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Eric Longenhagen Prospects Chat
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Rebel IPA
1:59
Sal Romano and Jayson Aquino have had great STs so far. Who do you see having a bigger impact moving forward?
Eric A Longenhagen
2:00
Romano has better stuff, Aquino is really fun to watch junk=ball his way into outs, though.
Cameron Dave
2:00
I've seen it said that Robles is a potential 5 tool player. What are the chances that he develops enough power? It sounds more likely that he's a leadoff or #2 hitter.
Eric A Longenhagen
2:00
Around 40%?
Alex
2:01
How does Otani compare to Darvish or Tanaka when they came over?
Eric A Longenhagen
2:01
Definitely a better prospect than Tanaka, would have to sit and ponder about Darvish.
Larry
2:02
How is Gio Gonzalez for a Sean Newcomb comp?
Eric A Longenhagen
2:02
I get what you're going for but Gio was in the big leagues at 22.
Gest
2:02
Who's better today, benintendi or yelich?
Eric A Longenhagen
2:02
Yelich
Cool guy
2:03
Gut feeling on a non top 100 guy who you think could jump into top ~25 next year?
Eric A Longenhagen
2:03
If I thought someone had that leap in them he'd be on the list
Connor
2:03
What is the ceiling in Tyler Beede?
Eric A Longenhagen
2:04
Realistically, a #3 or a #3/4 (a 60 or 55 on the scale)
Erik
2:04
I haven't played basebal in 6 years and am now thoroughly unathletic. Would I get 20 grades for everything, or do I break the scale and get zeros or even negative grades?
Eric A Longenhagen
2:04
Deuces
Erik
2:04
You mentioned Otani would be a 70-FV and your top prospect, but then you only talked about his arm. Is he a 70 as a pitcher alone, or is he a 70 as a bat and arm combined? What grade would he get as only a hitter?
Eric A Longenhagen
2:05
Have heard as much a 70 o nthe raw power from the left side but 55s and 60s on the raw in general. I wouldn't eff with an arm like this by asking him to do anything more than pinch hit here and there but that's just me.
2:06
And if the kid wants to hit more than that in MLB and not allowing him to do so is the only thing preventing a deal, I'd say "yes, Shohei, where in the lineup would you like to hit?"
Matt
2:07
Maybe I just can't find it, but can you try to get hard links to your team-wise and top 100 prospect writeups somewhere in the nav bar? Seems useful.
Eric A Longenhagen
2:08
I've asked but was told it would take a significant overhaul, sorry.
SWFC
2:08
Who do you see as being the most productive major leaguer - Christian Pache, Andrew Stevenson or Dustin Fowler?
Eric A Longenhagen
2:08
I think Fowler is the safest bet but Pache has the highest ceiling.
Matt
2:08
Kyle Higa...Higa...He Gonna hit the snot out of the ball. Do you see him being a solid major-league BUC? Anything more? Cervelli seemed like a borderline starter to me, and the Bucs obviously favored him as a starter.
Eric A Longenhagen
2:09
I'm with you. The arm strength is an issue but the receiving is fine and yes, there's power there that is rare for a catcher.
Sonny
2:09
The 2017 is short on 65+ FV prospects, does the current # seem low bc of how many high high ceiling guys have come up lately or is it a correction to historical norms?
Eric A Longenhagen
2:10
I think it's just because a lot of them have graduated and we were close to having several others from this top 100 lose rookie eligibility last year as well.
Jerry
2:10
Does Cal Quantrill merit more Slider projection than you've indicated, given that he's still coming off TJ, and the arm action and delivery are solid?
Eric A Longenhagen
2:10
Depends on the scout you talk to but, generally, breaking balls are considered less projectable and more innate than changeups. It's either there or it isn't.
Prison Mike
2:12
Do you think your lack of experience, in comparison to prospect writers at BA and MLB, works against you when using your opinion on prospects? Or do you think you're basically at the same point as the guys doing this for 10-20 more years than you.
Eric A Longenhagen
2:13
I think it has pros and cons, several of which I've ruminated on but don't have the time or space to illustrate here and probably not the desire, either, because those things are probably best kept in my own head.
Matt
2:14
Remember that other Yoan? Any insight to Yoan Lopez? Seems like his mild-hype has completely died.
Eric A Longenhagen
2:14
He is The Monkey's Paw incarnate.
Steve
2:15
So us readers can tell pretty quickly the difference between the BA and MLB prospect rankings and the garbage put out by BP and all the no-name wannabe sites. You've firmly placed yourself with the BP group.
Eric A Longenhagen
2:16
Internet gonna internet.
Robert
2:16
Did you feel like you had to include a prospect from every team in the 100 or did you expect every team to have a top 100 prospect? I was a little surprised about ARI.
Eric A Longenhagen
2:16
Nah, just happened that way.
Matt
2:17
Your list is bad, and you should feel bad.
Mike
2:17
So as your first year writing a top 100 list on your own, you figured it be a good time to go out on a limb and make all sort of crazy rankings. Smart.
Nick
2:18
Can you go work at BP so Fangraphs can actually hire an experienced prospect guru in here? Thanks
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