Dave Cameron FanGraphs Chat
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Dave Cameron
12:22
I definitely didn't love that trade for them, but Simmons seems unlikely to gain value as he gets older, based on defensive decline and increasing salaries, and if this was the best offer they could get for him now, not entirely sure that holding on to him to trade him next winter would have been a better result. So the question is do they think they should have just kept him if the market for him was this soft, but if they suspected they could get Swanson, keeping him makes one of those two less valuable, and that doesn't account for Albies. So, while I wouldn't have made that trade, I don't hate the idea of trading him.
Ronnie
12:22
What is the players best strategy to increase their share of league revenues in the upcoming CBA negotiations?
Dave Cameron
12:23
Their current position is that their percentage of the revenues is fair.
They have access to better data than we do, so maybe they're right, but it was an odd thing for Tony Clark to say publcly.
Matt
12:23
Looking forward to seeing you at Pitch Talks in Toronto on April 7th. Any plans for a FanGraphs meetup while you're in town?
Dave Cameron
12:24
I don't know what my schedule will look for the trip yet; if I end up sticking around for part of the weekend, we'll probably try to do something.
TKDC
12:24
If MLB does not exist in 50 years, and you have to guess why, what do you pin it on?
Dave Cameron
12:24
President Trump calls someone a loser and so they nuke us.
Out of my way, Gyorkass!
12:25
What is your general take on Peraza? Are you with the "something must be wrong with him, being traded away twice" crowd, or are his moves simply the result of needing to trade value to receive value?
Dave Cameron
12:25
I'd say he's a high-floor/low-ceiling prospect, and those guys are often underrated. I think the Dodgers giving him up was probably more about getting guys who fit their needs more, since they are stocked at MI.
Jim
12:25
Do you think the tanking narrative that's popping up is an attempt to influence discussions for the next CBA?
Dave Cameron
12:26
Absolutely.
Batman
12:26
Hey Dave, ETA for when the updated/aggregated ZIPS projections will be available on the FG projection page?
Dave Cameron
12:26
Dan has to give us the spreadsheet, which he usually provides at some point in March, I believe.
TKDC
12:27
Trout and Pujols for Rizzo, Soler, Schwaber and Torres: who says no?
Dave Cameron
12:27
Cubs, easily.
Gap between Trout/Rizzo is not nearly large enough to make up for the other stuff.
Phineas J Whoopee
12:28
How often does a bad team with a resurgent second half, fueled largely by prospects, break out the next year? Is second-half team performance a good indicator of the next year's performance?
Dave Cameron
12:28
I don't know the answer to your first question, but second half performance is a worst projector of the future than full season performance. Don't throw away data.
The Ghost of Dayn Perry
12:28
I know this isn't your department, but kudos on the FanGraphs Memberships. You guys do amazing work and deserve everything you get.
Dave Cameron
12:29
Thank you. It's an idea that David Appelman has been kicking around for a while, and we're pleased the response has been so positive to this point. We really appreciate the community here, and look forward to being around for a long time.
klof
12:29
With the Nats unlikely to be the ultimate destination for a free agent Harper, when do they decide to trade him?
Dave Cameron
12:30
Depends on how this year goes. If they have a terrible season and don't look like contenders going into 2017, maybe next winter. If they win the NL East and make a playoff run, they'll keep him as long as they can keep the window open.
Out of my way, Gyorkass!
12:30
As an aside to my question about the NLC bottom feeders, what of the three contenders falls from contention first?
Dave Cameron
12:31
I'm starting to get worried about the Pirates a bit. I didn't love their offseason, and if a few things break the wrong way for them, they could end up as a .500ish team.
Jeremy
12:31
Jayson Stark just released a survey of 35 team executives. Leading the way with 14 votes for best FA signing was Zack Greinke. In second for worst FA signing with 13 votes was Jason Heyward. Are these really the industry beliefs? Seem crazy.
Dave Cameron
12:32
Stark's sources for that piece appear to be mostly older-school execs. The people actually driving the markets these days don't have these same "he only hit 13 HRs" ideas.
Doug
12:33
Would an Andrew Heaney for Ender Inciarte trade make sense for both sides?
Dave Cameron
12:33
Inciarte is worth more than that.
Mike
12:33
Great article (and exposure) in the Washington Post this week. This may fall into the category of 'none of your damn business', but how are you able to monetize the site? I don't see a ton of ads, and I'm guessing many aren't subscribing (I do, however) since the content is mostly free.
Dave Cameron
12:34
We don't have a ton of ads per page, but we have a LOT of pages. Ad revenue is 90% of our income.
That's a made up number; I don't actually know the real percentage. But it's way up there.
some guy
12:34
Do you pay attention to the other sources' Top 100 ratings? Any player that surprised you (higher/lower than expected)?
Dave Cameron
12:34
Of course; more information is always better. AJ Reed in BA's Top 10 was surprising to me.
Puddin'
12:35
Why, despite 9.5 fWAR in his first two years and a projection to do more of the same in his third year, was Kevin Kiermaier not considered a highly valuable trade asset in your series?
Dave Cameron
12:35
Teams don't pay for defense the same way they pay for offense.
Dustin
12:35
I'm about to be downsized out of my job for reasons completely outside of my control. Is that more or less depressing than the season upon which the Atlanta Braves are about to embark?
Dave Cameron
12:36
Let's assume that because you're reading FG, you're smart and employable, so you'll land on your feet. So less depressing.
Best of luck to you, by the way.
Matt
12:36
Brewers have a Will Smith as well who can bring in a nice haul of prospects as well
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