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Eric A Longenhagen
1:39
I'm struggling with it. Aquino seems to have emerged. How many of these guys per year, two to three?
NILs
1:40
For fantasy purposes, who would be your top 5 picks in a first-year player draft?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:40
So this would be A) players drafted in the 2019 amateur draft and B) 2019 July 2 guys (Puason, Bayron Lora, etc), right? Not 2018 J2's (Luciano) who played their first pro games this year along with the 2019 drafts, right?
1:41
We should just have a Board filter for those setting, huh?
1:42
Well, if you type '2019 J2' or '2019 Draft' into the search bar, you can get the two lists you want.
1:43
my top 5 would just be the order they're all ranked
Evan
1:43
I have no idea what to make of Kevin Newman's long-term prospects. Is he producing up to what his pedigree was, or is this driven by the juiced ball? Can he be a 1-2 WAR starting SS for the next few years?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:44
from an overall value perspective I think you have the WAR range right
1:45
Newman is definitely a bottom of the scale power guy, top of the scale contact
we've seen examples of that before: Jose Iglesias
Iglesias puts the bat on the ball, it just doesn't go anywhere
1:46
he also plays elite defense. He's been a 1.5 to 2.5 war type his whole career. Newman is a similar offensive player with just okay defense, so he's probably on the low end of that range/will live in a slightly lower range during his career.
Weenie
1:46
THE BOARD skips #43 on the overall mlb prospect rankings
Eric A Longenhagen
1:46
gracias, that's probably someone who graduated
Red Thunder
1:46
At this point, what's a realistic career outlook for Clint Frazier, assuming he ends up in a playing time situation sooner rather than later.
Eric A Longenhagen
1:47
i think he's traded this offseason
clint and the org seem like oil and water
Al Avila
1:47
How concerned should I be about Mize's subpar performance after returning from his injury? What about the fact he tends to wear down each year as the season progresses.
Eric A Longenhagen
1:48
I think you're right to have noticed it, but I wouldn't fret. He's got the whole offseason to rest now. If he starts next year in a similar fashion, we'll revisit
Mitchell
1:49
Ought I make anything of Devin Sweet, an undrafted free agent signing in 2018 out of an HBCU who posted a 2.75 FIP, 30% K rate, 5% BB rate, in 127 IP over two levels this year?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:49
Yes, he's Boardable this offseason. Low-90s, changeup. Seattle has started developing some arms, it seems
Pete
1:49
People always comment about ETA on THE BOARD. You could just make it default to 40 man roster add per RosterResource. Seems to approximate well enough.
Eric A Longenhagen
1:50
we've been doing it manually up until now, but with Jason on board this is likely what we'll start doing
JupiterBrando
1:50
is modern pitcher usage affecting your FV evaluations at all? it seems like there's an increasing use for guys who can throw 4-5 effective innings rather than pure starter or reliever. are there any profiles that start to look more effective in that mid-range requirement, or is it mostly just guys who aren't good enough to be starters?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:51
Yup, we're looking at three-pitch guys who are short on command or guys with one dominant pitch or who can live off deception for 4-6 outs at a time as 80-100-inning relief types. JB Bukauskas is someone we view as the top of that group.
Yankees Flop
1:53
Do you have any information on Antonio Cabello or Kevin Alcantara? Studying statlines in low minors can sometimes be pointless, but it is difficult to find a lot of information on players at their levels of the minors. Any information would be a pleasure to read. Cheers!
Eric A Longenhagen
1:55
Cabello hasn't had a great year. Looked like plus-running C/CF with advanced contact skills and at least gap power right now, someone who might move quickly and who we really liked despite a lack of physical projection. Alcantara is all physical projection. Super wiry CF with uncommon body control for his size and age, natural feel for lift. Could be tooled up all star CF. more here: https://www.fangraphs.com/prospects/the-board/2019-in-season-prospect-...
Tony Plush
1:55
Any reason for Royals fans to be moderately optimistic about Ryan McBroom? Grasping at straws here
Eric A Longenhagen
1:57
yes, but be reasonable. There are lots of recent examples of players like this turning into something, even if it's just for a little while. Bour, Walker, Aguilar, Cron, Cooper. Older mashers who get a shot. But you've gotta flip them when you can because, in my opinion, it's not likely this guy is still good when the Royals are next competitive (he's already 27) and, as evidence by the names above, these types of players move pretty freely, from 40-man to 40-man. Prove he can hit big league arms, then trade him while he's years 0-3 to a team for which that really matters (TB, MIN, CLE, OAK types) for something with real potential to grow.
JK
1:57
What do you make of Joey Bart's year? Hot end to the season in AA, struggles after the hand injury in A+
Eric A Longenhagen
1:58
he looked fine when I saw him in August
A's and F's
1:58
How much hope should an o's fan draw from delmarva's success this season?
Eric A Longenhagen
2:00
I think the improvement to some of the pitching in the minors (Grayson, Baumann, heck David Hess is better, Tim Naughton) is a great sign
Kylie McJenner
2:00
How valuable is the Arizona Fall League for judging/scounting top prospects? Great competition but small sample size and some end-of-season fatigue I'd imagine
Eric A Longenhagen
2:02
yeah, it's a mix of good and bad. My mindset in AFL is to focus on positives. If a player is showing you things they can do, they can clearly do those things. If they're missing something that might be explained by fatigue, etc., then I give them the benefit of the doubt in AFL.
Flying over the radar
2:02
Back in 2016 the reds signed Jose Garcia for 5 million which seemed like alot at the time, but he seemingly had the talent to justify it. He struggled initially, but this season has fared much better. There are also rumors out there that he has grown a couple inches and his frame maybe able to support added muscle. His fly ball distance has made a dramatic improvement over the course of the season. Any idea if he is starting to put it together? Is his frame filling out? Has he gone through a swing change? Thank you for taking the time.
Eric A Longenhagen
2:03
This is probably a situation where the 2018 line was poised by how he was handled. Didn't play at all during '17 instructs, sent right to MWL in '18. Just too fast. He was so bad early his line never recovered. He's an offseason top 100 candidate.
Dystopian Future
2:04
As a Marlins fan, I've been wondering how much Lewis Brinson being shuttled back to Triple A is hurting him, he seems like a raw tools guy and I was under the assumption that those types of guys tend to get better just with years of reps against MLB starting pitching. Clearly the Marlins have a plan to take on these toolsy types of players, but are they mishandling them/do they have the development team to successfully help this player type? I'm just worried because it feels like the Marlins are at the slot machines while everyone else is playing blackjack, metaphorically speaking. Not to mention that this reminds me of how we horribly botched Marcell Ozuna's development at the big league level.
Eric A Longenhagen
2:04
I think there will come a time when he just needs to sink or swing at the big league level, but I did not think this year was the time to take that approach.
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