Dave Cameron FanGraphs Chat
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Dave Cameron
12:33
75-95.
Tom
12:33
Matt Adams and Marco Gonzales enough for Cargo to the Cards?
Dave Cameron
12:34
Should be, yes. CarGo's not that valuable a trade chip.
Eric
12:34
Which team is least likely to make the playoffs in the next 2 years? 5 years? 10 years?
Dave Cameron
12:35
Phillies, Brewers, Rockies.
Joel
12:35
In general, what do you think of a philosophy of someone like Dipoto, who would rather trade than sign FAs? Isn't the issue with that, is that you have to win every trade, which is hard to do?
Dave Cameron
12:36
Why is it easier to win every FA signing?
The Boat
12:36
Which current GM do you see as most similar to you - shares the same thought processes about the game?
Dave Cameron
12:36
Probably David Forst.
TJ
12:37
Could we still see some big trades happening before spring training starts ?
Dave Cameron
12:37
Sure. The off-season isn't over yet. Plenty of stuff still to come.
Anglertron
12:37
Better Season next year: Joc Pederson or Jorge Soler?
Dave Cameron
12:37
Pederson.
Dale
12:38
If the Red Sox wants to offer an extension for Betts, where do they need to come in at? 90M 7 year? This buy 2 year of free agency say for 50M.
Dave Cameron
12:39
He's not going to make $40M over the next five years. Give him $1M for the next two years combined, then arb awards of $5M, $10M, $15M or something, and you're look at 5/$31M pre-FA. So 7/$90M is way too much.
Bork
12:40
AZ is very similar to SD last year. A lot of flashy signings and names, but the team needs a lot more than what they've signed.
Dave Cameron
12:40
This is true of most teams that go stars and scrubs.
mtsw
12:40
How much should teams look at their divisions for when they should "go for it?" The D-Backs' decision to push their chips in seems foolish in light of very strong teams in SF and LAD. Or as a comparison it seemed like it made a lot of sense for Toronto to "go for it" in a rare year in which the Yankees and Red Sox both were reloading.
Dave Cameron
12:41
You absolutely have to weigh your odds of winning based on what your competition is likely to do. The Reds and Brewers should basically give up any thought of making the playoffs the next 2-3 years because of their division.
Eric
12:42
re: Cubs' 95% confidence interval -- so would you say the Cubs have less than a 3% chance at winning more than 95 games? They won more than that last year
Dave Cameron
12:42
I was mostly just giving an idea of how wide the range is. If you want to say it's 78 to 98 instead of 75 to 95, that's fine.
Jason
12:43
Which AL team is least likely to make the playoffs next year?
Dave Cameron
12:43
I'd say the Orioles.
Dave P
12:44
Dave - A follow up comment to a question you answered here early. Petco Park definitely changed due to the fences coming in but also changed due to construction in the area the past couple of years. The biggest addition was the 16 story Sempra Energy building 2 blocks north (link to google map pasted below. (https://www.google.com/maps/place/Sempra+Energy/@32.7086366,-117.1577072,384m/data=!3m1!1e3!4m2!3m1!1s0x80d954a8ca5133d7:0xf0358c7f19af1955
kp
12:45
Ken Griffey Jr is my favorite athlete of all time. Who is yours?
Dave Cameron
12:45
Probably Gary Payton.
Adrian Beltre is in the conversation too, though.
Bork
12:47
How high are you on Marcus Stroman? Ace in the making or just potentially very good?
Dave Cameron
12:47
The lower K% totals make me think he'll be more of a good #2 than a dominant ace.
Big Joe Mufferaw
12:47
Why does no one seem to want Justin Upton??
Dave Cameron
12:47
Think there's still some lingering disappointment with what he is compared to what he could have been.
12:48
Hard to look at him and not think that a +3 WAR player is disappointing giving his physical skills.
GetTheseCookies
12:48
Which 29 year old will age better? Donaldson, Cain, or Chris Davis?
Dave Cameron
12:48
Cain.
Julio Pepper
12:48
Independent of cost, who would you rater have for the next 5 years, Carrasco or Greinke?
Dave Cameron
12:48
Probably Greinke.
Joel
12:48
Do you think its fun when Beltre and Felix chirp at each other? I think it's fun.
Dave Cameron
12:48
It's the best.
Anglertron
12:49
Do you think Keuchel's K-BB% jump last season is for real? Can he Sustain it this season?
Dave Cameron
12:50
He's got elite command of very good stuff and takes advantage of the low strike zone better than anyone in baseball. So until or unless the umpires adjust, yes.
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