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Eric Longenhagen Prospect Chat
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Eric A Longenhagen
2:01
Good day, sirs and madams. I'm just finishing writing up the prospects in the Chapman deal so give me a few minutes...
I also require liquid refreshment.
Also, holy crap there are a lot of you here.
2:07
OKay, let me start by plugging some stuff and letting you know that, after hitting Chicago for the Under Armour game and getting back home to AZ last night, I was forced to eat salad for breakfast. It was really terrible.
2:08
So here's the link to my Bregman callup piece: http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/scouting-astros-call-up-alex-bregman/
Dahl callup piece has been filed and is just waiting for editing. Same goes for the reports on the Cubs prospects sent to NYY in the Chapman deal.
Let's answer some questions
Brandon
2:08
Obligatory question of the day. What are the Cubs doing? A lot to give up for a rental closer....
Eric A Longenhagen
2:09
I'm not quite as high on Torres as some, but yes if you're doing value-based analysis he is a lot.
2:10
There's also something to be said for adding the most explosive closer of all time, the best in the game right now, in effort to end a historic drought of winlessness.
If they have a parade, who cares?
Trent
2:10
What are your thoughts on isan Diaz? He now leads the Midwest league in hr's
Eric A Longenhagen
2:11
Scouts who have seen him there love him. Most think he's a 2B but the bat is still enough for him to be an above average everyday guy.
Nick
2:11
Will you being doing a write-up on the guys you saw at the UA game?
Eric A Longenhagen
2:11
Yes, it just got pushed by last night's insanity.
Greg
2:11
I have a guy in my dynasty the continues to neglect his team. We have 11 other teams that put in max effort in season and out season. When should I pull the rip cord? Should I bring his replacement in a week before the trade deadline to better the roster or should we wait? The roster is a tire fire and needs major attention.
Eric A Longenhagen
2:13
Go find Bill Mitchell on Twitter. He's at @billazbbphotog. He's deputy commissioner of my sim league and dealt with this exact thing last year. If you really want my advice well, I'm kind of mean to people in situations like yours.
Andrew
2:13
What do you think of Matt Thaiss so far?
Eric A Longenhagen
2:15
Too early to alter projections on a guy who has only played in 30 games, especially if we're basing our opinions on an advanced college hitter who is hitting in low level ball.
2:16
Thaiss was an analytically friendly pick, but we're talking about a guy who was announced as a catcher and then immediately moved to 1B. He has four homers this year in rookie/low-a ball.
Josh
2:16
Does Anderson Espinoza or Adrian Morejon have a higher ceiling? Thanks
Eric A Longenhagen
2:17
I think Espinoza has a higher ceiling. The stuff is more explosive. Morejon is more about polish.
derek
2:17
Thoughts on a couple young Dodgers prospects, Edwin Rios and yadier Alvarez. Alvarez seems like he could move up the top 100 lists quickly.
Eric A Longenhagen
2:19
I've written a bunch about Alvarez, so go dig that up if you want a full report. In short, he's basically 94-98, touching 100 with ease. Every time I see him the breaking balls are a little different and I think he and LA are trying to find what works best for him yet, but I love him and he will be a top 100 guy for me this offseason.
On Rios...
2:21
Chris Mitchell actually sent me a message yesterday asking about him because KATOH likes him. He's a college draftee raking in the Cal League so take his numbers with a grain of salt. He has big power, plus raw. It's one of those exaggerated, golfy left-handed swings with big time uppercut and a pretty, high finish. His hands are really messy and I can't find anyone (including me) who thinks he's going to be a 50 hit tool guy. He keeps things under control enough that we're not talking about a Carlos Peguero/Juan Francisco type, but this is the kind of bat that absolutely destroys the Cal League.
Matysek
2:22
Any thoughts about the hit/power tools of Christin Stewart, Rhys Hoskins, Rowdy Tellez and Ronald Guzman? Which guy is the first to hit 3rd or 4th in a MLB lineup?
Eric A Longenhagen
2:23
I'd rank them like this by hit/game power combo: Stewart, Guzman, Hoskins, Tellez.
Richard
2:24
Hello, I'm trying to get more into following the lower minors, who are the guys to pay attention to on the AZL Giants team?
Eric A Longenhagen
2:25
Sandro Fabian: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3EgqJoI9nMA (WARNING: Bat flip NSFW)
Bob
2:25
Willie Calhoun has been powering up in AA this year. Thinks it's the league or is this guy for real?
Eric A Longenhagen
2:26
It's plus raw but pull-only and no defensive position. I buy that he hits, though not to the degree he has in the minors, but it's hard to make a total evaluative call when I have no idea where to put him, defensively.
Anthony
2:27
How much of a step back does the Cubs system take after the Montgomery and Chapman trades?
Eric A Longenhagen
2:28
A moderate but not devastating one. Vogelbach had no place on the big league club and it's likely that Torres would not have, either. This is exactly what the farm system is for when you're a contending team. If anything, trading Vogey and Torres while Contreras is set to graduate really just shifts the strength of the farm system to some of the arms, though Happ and Eloy are their best prospects now, in my opinion.
RP
2:29
Is Dylan Cozens an everyday player? I've thrown a Ryan Klesko comp on him.
Eric A Longenhagen
2:30
Been working on writing up the slew of Phillies prospects I've seen lately and started digging into Cozens. He's striking out at a 29% clip this year. Over the last six+ years, I can't find anyone other than Derek Norris who has had a K% above 25% and done anything in the Majors. Nobody.
Floyd
2:31
Do you see Jose De Leon as a #2, a #3 or ...?
Eric A Longenhagen
2:31
Keep going...
Harry Caray's Ghost
2:31
Do you think Dahl is up for good? Or is this just a quick look while the Rockies are using the DH?
Eric A Longenhagen
2:32
Probably depends upon what happens at the deadline with Blackmon and CarGo.
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