Dave Cameron FanGraphs Chat
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Pope
12:24
Is Syndergaard the best pitcher on the mets?
Dave Cameron
12:24
I'll say yes.
Erik
12:24
Is there a list somewhere of when various stats stabilize? When can we first say we know something, and what can we know?
Brendan
12:26
Part 2: Can we agree that what Bautista did in terms of "obstruction" or "interference" was very close to the lower limit of what is possible? Does that mean that from now on any sort of interference should be taken out of the game? And is that really what everybody wants?
Dave Cameron
12:26
Uh, yes. Baseball is not about offensive players interfering with defensive players.
Gavin
12:26
As a Dodgers fan I'm not sure if I should be optimistic at this point or if the Padres are just really bad.
Dave Cameron
12:26
Both.
Andy J.
12:27
What's the biggest overreaction one can make following the first two games of the season?
Dave Cameron
12:28
The Dodgers are the best team of all time.
mtsw
12:28
How do you keep the best relievers available for high leverage situations without constantly burning them by warming them up and not bringing them in? Especially now that the league is cracking down on time-wasting or stalling maneuvers like visits to the mound.
Dave Cameron
12:29
It's a legitimate point; one of the problems with the relief ace theory is that you don't always have time to get a guy up when a rally starts.
12:30
But if you use a guy like Giles every time he gets up, or almost every time, you can limit the up-and-downs.
A Fruit Salad
12:30
A little ways into the season last year, someone proposed a Syndergaard for Betts swap and you said that made the most sense of the trades you'd heard for Betts (which were running rampant). Which side of that trade would you take today? Acknowledging that neither team in real life would feel motivated to do that.
Dave Cameron
12:30
I think I'd probably take Mookie because of the reduced risk, but I wouldn't fault anyone who wanted Thor. They're both remarkable young talents.
B.B. Rodriguez
12:31
What do you think Betts max power output is? I get that he's strong and has a quick bat. But he's just not big enough to project for 30+ HR right? I just don't see him anywhere near Trout or Harper level without that kind of power. And a lot of people are saying he is.
Dave Cameron
12:31
No, he's not a 30 HR guy, and I don't know anyone who is saying he's at Trout/Harper levels. But he can hit 50 doubles, 15-20 HRs, have an even BB/K, steal a bunch of bases, and be a valuable defender, and that's a superstar in its own right.
m
12:32
Re: Specific Picther, batter matchup data points. Could you compare a batter fares against similar pitchers to get more data points?
Dave Cameron
12:32
Yes, there's been some work done on batter vs pitcher types, and there does seem to be some good information there.
Damaso
12:33
If you take a 50/50 blend of FIP WAR and RA9 WAR from the past two years and pro rate those performances to 200 innings pitched, then the Jays' rotation rates out basically the exact same as the Red Sox's. With that in mind can you really say the Sox's is better?
Dave Cameron
12:33
"If you do this exact thing designed to support my preconceived belief, then I'm right." Your passion to support your team is admirable, but your logic is not.
Doc
12:34
I get it was obstruction, but he barely made any contact. Ending a game on that little contact is ridiculous
Dave Cameron
12:35
"Well, officer, I know I tried to shoot that guy, but my aim sucked and I was only using a .22, so I don't think I should get in any trouble here."
Harvey Dingle
12:37
If James Shields continues to struggle (but doesn't completely fall apart), do they swap him and take their chances on Sandoval? (with some money being moved around of course)
Dave Cameron
12:38
Shields is a little bit underwater, but he's nowhere near in the red as much as Sandoval is.
Bork
12:38
So I asked August this but I'm curious about your stance on it as well. If Brett Cecil keeps pitching like Brett Cecil, do the Jays offer him a QO?
Dave Cameron
12:38
No.
BS
12:39
Think you could be getting any germs from your Dog?
Dave Cameron
12:39
Well considering the kid has sick for a week, and now I have the same symptoms he does, it seems more likely that it's the boy.
Brendan
12:40
Respectfully, I'm not sure it is as clear cut as you are putting it. Sliding full speed and late, sometimes way off the bag and changing directions was essentially a very dangerous form of interference, and was previously allowed in baseball. To go from that one extreme to this other extreme is a big change. It appears to me that the spirit of the rule change was to limit injuries at second base, and not necessarily completely removing interference. At the very least, I believe this merits a debate.
Dave Cameron
12:40
The rules are explicit about this, and this is not a recent change; runners have never been allowed to interfere with a defender.
It's just not part of the sport.
B.B. Rodriguez
12:41
Picking him for MVP over Trout is putting them in the same class. I love Mookie but i think he maxes out at 6.5 to 7 war. I don't think you win MVP with less than 8 anymore.
Dave Cameron
12:41
You realize that there's still a huge swath of voters who won't pick a guy on a non-contending team, right? Do you remember the Trout/Cabrera debates?
Westin
12:42
Do you think Kazmir's start will dampen some of the "LAD in disarray" narrative? Obviously it's only one start, but it might be a reminder to people that the Dodgers rotation actually is quite good.
Dave Cameron
12:42
We have better data now than he had when he wrote that.
Well, that was the wrong answer to the wrong question.
Let's try this again.
mtsw
12:42
Didn't Tango try to do the batter type vs pitcher type thing in The Book and find there was basically no meaningful data beyond the FB/GB split (and L/R splits, obviously)
Dave Cameron
12:42
We have better data now than he had when he wrote that.
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