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Dave Cameron FanGraphs Chat
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Eric
12:33
What is tenet of sabermetric orthodoxy that you disagree with the most?
Dave Cameron
12:33
That we can evaluate the quality of a manager based on the quotes he gives to the press.
Bruce
12:33
Do you think Rusney will be traded? Why do you think he can even be an average OF?
Dave Cameron
12:34
He's shown signs of being a very good defensive CF, he makes better than average contact, and he's got enough power to not be Billy Hamilton. It doesn't take much improvement for him to get to average.
Walt
12:35
Braves = 70 wins too optimistic?
Dave Cameron
12:35
About right. If they trade Inciarte early, I'd take the under.
Bork
12:36
On the topic of Reyes, do you think he'll play for ANY mlb team ever again?
Dave Cameron
12:37
I wouldn't be surprised if his career is over. If he misses all of 2016 (which I think is likely), he'll be a 30-something middle infielder with health problems, legal baggage, and rust from missing a whole year.
Zack
12:37
Which stat right now that sabermatricians use comfortably might become used less and less as time goes on?
Dave Cameron
12:39
Once we have a good number of years of Statcast data, and can create some models using exit velocity and launch angle, we'll probably not need FIP in its current incarnation, and will be able to replace it with something that more accurately isolates a pitcher's performance.
Kevin W
12:39
Huge A's fan here. Any reason I should have hope for this season?
Dave Cameron
12:40
The AL West is pretty mediocre, especially if the Astros regress. If they have some injuries or Keuchel doesn't repeat his great year, the division winner might only get to 88-90 wins. The A's are capable of that in an everything-goes-right scenario.
CamdenWarehouse
12:40
What team projected to compete for a division title falls flat?
Dave Cameron
12:40
I see a lot of downside with the Indians. They're a Kluber or Carrasco injury away from being not very good.
RK
12:41
but Reyes is under contract for 2017 too right...you think they'll just eat 22 million + half of this year...seems unlikely.
Dave Cameron
12:41
It's a sunk cost. If Story establishes himself as their SS, no real reason to have him around as an expensive distraction.
Michelle
12:42
How long do you give the Yasmany Tomas experiment before the Dbacks give up on him?
Dave Cameron
12:43
Depends on Brito. If Brito hits, maybe May. If Brito doesn't hit, they'll keep rolling Tomas out there.
Kole
12:43
Delino Deshields Jr is a solid player, or the second coming of Eric Young Jr?
Dave Cameron
12:43
Somewhere in between.
mtsw
12:44
Followup on the CF positioning thing: should the CFs who play shallow but are considered fleet-footed (Fowler, Adam Jones and Gose for example) play closer to the wall?
Dave Cameron
12:44
Maybe. It will be interesting to see what we learn with more data. Those guys are all players who rate much better by scouting than by the metrics, so there could be something to them simply not playing deep enough. But we just don't know that yet.
turbo
12:45
Loved your piece on the nebulousness of the hit tool. If we're overconfident in our ability to forecast hitting success, does that imply that we're likely undervaluing guys with good power but who have been projected with weak hit tools, like Domingo Santana?
Dave Cameron
12:46
I wouldn't say that. Contact rates stabilize very quickly, and guys who swing and miss a lot in the minors usually don't fix that in the big leagues.
Andre
12:47
Carlos Correa for AL MVP a crazy thing to say? I think the Astros will be really good, and he could legitimately go 30/20 with some highlight reel defense.
Dave Cameron
12:47
Not crazy at all. Lots of people picked him in our staff picks.
Bork
12:47
Will any other games be liveblogged?
Dave Cameron
12:48
We're live blogging all the games on Sunday and the 1/4/7 pm games on Monday.
Nelson
12:49
Any recommandations for thinsg to do in Charleston?
Dave Cameron
12:50
Eat at Butcher and the Bee for lunch. And then FIG or The Ordinary for dinner.
jon
12:51
odds of Addison Russell +4 war season?
Dave Cameron
12:51
I'm lower on his bat than many. I think he settles in a as a good-not-great player.
John
12:52
I don't understand all the hype surrounding Sano. Sure he has power, but he also struck out 35% of the time last year and his offense was fueled by a .396 BABIP. So what am I missing?
Dave Cameron
12:52
He had a 151 wRC+ last year. Plenty of room for regression while still letting him be a beast of a hitter.
Joey
12:52
Your a terrible writter i wouldnt want any of your advice
Dave Cameron
12:53
What about on the proper use of conjunctions?
ctw
12:53
looking at outer banks vacations this summer (have a wife and dog) - would you recommend staying in one place, or moving up and down? are there outer banks towns that are more/less touristy than others?
Dave Cameron
12:54
If you're taking the dog, Duck is where you want to go. Off-leash allowed on beach all day. All the other towns only let you bring your dogs in the mornings or evenings.
And Duck is close enough to Kitty Hawk and Corrola that you can make day trips.
Organizational Health
12:55
Dave, I ask because the King of Trade Value is withering away on a team that can't seem to compete.

Is there a point at Which the Angels should consider trading Trout? I realize that it would be very hard to get the same value back, but it seems, as if the team is far from being very competitive. So trading Trout seems like the best way to infuse a lot of talent into the entire system.

Or am I just to pessimistic of the Angels? Kalhoun is alright, and Richards is good, but beyond that I don't see much of anything?
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