Dave Cameron FanGraphs Chat
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Sean
12:38
Could the Dbacks be the third or fourth best team in the NL?
Dave Cameron
12:38
Dodgers, Cubs, and Nationals clear top three.
So no, no chance of breaking that mix.
Paulie Walnuts
12:39
Not sure why you put Correa over Arenado, Votto and Goldy. All of those guys are better than him currently.
Dave Cameron
12:39
Correa is a 22 year old SS with a career 130 wRC+. He's a monster.
Owen
12:40
Do the White Sox get what they're asking and trade Quintana by the deadline? If so, which team agrees to trade away all the young talent needed to make the deal?
Dave Cameron
12:40
They won't get what they wanted, but yeah, he'll go this summer.
Pat
12:40
What does J.D. Martinez FA contract look like? Great hitter, but, D has gotten shaky..5 yrs, $120 million?
Dave Cameron
12:40
Depends on how he finishes the year. I'd bet something closer to 4/$100M.
JTT
12:41
Russell is actually good, baez is all based on potential. Why would they do that?
Dave Cameron
12:41
Addison Russell, career wRC+: 89
Javier Baez, career wRC+: 85
Crazy 8
12:42
How is "trading a guy on an upswing" different from "selling high"? You clearly believe in the virtue of the latter but your comment on Schwarber implies it's not something a smart team could/would want to do.
Dave Cameron
12:42
The Cubs love Schwarber. It's going to be hard for them to trade him if his recent performance is strong, because it will confirm their pre-existing belief that he's a monster hitter.
But if his recent performance isn't good, then they'd have to admit that they were selling low.
So it's tough to imagine a scenario where they trade him.
Brendon
12:43
Fangraphs has suddenly closed and you now have 4 job options. Which would you choose: 1) Work in a front office 2) National baseball writer 3) Local baseball writer 4) Don't work in baseball (what would you do)?
Dave Cameron
12:43
Well, I'd obviously need more information about the particulars, but if I could get another gig that let me stay in Bend, that would be idea. So probably 2 or 4.
12:44
I don't think there's much demand for Bend Elks coverage out there.
Matt
12:45
Do you buy Russell's current struggles being a significant issue? Strikeout rate continues to come down and batted ball profile hasn't changed much from last year.
Dave Cameron
12:46
He's not a 63 wRC+ hitter, obviously. But he remains a below-average contact guy (even with small increase, still at 75%) with average-ish power. That's a tough combination to be a top-tier hitter. With his D, can be a very nice player even without being a big hitter, but I think he's more early career Brandon Crawford than late career Brandon Crawford right now.
Lars
12:46
As a follow-up to the Mariners question, I think the salient dilemma is whether to trade the aging core stars (Cruz, Cano, Felix, et al) at this trade deadline to be able to acquire greater return than if you wait another year or two and they're older and even less effective.
Dave Cameron
12:47
Felix is unmovable. Will need to probably just wait that contract out.
And teams usually aren't taking on Cano-sized contracts in the summer.
That's more of a winter deal, most often.
Jones
12:47
I know we have WAR, but in your opinion, is a guy like Kershaw more valuable than a guy like trout because pitchers like Kershaw are more rare than players like trout?
Dave Cameron
12:47
Nope.
12:48
Kershaw is awesome, but we just had Randy Johnson not that long ago. The last Trout was Willie Mays.
Some guy in PA
12:48
How would you fix the Phillies? Fire the manager? Bench some regulars? Promote some of the AAA studs? Make a trade? All of the above? None of the above? Thanks!
Dave Cameron
12:48
The team isn't good, by design. Why would you think they need fixing?
12:49
It's part of the rebuild plan.
ChiSox
12:49
Regarding Seattle's conundrum, do you think Boston could use Nelson Cruz and give back a decent piece?
Dave Cameron
12:49
They already have a DH.
12:50
This is the problem. Which AL contender needs a DH, really? You could argue the Astros, but that's an in-division trade.
Cruz is good enough to have value, but the practicality of moving him for a big return isn't there.
Baryolo Cologne
12:51
The Reds seem to have the offense that is competitive currently, but their pitching staff is obviously a major problem. Is it that out of the question for a team like the Reds to pick up an SP1 and SP2 and try competing in the nearer term than we all think?
Dave Cameron
12:51
Yeah, it's out of the question. Barring Shohei Otani really liking Skyline Chili, there's no mechanism in place for them to get those guys.
Pat
12:52
Who has the bleakest future? Tigers? Seattle? Toronto? Seems like all 3 are aging, with few assets to sell & poor farm teams.
Dave Cameron
12:52
The Royals. They aren't good now, they have no farm system, their assets are all FAs this winter, and they've backloaded all their contracts.
When you're dreaming about what jason Vargas might be able to bring back, things aren't great.
TTO%
12:53
You win a Baseball analyst Make-A-Wish and can join any Front Office for a 24 hour period. What team do you choose and for which day of the baseball calendar?
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