Dave Cameron FanGraphs Chat
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Zwak
12:21
How likely is Mike Trout to be the greatest player to play baseball while I'm alive? Feel free to assume whatever age you want for me.
Dave Cameron
12:21
Passing Ruth is going to be hard.
But he has a pretty decent chance to go down as the best player of all time who only pitched or hit.
Ben
12:22
What are the chances that a Rockies pitcher could beat out Cody Bellinger for Rookie of the Year?
Dave Cameron
12:22
Not that good.
Zwak
12:23
Who would win an all-Fangraphs staff version of Survivor?
Dave Cameron
12:23
Sullivan is the outdoorsiest of the bunch, so he'd the most likely to actually make it work in the wildnerness.
Robert
12:23
What would be the smart move for Seattle? Start going the way of a teardown or do they see what a healthy team can do the rest of the way and add some pieces in the offseason?
Dave Cameron
12:25
I honestly don't know. The problem is that you can't really tear it all down, because Felix's contract is unmovable right now, and Cano's you'd have to pay down a good amount. So then you're selling Cruz, a DH-only guy at this point, and 1.5 years of Jean Segura? Not exactly the kinds of trades that turn your organization around.
Chris
12:25
How many years until the Yankees are projected as of game 1 of the season to be a 90+ win team?
Dave Cameron
12:25
I'd bet they're there next year.
v2micca
12:25
So, I never bought the 2017 or the 2018 deadline for the Braves return to contention. But lately, I'm becoming increasingly bearish on the 2019 squad. Should I be lowering or raising my expectations for 2019?
Dave Cameron
12:25
2019 is far enough away that we can't really say.
But yeah, the Braves aren't good, and they aren't very close to being good.
12:26
Right now, the hope is that Albies, Acuna, and a few other guys who can't drink come in and fill a bunch of holes, but it's a lot of holes.
v2micca
12:27
This sounds ridiculous to ask, but is Trout having a break out season? I've never seen him maintain this much power over this long a period. Could we be seeing the beginning of an even more incredible Trout that starts slugging 45+ homers a year?
Dave Cameron
12:27
At this point, never say never with him. He's so good.
Chris
12:27
What's the likelihood of Trout putting up a 12+ WAR season over the next 5 years? If you were forced to guess, how many WAR does he have at the end of his career?
Dave Cameron
12:28
To get to 12 WAR he'd have run a 200 wRC+ and have a pretty solid UZR. I'd say ~5%.
In terms of career, he's at ~50 now, so I'll guess 143.
sabrtooth
12:29
Does Mike Hazen or Brian Cashman have a harder decision to make this summer?
Dave Cameron
12:29
Hazen, easily. The Yankees are clear buyers.
spencer
12:29
am i the only one crazy to think the yankees are setting torres up for a call up to 3B in June?
Dave Cameron
12:30
Torres projects for something like a .300 wOBA in the big leagues right now. That's not a starting 3B on a contender.
Alex M
12:30
If you were a GM and had the choice to add one of these guys to your org, how would you rank: Benintendi, Judge, Conforto, T. Turner, Mazara
Dave Cameron
12:31
I'd probably go Turner, Conforto, Judge, Benintendi, Mazara.
But could be convinced to move the top three around.
The Future
12:33
Miguel Sano has had quite an interesting season so far. How good do you think he can be long-term?
Dave Cameron
12:34
I think he's probably a +4 win player in his peak.
Not a lot of defense or baserunning value, but the bat is legit.
Steven Matz is on the Mets
12:35
Biagini - competent starter or bullpen guy?
Dave Cameron
12:35
I'd probably keep him in the pen.
silvpak
12:35
Argument: Clayton Kershaw is the best pitcher in the history of baseball. Not saying that it is a winner, but we're at the point where the argument can legitimately be made, no?
Dave Cameron
12:35
No,
12:36
He's had a very good run, but he's not up there yet.
Bruce Bocce
12:37
First you said Yulieski was overmatched, then he looked (with babip help) improved, then lousy again. Getting pitched out of the zone a lot, which some see as sign that pitchers fear him. You sticking with your assessment?
Dave Cameron
12:37
He's not getting pitched out of the zone out of fear; he's getting pitched out of the zone because his plate discipline sucks.
He's not good.
It's meh power and a bad approach.
His offensive profile would work if he was a good defensive 2B or something, but as a 1B on a winning team? No.
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