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Eric Longenhagen Chat
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Pete
12:49
Is Jhoan Duran still a 50FV?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:49
subject to change, but based on what I know about his velo during instructs activity, yes.
AM
12:50
How do you like Jose Miranda, Kirby Snead, and Phoenix Sanders?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:52
Was big on Miranda (always in the 40+ or 45 fv tiers) until after 2020 when I just 40'd him like an impatient idiot. I still think that a relatively positionless player with his level of plate discipline is scary, but that's also what i thought about ty france. That's the outcome you're hoping for with Miranda. Snead was just on the Jays list and I do like him as a bulk middle inning reliever. super funky, velo has been up last couple years. Sanders is interesting:
12:54
50% slider usage, fastball sits about 90 but has big carry, curveball has depth. more up/down depth type for me
Stephen A Smith
12:54
When are you addressing the controversy involving me?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:55
it was just a ruse to get people into the chat, methodology i assume you endorse, crag rangoon, things of that nature
Bob
12:55
I grabbed Dustin Harris, Johan Rojas,  Joey Wiemer, Eddys Leonard, and Drey Jameson late last year. Believer in any/all?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:55
yeah bro
basically all
Steve
12:56
Does Bobby Witt have a similar profile to Trevor Story?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:56
yeah, that's not a bad comp (minus story's weird 2021 throwing issues)
criticalfocus
12:57
Vidal Brujan had an amazing 1st month of AAA, hitting 7 HR and a 164 wRC+ in 22 games. In his remaining 81 games, he hit 5 HR with a 95 wRC+, plus a brutal MLB debut where he hit -63 wRC+ in 10 games without drawing a walk.  Is he still a top 100 prospect? From an outsiders perspective, he got a lot of people excited in April, then was pretty awful.
Eric A Longenhagen
12:59
still a top 100 guy, the fantasy players love him because of the steals. tough to see how he fits on current TB roster, anticipate he'll be dealt at some point. At one point I thought he had a shot to grow up to be ketel marte (broad strokes profile was the same, brujan had ridiculous underlying musculature and is a worker bee who might suddenly get very strong) but that's less likely now i agree
Bob
12:59
Can you give a preview of the next pod of teams? Seems like the pace is quicker this year and much appreciated.
Eric A Longenhagen
1:00
after the tampa-area pod will be scottsdale, followed by the PIT/TBR/BAL trio in the central gulf coast.
Mike
1:01
To add on to David’s question, why don’t all minor league teams have milb tv feeds?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:03
IDK, just has to be some combination of cost/upkeep (you need people to install cameras, you need broadcasters and producers, audio/visual equipment) relative to the benefit. There's video being taken in every park by the parent club for scouting purposes, but you'd need enough interest in the minors throughout the fan base to justify it
Guest
1:03
Thoughts on Michael Stefanic? Saw you gave him a floor of "upper-level emergency depth guy" but I'm curious what's most likely, and his ceiling. Steamer has him at 99 wRC+, ZIPS at 93, so the hit tool seems real?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:04
special bat to bal skills but such low-level impact. He popped up no our radar for the statistical reasons you allude to, but BG and I didn't think the visual eval supported inclusion in the main part of the list
Jacob
1:04
What are some of the more interesting Player Dev things teams are trying that you know of?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:05
motion tracking stuff, guys wear a sports bra-looking thing under their uni feeding real time biometrics to a laptop nearby. lots of different brands of tech do this, let me check my notes to find at least one...
1:06
one of them was called "Polar"
1:07
you can see some of the Guardians guys wearing something that creates a lump under their jersey beneath the nape of their neck here:
1:08
that's wearable teach
Rand Al'Thor
1:08
I am interested in knowing how much a guaranteed result would weigh against a potential result in your Top 100. For example, if you had a crystal ball that said a guy like Nick Gonzalez would end up as a 4 WAR player per year for 10 years, and every other prospect doesn't have a crystal ball, where would Nick Gonzalez likely rank on the top 100?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:10
like 10th? That'd be a 60 FV btw (3-5 annual war during pre-free agency is a 60)
joey
1:10
how does Esteban Quiroz get a major league chance? Rule 5 pick at 29 years old? or does he just continue to perform at triple-a in perpetuity
Eric A Longenhagen
1:10
probably the latter/NPB?
i wanna see him get a chance somewhere, if Ramon Urias can be decent then Pony can be too
Tyler
1:10
I know he's a Virginia pitcher and their track record is rough but do you see Griff McGarry as a high leverage guy in a bullpen down the line?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:11
def has that kind of stuff, but 20 control means there's bust risk. he's been that guy forever.
Ed
1:11
Do you still see a future for Brendan McKay, either as a pitcher or a position player?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:13
no idea, his injury situation is not something we have a lot of precedent for. I think you can frame it as: could he carry real weight in a trade right now or would teams be too scared of the injury stuff?
ligmon2
1:14
any particulars about dahian santos that explain his ranking 14th in the jays’ system?  want to know what separates him from kendry rojas / yaifer perdemo (who also had standout performances in complex league), and what his ceiling / floor look like
Eric A Longenhagen
1:14
Santos present velo > Rojas and it isn't close. Perdomo is a Dback now, Soria trade
wily vets
1:14
who are your favourite "prospects" that are over the age of 25 and/or who have you been silently rooting for the longest?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:16
just mentioned one in Quiroz, still think Julian Merryweather and Justin Topa might have relief impact, Zack Reks, Cooper HUmmel has a cool skillset,
Slurms McKenzie
1:17
Any players in the Colorado system you think could breakout in 2022?
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