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Eric Longenhagen Chat
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Eric A Longenhagen
1:09
SO, I just checked the pitching leaderboard...
1:10
Among qualified starters, Robbie Ray has the highest WAR of anyone with a double-digit walk rate. Most starters with walk rates in the area that Sandoval's career marks indicate he'll be at, long term, are near the bottom.
1:11
I guess what I'm saying is, I still have Sandoval as a #4/5 starter type
Salty
1:11
Suzyn Waldman mentioned in a recent broadcast that minor league players are better off getting promoted to the majors rather than playing in minor league playoff games simply for the extra meal money they get, since they get nothing extra for the playoffs.  Is that true, and if so, why don't they receive extra money for playing playoff games and/or winning a championship?  The title means little, but the ML affiliate is receiving extra revenue - why not pass it down to the players?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:12
i agree.
v2micca
1:12
If the MLB expands to 32 teams as Manfred seems to want, do you foresee an NFL style re-alignment (North, South, East, and West) with each division having only 4 teams?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:13
hmmmmm, do the four division winners just make the playoffs then?
I like two 8-team division better, I think
Jaffe rhymes with Taffy
1:13
How is the weather in Zona?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:15
Brandon J.
1:16
A couple of days ago, Josiah Gray struck out Kelenic on what appeared to be a changeup, if he is able to keep developing that pitch, what is his ceiling?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:18
Is the three-pitch mix plus the command just in Nola range at that point?
Maybe the raw breaking ball isn't as good, the delivery isn't as tough on hitters as Nola. But just off the top, that's who has stuff like that, right?
and command
Billy Beane
1:19
Hey Eric, thanks for chatting, have you ever scouted a knuckleballer? And if so, how do you do it? It seems difficult, because I don't know how you would get reps at it.
Eric A Longenhagen
1:20
Like 3. All three times the guy go whacked. I don't anticipate it coming back in a way that's ever really relevant to what I'm doing such that I might need to get better at knowing who has a good one.
Archer
1:21
I know he's not technically a prospect anymore, but does Victor Reyes have a shot to be anything more than a 4th OF? He seems to have taken a decent step forward offensively after Detroit basically kept him on ice for all of 2018.
Eric A Longenhagen
1:24
For me, he's just a 4th OF. Due for BABIP regression, a .250/.310/.400 type with fine glove in CF. The switch-hitting is valuable off the bench...def plays a role, justnot a regular for me
ChuckNChino
1:24
Please tell me you patented The Board.  Its an amazing tool, and I am very appreciative of all the blood, sweat and love you pour into your creation.
Eric A Longenhagen
1:25
It's legally recognized as a sentient, conscious being and therefore cannot be patented.
Philip
1:25
The Padres have had some nice peripherals from young AZL arms such as Jeferson Garcia, Gabriel Morales, Martin Carrasco, Luarbert Arias, Miguel Rondon, Edgar Martinez, Jesus Gonzalez. Are any of the arms interesting or on the list of guys you plan to talk to scouts about? Do you guys know anything about them currently
Eric A Longenhagen
1:27
Yeah, you have them all bucketed correctly, too. The Padres seem to love squat pitch-ability types on the July 2 scene, and they have several from last year's AZL group (this year's MWL/NWL teams this year) as well. Manny Guzman, Efrain Contreras, etc. We have to sit and do apples-to-apples comparison's with similarly aged and skilled teenagers from the domestic draft on guys like that.
1:29
For example, we 40 FV'd Andrew Dalquist and Matt Thompson before the draft. Those guys have better stuff/physical projetion than most the the guys you listed. But we 35+ FV'd Will Rigney -- less projectable guy with feel -- which is more what that group is comprised of
so yeah, a bunch of them will be at the tail end of the Padres offseason list
hinkskyism
1:29
who do you think has the most big league upside on a seemingly very talented Williamsport crosscutter team?  bryson stott, johan rojas, kendall simmons?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:29
Stott. Lefty-hitting SS with power. Rojas is tooled up, too.
hinkskyism
1:30
if Reading is eliminated from the playoffs do you think Spencer howard will get called up to the Phillies to finish out the month?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:30
That just doesn't seem like Philly's style
Evan
1:32
It appears as if Fangraphs is the high man on Aramis Ademan compared to other publications. He's a 50FV, 91 on THE BOARD with a 2020 arrival. What has he shown you this year to keep him at that level despite a poor repeat of A+ and other publications backing off his ceiling?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:34
He's in that Andres Gimenez/Luis Garcia soft 50 area. Tools aren't nuts but they're well-rounde,d he has plate discipline skills, his line is not bad (92 wRC+, the average at SS since '15 is 92) for a shortstop, let alone for one who was 20 all year at Hi-A.
kyle
1:35
What do the angels do with chris rodriguez next year assuming he is healthy? he pretty much missed the entire year, but dominated in his brief work. Send him to AA to keep dev on track or leave him in A+?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:36
He starts until he has feel for his entire repertoire, then I'm 'penning him and moving him fast as an eff you, three-pitch reliever.
That org needs to start winning
hinkskyism
1:37
any idea who replaces Johnny Almaraz as phillies Head of scouting.. any inkling of an inclination they'll try to scoop someone up from the teams with powerhouse scouting depts.  NYY, Hou, LAD?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:37
no feel for that one
Richard
1:37
Do you think prospect ranking/projection is more accurate today than in the past? If so, how much of an improvement has there been?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:38
not sure, it'd be an interesting thing for someone to study, but it'd have to be someone from a publication that has no prospect coverage for the sake of neutrality, so it won't be us
John
1:38
If Julio Rodriguez tears up the AFL - will he be a top 10 prospect going in to 2020?
James
1:39
It seems like there are a ton of statistical pop-up prospects in AA/AAA this year.  Is this normal or just the new high-minors ball creating a ton of noise?  How can you tell if the improvement is legit (ala Muncy) or not?
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