Dave Cameron FanGraphs Chat
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Shishito Pepper
12:22
Do you buy the Indians at > 50% for the division?
Dave Cameron
12:22
No, I think our projections are probably overrating their pitchers a bit.
Forsyth
12:22
Given that we now have batted ball velocity, are we going to see any stats that "normalize" a hitters triple slash line based on batted ball rates, BB rates, and ISO? Kind of like FIP or xFIP is for pitchers?
Dave Cameron
12:23
The point of FIP was never to strip luck out of the results, but to separate a pitcher's performance from his fielders. Hitters don't hit to a consistent defense, so there isn't the same need to extract their performance from the overall totals. Statcast data will give us new tools for evaluating hitters, but we don't really need FIP for hitters.
Sam
12:24
Sean Newcomb a mid-season callup for the Braves?
Dave Cameron
12:24
Let's see him figure out where the strike zone is first.
Julio Pepper
12:24
It seems like the Cubs should be trading Schwarber ASAP - will his stock ever be higher? Could they get Carrasco for him? Or if not, Salazar + Bradley or Zimmer?
Dave Cameron
12:24
His stock isn't that high.
Gary
12:25
I saw on Twitter that the Os asked about Markakis and the Braves said no. Why wouldn't Braves want to dump his contract?
Dave Cameron
12:25
They think he's good. I disagree.
Raza
12:26
Do you think Dominic Brown can breakout this year in Toronto ?
Dave Cameron
12:26
Never say never, but moderate power/low contact/bad defense isn't a good skillset. He was a wildly overrated prospect, in the same mold as Delmon Young.
john
12:27
Got in late today... just saw your answer of Schwarber or Soler not making it through the year. Why? And what do Cubs get back in your mind? I disagree with you myself, as both will be needed next year when Fowler is gone. Betting on Almora for next year isn't a sure thing. Please help
Dave Cameron
12:28
The Cubs aren't going to move Heyward to CF in year two of his deal, especially as his defense will decline as he ages. You have to assume he's locked in at RF for the next three years, at least. The Cubs just don't have room for both Schwarber and Soler unless Rizzo blows out his knee or something.
Nick
12:28
Hey Dave, I have to write a paper for my economics class about discrimination (something with numerical data). Planning on writing about baseball. Any suggestions/papers I can reference? Was brainstorming about race & compensation vs. career WAR, maybe why there are so few african american baseball players, lack of women as coaches... not entirely sure. I'd love to hear what you think. Thanks!
Dave Cameron
12:28
Let's open this up to the audience; suggestions for Nick welcome.
Brett W
12:29
Should I pay down my 15-year mortgage ahead of schedule or increase my retirement contributions to move myself ahead of schedule on that point?
Dave Cameron
12:29
Depends on your situation specifically, but in general, save for retirement; there is no retirement loan that you can take out if you fail to prepare adequately for your non-working years.
The Hamburglar
12:29
A few chats ago you mentioned that in lieu of having a FG Spring Training trip, you guys were going to do something to be announced this summer. Is this still happening, and can we expect an announcement soonish?
Dave Cameron
12:30
Yes, it's still happening. It will take place in NY in mid-June. We'll announce it in the next few weeks, I'd imagine.
brad
12:31
Ned yost gets lot of criticism for lineup construction, particularly Gordon towards bottom third of lineup. Can a good case be made that putting a good hitter 7th balances lineup so there aren't three bad hitters back to back to back, thus avoiding easy innings for opposing pitcher?
Dave Cameron
12:32
That value is given back by also reducing the odds of bunching your hits together, which is what scores runs. It's better to get three hits in one inning, then go 1-2-3 for the next two innings, then to get one hit per inning.
Marc
12:32
Thoughts on the Chapman suspension?
Dave Cameron
12:32
Pretty close to the max that MLB could have imposed; no way the union would have gone for a suspension long enough to cost him free agency at the end of the year. Given that limitation, seems fair.
Brian A
12:33
Has the traditional pitching matchup ever been studied before? That is, it's always 1 vs. 1, 2 vs. 2, and so on. All things being equal, each side has a 50% chance of winning. Why not go 1 vs. 2, 2 vs. 3 and so on. Get better odds for every game, and then punt the 5 vs. 1 (their ace) game.
Dave Cameron
12:33
The 1 vs 1 lasts for exactly one day. By the second series of the season, the differences in schedules mean that the order of the rotation is meaningless in match-ups.
Chris
12:34
Bryce Harper is going to get one half a billion dollars, at what point do salaries become so high that the government realizes they need to strip their tax exemption?
Dave Cameron
12:35
You put two sentences together that have nothing to do with each other.
Ned
12:35
Why have rebuilding teams become such a hot topic this year? And how do people who think rebuilding is bad for the game propose to overhaul the draft process?
Dave Cameron
12:35
The CBA expires in 8 months. There are parties who are interested in gaining leverage in those negotiations, and they are feeding their agenda to reporters to get their view into the public eye.
Bork
12:36
Look into your crystal ball. How much does the luxury tax floor go up in the next round of the CBA negotiations?
Dave Cameron
12:36
I'd imagine it will jump over $200 million. Maybe $210M, something like that.
Curtis
12:37
What is your current opinion on the 162 game schedule?
Dave Cameron
12:37
I'd be in favor of a shorter schedule.
Joel
12:38
If you wanted to go to the World Series, would you have to pay or could you get a credential and watch for free?
Dave Cameron
12:39
We get credentialed for the World Series every year, but it makes a lot more sense for David Laurila or Eno Sarris to go than for me, since they do most of our in-person reporting.
Kylo Ren
12:39
DUSTY BAKER FOR MANAGER OF THE YEAR ARE YOU MAD
Dave Cameron
12:40
The Nationals could easily win the NL East, and since they didn't make any big off-season acquisitions, it will be an easy narrative to credit the improvement to the change in managers. Plus, the media loves Dusty.
Maddon will have his talent held against him.
SHS
12:41
How close in approximate trade value do think 4 years of Will Smith might be compare to the 5 years of Ken Giles and Two years of Craig Kimbrel?
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