Dave Cameron FanGraphs Chat
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Derek
12:50
What would King Felix fetch in a trade to a playoff contender this year?
Dave Cameron
12:50
Probably something like the Hamels package.
Matt
12:50
Who makes the playoffs first: Braves, Phillies, Brewers, or Reds?
Dave Cameron
12:51
Braves or Phillies. NL East will be winnable before NL Central.
GSon
12:51
Including cost.. who would you rather have for the next 5 years, Carrasco or Greinke?
Dave Cameron
12:51
Carrasco, obviously.
grumbleshoes
12:51
Perhaps the question about football analytics could be looked at a different way. Might it be easier to make progress with statistical analysis in baseball than in football, due to the larger number of games played in baseball?
Dave Cameron
12:52
For sure. Also the independence of events, which makes things much easier to isolate in terms of a player's responsibility for the outcome. Baseball is the most individual of the team sports, which is why there's more useful data with it than other sports. The tracking systems are beginning to change that, however.
some guy
12:52
Does Juan Uribe on a 1-year deal to CLE look like a match to you? Seems they could / should add a veteran to play 3b in case Urshela doesn't improve.
Dave Cameron
12:52
Yeah, that seems like a good fit.
TJ
12:52
Surprise team for 2016 is ____?
Dave Cameron
12:54
There isn't really a traditional "sleeper" now that everyone is going for it in the AL and half the NL teams are legitimately awful. So I'll go with the Dodgers; the narrative surrounding them is mostly negative, so people will be surprised when they run away with the NL West.
grumbleshoes
12:54
Should the Blue Jays be interested in Chris Davis, as a hedge against the loss of Encarnacion and/or Bautista? Or would he be too expensive an upgrade over what they're already getting out of Smoak/Colabello?
Dave Cameron
12:54
They shouldn't be interested in outbidding the Orioles. With $150M on the table, no one should be going near him.
Owen
12:55
Lots of talk about the Sox rotation after David Price. Do you think Rick Porcello bounces back and has a good season? Do you think Eduardo Rodriguez becomes the 2nd best pitcher on that staff as soon as next season?
Dave Cameron
12:56
Porcello will be fine. I'm not quite as high on Rodriguez as some others, and think he'll be more of a back-end guy until the command improves a bit more.
mtsw
12:57
Do teams prioritize dingers for marketing/fan popularity reasons or do their baseball ops actually think a 5 WAR guy who hits 40 HR is more valuable than a 5 WAR guy who hits 20 HR?
Dave Cameron
12:57
Lower variance and more confidence surrounding hitting production than fielding value.
Joe
12:57
You said the Orioles are the least likely team to make the playoffs in the AL. How many NL teams are less likely to make the playoffs than the Orioles? 6? 8?
Dave Cameron
12:58
Yeah, probably six. Reds, Brewers, Phillies, Braves, Rockies, and Padres.
Ryan
1:00
No Marlins in that list of 6 teams...you think they might be able to surprise this year?
Dave Cameron
1:01
I'm not super high on them, but the NL East is winnable. Nats have some question marks, especially on health, and Mets are heavily relying on young pitching.
West
1:01
Why do you think the Dodgers will run away with the division when two teams made offseason improvements and LA lost Greinke and still have an average offense?
Dave Cameron
1:02
The Diamondbacks didn't really get any better this winter. The Dodgers offense is one of the best in baseball.
HappyFunBall
1:03
I know it's a silly thing, but any comment on this year's HOF results to be released later today?
Dave Cameron
1:03
More of the same. Griffey will get in, Piazza might, and lots of other deserving players will not.
1:04
Alright, that's going to do it for me today.
1:05
Thanks for hanging out everyone.
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