays compete for the division again?
Dave Cameron
12:32
Sure. But they probably aren't the favorites.
Derek
12:32
Yesterday, August said that Carlos Carrasco is a top ten SP in the MLB. Not the AL, all of baseball. Is that his Indian fandom getting the best of him or is he correct?
Dave Cameron
12:33
The projections say the same thing.
Eric
12:33
What would you set as the 95% confidence interval around how many games the Cubs will win in 2016?
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