Dave Cameron FanGraphs Chat
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Dave Cameron
12:39
So basically, the question is anyone else likely to make it from that team.
I'll go under.
IsIt2015Yet?
12:40
Tbf, I hadn't read about the data not accounting for positioning.
Dave Cameron
12:40
By its nature, a time/distance calculation is positioning-neutral.
BB/K
12:41
How does the Rest of Year Depth Chart Projections account for missed time (DL stints, suspensions, ect.)?
Dave Cameron
12:41
When a guy gets hurt (or suspended), we reduce his playing time.
Jeremy
12:41
This has been the most entertaining WBC to date. Recency bias or fair?
Dave Cameron
12:42
Fair.
Dan
12:42
Can you give me some 80 tools currently in MLB today? Stanton power? Kershaw curve? What else?
Dave Cameron
12:42
Chapman's velo, Hamilton's speed.
Aaron Hicks' arm.
Paul
12:43
Should fielders get any credit whatsoever for how they position themselves? I know that is heavily influenced by coaching - but then again, so are lots of aspects of baseball. I'm not talking about shifts necessarily, but just taking a few steps in the right direction that ends up being the difference between making a play or not. I also fully realize that's hard (impossible?) to quantify, but I figure there is value in being good at that.
Dave Cameron
12:43
Absolutely.
While true-talent metrics are interesting, what we really care about is value.
And turning a ball in play into an out is valuable.
Erik
12:44
So if FanGraphs wanted to maximize traffic while still being basically FanGraphs you'd have to turn into SabrBuzzfeed?
Dave Cameron
12:44
There's a reason Buzzfeed and Bleacher Report got so big so fast.
Clickbait lists are everywhere because they work.
Sleeper Star
12:45
Just for fun: Considering we're now in the "Golden Age of Shortstops," what 2-3 field positions do you think are headed for the Dark Ages over the next 5+ years considering their depth of Major and Minor League talent?
Dave Cameron
12:45
First base is kind of garbage right now.
12:46
Good young first baseman: Greg Bird, maybe. Cody Bellinger, potentially. And that's about it.
Guest
12:47
Enjoyed the piece on prospect valuation. Is there any data on proximity to the majors? Is a 60 FV prospect in AAA worth any more than a 60 FV prospect in Lo A?
Dave Cameron
12:47
The FV rating is supposed to take risk into account.
And proximity to the majors is part of risk.
DTH
12:48
in the development of a new metric, if it told you something vastly different from what you thought was true, would you first assume a) there's something wonky with the metric, or b) you're learning something new about the players? I assume you'd examine both possibilities, but which would be your first assumption?
Dave Cameron
12:48
Depends on what the metric is measuring. If you tell me you have a new offensive value tool that is wildly different than wRC+, your tool is probably broken.
12:49
If you have a pitcher or fielding rating, then I'd be way more open to drastically different conclusions.
Tyler
12:50
You dont think EE has a good chance to make the all star team?
Dave Cameron
12:50
Is the game in an AL park this year?
I honestly have no idea.
12:51
If it's in an NL park, no.
mtsw
12:51
How do you feel about the rule change that forbids teams from laying markers on the field to assist players with positioning for shifts?
Dave Cameron
12:52
I don't think it will matter much. There are other ways to get guys to stand right where you want to.
CaptainPeanutbutter
12:52
Simmons' fielding would probably be an 80, right? or is he not quite there? KK's fielding?
Dave Cameron
12:53
Yeah, though overall fielding is more of a combination of tools than one tool itself.
Matt
12:53
"This ball was hit with the third highest exit velo of the season, but you'll never believe what happened next"
Dave Cameron
12:54
Fun fact; hardest ball ever hit by Statcast was a double play.
Henry
12:54
Because 1st base is so bad, should a 1st base prospect like Mancini or Bellinger be worth more than a SS propsect like Torres or Crawford at this point?
Dave Cameron
12:54
No
Von Schloss
12:54
Chris Russo just cited HR & RBI from last year as reasons Kiermaier is not worth his contract extension. That makes me sad.
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