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Eric Longenhagen Chat
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Sir Nerdlington
12:33
A publisher and I are trying to name my book. How'd the Future Value title come to be? It seems obvious, but that's not always the case when you have a blank cover sheet.
Eric A Longenhagen
12:35
We struggled with the title, too. We just giggled at how brazen it was to name the book after FV (which we knew we were going to talk about in the book) and thought it'd be good for the site.
Guest
12:35
Do you consider age-related production as being very important in prospect eval.? Like Is torkelson a better producer/potential ceiling than Vaughn long term (based on Tork age 19 season)?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:36
Yeah I think in some situations we need to look at it with more context (for instance, I'd consider players old-young on three scales: age, reps, and body) but I do think it's important, more for hitters though.
Murdoc
12:36
Are you going to be keeping a closer eye on the KBO than normal?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:37
yes but it's lower on my list of stuff to do with free time than cramming for the NFL Draft
Julian Casablancas
12:37
Are you a fan of the Strokes? You digging The New Abnormal?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:38
Like them a lot, haven't gotten to the new album yet. I've been on a King Gizzard and Gary Numan binge (Replicas is dope)
Zack
12:39
What are your thoughts on driveline?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:43
That the company is comprised is extremely hard-working and intelligent people who generate real results, and the camaraderie I've witnessed there is amazing and nurturing, while I sometimes disagree with their "move fast & break things" style because I think it results in unintended consequences that impact our culture negatively and I think some of their half in/out jobs create conflicts of interest.
Matt Chapman
12:44
Saw you questioning if my arm was 80 grade in a recent chat. Isn’t my arm the key to my unique positioning (10 feet further back than average 3B) and defensive dominance?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:45
Perhaps, I would have guessed your incredible ability to come in on slowly-hit balls and fire strikes to first is what enables you to play back. Playing back like that means you have to backend, plant, and uncork lasers less often, not more.
Blake
12:45
Would you consider Crochet or top hs arms more risky?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:45
Crochet. Delivery scares me.
Andyman
12:45
Kohl Franklin about to shoot up your CHC board, or was the sample size too small in Eugene to validate a skill improvement?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:46
Changeup is a real out pitch, definitely moving up.
Sir Nerdlington
12:46
This season will change scouting forever right? Teams relying more on video, pushing even more of the costs to be seen onto the players (travel to regional tournaments, etc.). Ultimately all families will be almost required to buy their own Rapsodos and Edgertronics to tweet their underlying metrics at teams in order to be seen or am I going to far?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:47
The notion that families need a Rapsodo for their kid is probably too much, but I do think this is going to catalyze real change to scouting, changes a lot of teams were looking for an avenue to enact and now have one.
Drewsipher
12:47
Not gonna pretend this isn't a fantasy question, but who would you pref between Braden Shewmake and Greg Jones?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:47
For fantasy it's pretty easily Jones.
Mucho
12:47
Do you think the Orioles try to go below slot at 2? Veen or Gonzales make more sense if that’s the case?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:47
If they have a bunch of players evaluated the same then yes, that was Elias' m.o. in Houston
Teddy Ballgame
12:48
With the Dbacks signing Nick Ahmed to a 4yr extension, do you think Geraldo Perdomo moves to 2B?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:48
Nah, I bet he plays some 2B for the sake of versatility but not because of Ahmed.
Hinkie
12:49
Do you like Brandon Aiyuk (Arizona St.) for the Eagles?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:50
Too rich in round 1.
Mike
12:51
Any chance that all minor league Trackman info becomes publicly available? All teams seem to have everybody else’s data, so what’s the point of the secrecy?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:51
Maybe? I'm surprised what I have on The Board has been the only public attempt to do anything comprehensive with that stuff.
Busker
12:51
What's your estimate of the likelihood there's any 2020 season, and how has it changed recently?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:53
I still think it's greater than 50/50 that we have baseball but (and folks, this is just my dumb human gut combined with relative disillusionment about how we collectively handle crises) would say that my internal odds have fallen in the last week.
AL
12:53
a few terms in the book that i highlighted and would like clarification on: 1. getting a guy "Cross checked", 2. helicopter swing (Wander), 3. Halladay's "one-piece" arm action
Eric A Longenhagen
12:54
making note of these for the visual index
Teddy Ballgame
12:54
Is there a high likelihood the Rangers organization modified Jung's swing over the offseason to get to his raw power?  Have you heard anything in that regard?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:54
No based on what I saw in the spring
Xavier
12:55
What are the chances of a MILB season this year? My team sucks and I want to see our prospects develop!
Eric A Longenhagen
12:55
Very small. I think a de facto Triple-A team will need to play on the backfields in the event of MLB injuries and that we'll have some kind of extended fall league, but nothing at affiliates.
Bernabel/James
12:56
Apologies, I was looking at estimated fly ball distance not exit velo
Eric A Longenhagen
12:57
I have each of their *actual* average flyball distances at close to 300ft. Where's this coming from?
Salty
12:58
Eric - how is Arizona life these days?  In New Jersey, all the parks, beaches and golf courses are closed, and there's lots of Whattsamatta Yous to anyone not walking around with a mask.  Are people still enjoying the outdoor life out there (golf/hiking/etc.), or are things pretty restricted?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:01
I've left my house for food and to exercise, that's it. My Tempe suburb neighborhood has had more walkers/runners than is usual, sometimes a group of college guys who clearly live together will play bocci ball at the park near me, which isn't a great look but if they're living together it doesn't matter. Downtown Phoenix is a ghost town. I'd say mask use is 50/50 right now. Our problem here is the rate of testing (low, varying day to day) and data generated by it, which has been hard for analysts to clean before really analyzing.
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