Eric Longenhagen Prospect Chat
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Eric A Longenhagen
Dave
2:33
There are a lot of nice OF prospects in baseball right now, most with 4 or 5 tools (Margot, Meadows, Brinson, Dahl, Zimmer, Frazier, to name a few that have 3+ tools). Do you see any as being head-and-shoulders above the others in terms of fantasy impact?
Eric A Longenhagen
2:34
Meadows and Brinson have the highest ceilings. Margot is more glove/contact but there's power in there if he makes some mechanical adjustments. Dahl has pop and it's going to be fun to see how it plays at Coors but I do think he's going to swing and miss. Frazier's probably 55 game power.
Rahul
2:35
So if you were the yankees how would handle the potential log jam of Torres, Mateo and Wade?
Eric A Longenhagen
2:35
Just let them play. These things usually sort themselves out.
Bob
2:36
How has Yusniel Diaz looked so far?
Eric A Longenhagen
2:36
Toolsy but frustrating.
Mike T.
2:37
i's only been about 100 PAs but do you like or not like anything out of Vlad Jr. so far?
Eric A Longenhagen
2:37
Huge effort in the swing, 1B-only body. I'm apprehensive.
Mike_C
2:37
Does Bregman's promotion officially take him off the market, or was he already off limits?
Eric A Longenhagen
2:38
Houston can't really afford to deal away potential All Stars who they'd have under cheap team control for 6 years.
Erik
2:39
It looks like many analysts think that Torres was too much to give up for the Cubs. Does that suggest that the Cubs think Torres isn't as good as the industry thinks he is? Or do analysts just undervalue relievers and overvalue prospects?
Eric A Longenhagen
2:39
Some of the latter and I think we too often refuse to allow context to color our analysis.
Danny
2:39
Does is make more sense now for teams to turn all their fringy hard throwers into relievers right away? Seeing how much they are getting back on the market
Eric A Longenhagen
2:40
Aroldis Chapman is not nor ever was a "fringy hard throwing reliever". He's unlike anything we've ever seen.
Joe
2:40
Who would rather stab in fantasy for a couple years down the road and why: Kyle Lewis, Groome, Aiken, Senzel, Bellinger, or Yohander Mendez? Thanks.
Eric A Longenhagen
2:42
I had Groome atop my draft board this year so he's probably number one, especially considering what just happened to Lewis, who I also love. Mendez and Senzel are probably the next tier down while Bellinger and Aiken bring up the rear. Aiken was reportedly in the upper-80s during his last AZL start. His velo has been ticking down since Extended.
Adam
2:42
It's obviously too soon to call Brady Aiken a bust, but is it too soon to be worried?
Eric A Longenhagen
2:43
I wouldn't fret just yet, he's still basically rehabbing. But if he's 87-91 next spring then yeah, that would feel bad. Everyone is rooting for that kid.
Deeds
2:43
Any early reports on Alec Hansen? Seemed like a great get for the WSox in the 2nd round.
Eric A Longenhagen
2:44
Looks like he's working in a curveball after being primarily FB/SLD in college. I tossed him and other Sox prospects into my Fulmer callup piece, aqui: http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/scouting-carson-fulmer-and-other-white-sox-prospects/
Frankie Fast Hands
2:45
He's old for a prospect, but Yandy Diaz is on a 14 game hitting streak, slashing .473/.544/.673 over that span. Is Juan Uribe's defense that much of an upgrade over Diaz? Or is it purely money and clubhouse chemistry keeping him down?
Eric A Longenhagen
2:46
I just don't believe in Yandy's bat. Too much swing and miss. Good defender, though.
ChopChop
2:46
Can you name the qualified 2B with a higher WRC+ Than Jose Altuve? HINT: his ISO is 70 points higher and I have no idea why.
Eric A Longenhagen
2:47
Is it Murphy? I'm guessing Murphy. Did not expect him to have this kind of season.
Apoplectic in Arvada
2:47
Does Dahl hit for average in the majors, or has his profile become a power/OBP combo long-term?
Eric A Longenhagen
2:48
I'm not sure if I buy into the random uptick in walk rate he's shown this season but I do think you're right about the swing and miss. I think it's more power/speed, sort of a Lite Beer Joc Pederson statistical profile with really good defense.
2:49
And that's not to say I think Dahl will be worse than Pederson, just this profile isn't quite as extreme as Joc's.
Zorak
2:50
Thomas Szapucki seems to be the big bright spot for the Mets' stable of pitcher prospects (not including 2016 draftees). Not a lot seems out there for him outside of Mets blogs, care to offer some thoughts on his potential? Thanks as always!
Eric A Longenhagen
2:52
Someone asked me about Mets arms in maybe my first or second chat and I mentioned Szapucki (self-horn tooting alert). There's plus velo and some feel for spinning a breaking ball (both of which are great starts) but the shape of the breaker is inconsistent and the arm slot is low, which means he's going to need to develop a changeup to offset how early RHHs will see the fastball. He's interesting but a long way off.
ChopChop
2:53
I own Billy McKinney in a dynasty league. Does this trade help me out?
Eric A Longenhagen
2:53
Probably, because of the hitting environment in New York. But I'm down on McKinney as a prospect, in general.
Cutler
2:53
Though he may have a body better suited for football, what do you see out of Brad Zunica?
Eric A Longenhagen
2:54
Yeah you're on it. Huge kid, no physical projection, plus bat speed and future plus raw but lots of swing and miss for me last summer and this spring. 1B only, so i'd like to see more bat to ball.
Homerin Hal Hill
2:55
I saw your earlier write up on Cle farm system (nice job by the way). Do you think that adding a guy or 2 like Yu-Cheng Chang and J. Hillman or even Meija to any trade for Lucroy and Smith would be even for both teams? Thanks
Eric A Longenhagen
2:57
It depends on what's already in the trade, I suppose. Of the guys you mentioned I'd first part with Chang, who I don't think can play SS but can hit.
njs
2:57
how do scouts measure bat speed? is there a place i can go to look up those stats?
Eric A Longenhagen
2:59
Thousands upon thousands of reps, and even still it's hard to evaluate. It's done with the naked-eye, though there is some technology that measures it now at showcases and the like. But on a high school field in rural Georgia? Eyeballs.
Colin
2:59
Hi Eric two questions relating to Cardinals' SS. (1) What kind of production do you see Diaz contributing going forward? (2) Can you give me a comp for Delving Perez? I've heard JJ Hardy, Jose Reyes, Carlos Correa, and Brandon Crawford, but those four are very different players.
Eric A Longenhagen
3:01
When I saw a lot of Aledmys Diaz in the Fall League I thought he wasn't quite good enough for SS (at least for me) and that the swing was geared to heavily for line drives that he'd have a hard time hitting for enough power to profile at third. I considered him a utility type or low-end regular at either second or third and am still skeptical that what we've seen from him this year is sustainable. Of course, Cardinals prospects have made all of us look bad before.
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