Dave Cameron FanGraphs Chat
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Dave Cameron
12:36
True; Smith should be one of the big targets of the trade deadline if he stays healthy.
Mike
12:36
The projections seem to love the Dodgers. What's your take on them this year?
Dave Cameron
12:37
They're an excellent team that is underrated by public perception because of their focus on depth over stars.
Jason
12:37
STEAMERS says 79 on Royals. PECOTA says 76. Dave Cameron says...
Dave Cameron
12:37
80ish.
jpg
12:37
The Mets and Indians are clearly the top two, but which rotation would you say is #3 if you had to pick one for, let's say, the next 3-5 years?
Dave Cameron
12:37
I'd take the Dodgers rotation over the Indians rotation easily.
And I'm not sure it's clear that the Mets rotation isn't definitely better than LA's either.
Andrew
12:39
Do you think the Indians acquire either Uribe or Freese to start at 3B?
Dave Cameron
12:39
Uribe.
Am I a Muppet or a Manship?
12:39
What happens if Neil Walker plays as expected and Dilson Herrera is on fire in AAA? Neither guy really plays another position. Do the Mets bump Walker or does Herrera just hang out by the phone all season? Is a trade possible?
Dave Cameron
12:39
If Walker plays as expected, he's better than Herrera, so yeah, Herrera is depth.
Don't Undersell Me Bro
12:40
Steamer Projects Daniel Murphy to have a higher batting average (.308) in 2016 than all players Except Miguel Cabrera. Really his whole .308/.350/.440 projection seems very high given his career .288/.331/.424 line and his age (31). Did they incorporate something into Steamer that could suss out approach changes? Unless you are buying his postseason as the new normal I can't see that career best projection at age 31.
Dave Cameron
12:40
K% is one of the things that stabilizes quickest, and his huge reduction in strikeouts is thus more sticky in the projection.
12:41
A guy who can cut his strikeouts down that far while also adding power is a lot more interesting than a usual 30+ guy.
RMR
12:41
PECOTA has the Reds at 74 wins -- closer to the Cardinals (82 wins) than the Phillies (65). Don't me get me wrong, the Reds are going to be bad. But is PECOTA nuts or are most of the commentariat being overly pessimistic?
Dave Cameron
12:42
Well, the Reds still have an elite first baseman, Hamilton is still productive when healthy, they haven't traded Bruce yet, Suarez is useful, Phillips is fine... they're not contenders, but they're clearly better than the Phillies and Braves.
Guest
12:43
Butler and a prospect for Kemp and cash still makes sense, right?
Dave Cameron
12:43
Why would the A's want Matt Kemp? Why would the Padres want Billy Butler?
el crapo
12:43
Hi Dave. Does FG typically have a presence at Sloan? Will there be a FG presence there this year? Apologies if this has been addressed elsewhere.
Dave Cameron
12:44
I was on the baseball panel a year ago, but I won't be there this year.
Out of my way, Gyorkass!
12:44
Building off of Dove Cameroon's question, won't all of those mediocre veterans eventually find a price point at which someone takes them - even the "tanking" teams will eventually take them at the right price, hoping for a hot early half/midseason trade possibility, right?
Dave Cameron
12:44
Of course. Teams aren't going to leave quality players unemployed.
Urban
12:44
The Washington Post article says you didn't meet David Appelman until 2009. Have you met him since?!
Dave Cameron
12:45
Yeah, we've spent a good amount of time together in the last ~7 years. I go up to DC a couple of times per year, and then we meet up at various events throughout the season; spring training, the winter meetings, the Saber Seminar, etc...
Slew
12:45
How does your chat software work? Do you see the most recent questions asked, or is there a long list you see in chronological order?
Dave Cameron
12:46
I start from the oldest question and scroll through, and am usually 20-30 minutes behind when the questions are asked.
For instance, that question was asked at 12:15
I haven't yet gotten to any question asked since then.
Josh
12:46
Will JP Crawford be called up before September or at all?
Dave Cameron
12:46
I'd assume after the Super Two deadline.
Josh
12:47
How long do you think it will be before we can replace wOBA with stats derived from statcast?
Dave Cameron
12:48
They serve two very different functions. I don't think you'll ever want to replace a metric that answers the "how valuable was this guy's past performance" question; Statcast data will mostly help with "how good is this player's true talent level" questions.
Guest
12:48
I would think that you guys are pretty pleased with the response/reaction to the membership, based on the comments on Appleman's post. Is that right?
Dave Cameron
12:48
For sure. Any time you're asking people for money, you don't know entirely what to expect. The communities reaction has been great, and we're really encouraged that you guys want to help support the site.
primantis
12:49
Isn't the arbitration process horribly broken when Arrieta has to agree to a one year deal valued at less than JA Happ gets for average annual value on a three year deal? It just makes no sense.
Dave Cameron
12:49
Has nothing to do with arbitration process; it's entirely a design of the system to funnel money to veteran players, which is how the union wants it.
Bad Hermit
12:49
Would Braun no longer be a big trade chip for the Brewers?
Dave Cameron
12:49
He probably has negative trade value at this point.
Joe
12:50
With the new CBA, do you think its possible that the players may get a redistribution of wealth (ie significant increase in minimum salary) that could actually cause a decrease in next year's $/WAR in FA? If so how much of a negative impact could that have on teams who went on a spending spree this offseason?
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