Dave Cameron FanGraphs Chat
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Dave Cameron
12:23
Eric's Top 100 is still our most read piece today, and it was published on Monday.
Hot Corner
12:23
If you could build your franchise around Nolan Arenado, Kris Bryant or Manny Machado, which would you choose and why (assuming equal control/dollars)?
Dave Cameron
12:24
Bryant. I love Machado, but two knee surgeries is a little scary.
Arenado just isn't in their class.
Youngman
12:24
When would you expect Coppy to use his #1 farm system for trades acquiring MLB help? (not rentals)
Dave Cameron
12:25
He loves starting pitching above all else, so I'd imagine he'll be the high bidder on one of these Archer-types whenever they become available and the Braves look ready to win.
Matt
12:25
With Jake DeGrom back into the mid-90s, is there a better 1-2 punch than him and Syndergaard?
Dave Cameron
12:25
Kershaw/Hill. Kershaw is just so much better than everyone else.
Nick
12:26
Do you know anything about elbow swelling? Apparently Carlos Carrasco has it, and even though the Indians think it's no big deal, anything with elbows sounds terrifying to me as an Indians fan. Should I calm down?
Dave Cameron
12:27
I've heard that Carrasco approached the Indians and asked for the extension they gave him last year. So, yeah, I don't think he's particularly confident in his long-term health, and if he's not, than neither am I.
primantis
12:27
The Reds seem to have gotten the pu pu platter for Strailey. Wouldn't they have done better to keep him with the goal of dealing him before the trading deadline this season?
Dave Cameron
12:27
Not if you think 2016 was a fluke.
Which it very well may have been.
Evil Goatee Dave
12:28
If you were taking a date to a baseball game, would you share drinks and not pay attention to the game, try to communicate analytically about the game's mechanics and rules, or spend the whole time looking for a place to get to second base?
Dave Cameron
12:29
I'd try to make sure my date was having a good time, so what you do depends a lot on her personality. But I will note that asking me for dating advice is like asking Harold Reynolds to explain mixed models.
JKD
12:30
Koda Glover keeps getting talked up as having future-closer stuff, and has been lights-out so far this spring, just as he was last year before getting hurt. What's the smart play here developmentally - just give him the job and let him work through bumps in the road, or give it to one of the several 8th-inning-capable guys on the roster (Kelley, Blanton, Treinen) and make him *take* it?
Dave Cameron
12:30
I'd give it to Kelley.
If Glover is crushing everyone in May or June and you're still concerned about Kelley's workload, you can make the switch then.
BTR
12:31
Can Willson Contreras have a Buster Posey-esque career?
Dave Cameron
12:31
In general, you want to bet against a guy having a "one of the best players of all time" kind of career.
CubsNerd
12:31
Can you give me some reasons for optimism on Heyward? One of the FG chatters this week said something like "not sure one offseason is enough time to fix that swing, if it's ever fixable"
Dave Cameron
12:32
The idea that we really know much about swing mechanics from watching on TV is silly. Heyward has been an above-average big league hitter for his entire career before last year.
mtsw
12:32
After diving into the catch probability stats a little, does it change any of your opinion about who the elite CFs are?
Dave Cameron
12:32
Not really. The guys we thought were great rate out really well.
Turd Ferguson
12:33
Dave, why is Nolan Arenado's wRC+ 25 points lower than Kris Bryant's? Is it basically a baserunning thing? He is also slightly lower in OBP, but strikes out way less, walks about the same, has a higher ISO and slugging. I'm just confused on how the difference is so large
Dave Cameron
12:33
Park factors.
Q-Ball
12:34
Where do you think Derek Norris should land? He was terrible last year, but he's not THAT bad a hitter, right? He rates well as a framer.
Dave Cameron
12:34
The Rays make a lot of sense. The fact that no one in baseball would take him at $4m is more about the timing aspect of not wanting to force your pitchers to learn a new catcher a few weeks before opening day. He can still clearly play at this level.
Matt
12:35
What you think 'bout Lance in the Pants McCullers? Top 50 SP?
Dave Cameron
12:35
I think Lance in the Pants is the worst nickname I've ever heard.
jknight82
12:35
Do you think Homer Bailey will rebuild his value enough this year for the Reds to deal him after the ASG break?
Dave Cameron
12:35
No.
Jason
12:36
Was listening to Carson & Travis on the podcast talk about how MLB teams are so good at valuing players that there is almost no need for agents. Do you agree? How long until a player decides that his statcast & WAR data speak for themselves, why not save myself 5% on $120mm?
Dave Cameron
12:36
A few players over the years have represented themselves.
12:37
But agents don't just negotiate contracts.
It's basically the same calculation normal people make when hiring a realtor. Yes, we could probably sell our home by ourselves, but the marginal difference we'd save generally isn't worth it.
Erik
12:37
Any idea if Statcast has anything in the works analogous to catch probability for infielders? Seems like distance and time alone wouldn't be enough in the infield, since much of the difficulty there comes from judging the ball's hops.
Dave Cameron
12:38
Yeah, time/distance doesn't work for the infield. Especially with shifts. I know they're working on IF stuff, but it's just harder.
American League boyz
12:39
over under 3.5 Indians make the all star team?
Dave Cameron
12:39
Kluber, Miller, Lindor are the three most likely.
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