Dave Cameron FanGraphs Chat
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Nate
12:47
Is there a way to compare the past year's crowdsourcing contract predictions to actual contracts signed?
Dave Cameron
12:47
Yeah, we've done this in the past, and the crowd is usually about 20% too low.
senpaisanto
12:47
should the cubs have given up more to get miller, or was that somehow no go?
Dave Cameron
12:48
I would have traded Schwarber to get Miller, but the Cubs like Schwarber more than I do.
Tess of the D'Arnouds
12:49
Could a NL team sign EE to play 1B?
Dave Cameron
12:49
Possible, but unlikely.
Daniel C
12:49
As teams get smarter, are we looking at the end of good small market franchises? Or is there more evolution to come that will keep teams like the rays ahead of the curve and competitive?
Dave Cameron
12:50
Well, the easy narrative is that the widespread flow of information has made it harder for lower revenue teams to compete, but KC is still the reigning champs and Cleveland just swept Boston, so...
Overall, I think the dramatic increase in TV revenues have been better for the bottom half of teams than the top half, so the league has been flattened out monetarily.
Bevan
12:51
Couldn't you see the Red Sox going all in and getting Chapman? It seems like a Dombrowski kind of move.
Dave Cameron
12:51
No, they're not going to displace Kimbrel.
Jack
12:51
Would it make sense for the Phillies to trade prospects for a player like Adam Eaton (if available) who's still on the better side of 30 and locked up for the foreseeable future?
Dave Cameron
12:51
Better for the Phillies to keep their prospects and try to develop their own stars.
jon
12:52
How much of the 20% discount crowd-source vs market value is winner's curse?
Dave Cameron
12:52
A lot of it. The crowdsourcing project is an average of the bids, while the contract the player signs is just the max bid.
Praise the Sun!
12:52
Every month seems to be setting records for high temperatures. Has there been much research looking the relationship between weather and home runs? I know balls go further in warmer weather so it makes sense that as the climate changes home runs should go up too.
Dave Cameron
12:53
It's been excluded as a factor. The increase in HR rate is due to an increase in exit velocity, which isn't controlled by the weather. The question is why exit velocity is up.
Guest
12:53
Why is it so hard for non-cable subscribers to watch postseason baseball legally? I'm very happy to pay for the product, as I did all year with my mlb.tv team package, but now (a) the games are not included despite my team still being in the playoffs and (b) I can't just buy a postseason package without a cable subscription (at which point...why buy an mlb.tv package).
Dave Cameron
12:54
Because Fox, ESPN, and TBS paid a lot of money to MLB for the rights, and they want to recoup that investment by having you pay them for their services.
weezy
12:54
Who was your favorite LDS broadcast team? I found it hard to stomach some of the commentary at times.
Dave Cameron
12:55
The Fox crew is the best. The TBS crews (outside of Smoltz) were painful.
And I'd be happy if Bob Costas never called another MLB game again.
JT
12:55
Isn't that a huge economic fallacy? people ARENT going to pay for their services because there isn't an easy short term way to do so
Dave Cameron
12:55
They don't want you to pay short-term; they want you to keep a year-round subscription to cable because of the hassle of figuring out how to watch the playoffs every October.
botchatheny
12:56
any ideas where holliday may land? not sure his usefulness now...
Dave Cameron
12:56
Could see him Boston as an LF/DH/veteran leader.
12:57
Alright, have to end things a few minutes early today due to a meeting. I'll be live blogging game five of the LA/WAS series tomorrow night, so come back then for ~4 hours of fun.
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