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Eric Longenhagen Prospects Chat
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Eric A Longenhagen
12:40
Lol yeah I do. Kristian was immediately exciting because he was built like 17-year-old Julio Jones and looked like he might grow into huge power while staying in CF. His career was derailed by an incident that included a drug-induced psychosis and him punching a cop, then dealing with visa issues as part of the fallout. The time away from baseball was not good for the development of his hitting and he's struggled with strikeouts. We have a 40 on him and think he can still be a par time outfielder, but he'll probably K too much to be a consistently productive player.
Devon
12:40
Jared Grindlinger reclassified for 2026. Where would you slot him on the Board?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:40
I need to update that, he's a first rounder.
Shirtless George Brett
12:41
In the daylight article the main disagreement about Kendry Chourio was his size/delivery. Given that those two things probably aren't likely to change much, what would you need to see from a guy like him to change you view? Or are you just always out on guys with those flags?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:41
I'd wanna see him look like this across 140+ innings and reach Double-A.
Guest
12:42
I hadn't read much about Lantigua for the Mets, but it looks like he had a pretty good debut as an 18 year old in the FCL last year. Is he the kind of guy who could make a decent jump up in the prospect rankings this year?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:43
Not toolsy enough for that, in my opinion. More a skillsy low-variance guy with modest ceiling. Guzman is the guy from the FCL/Low-A group with real ceiling.
Thank you
12:43
Talk to me about Connelly Early and Payton Tolle. Who gets more IP in BOS this year. What do you see from them? Thanks
Eric A Longenhagen
12:44
I'll say Early gets more innings because I think he'll work more efficiently, but Tolle is the one with the dominant weapon in that fastball. Tolle could be like lefty Strider just feasting on heaters.
Wood
12:44
Is Mikaela Shiffrin in contention for GOAT athlete across all sports?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:47
She's in the team photo with Shohei, Myles Garrett, McDavid, Wemby. Mbappe? Who am I missing? IDK if I think A'ja Wilson is on here.
12:48
Alyssa Liu is incredible too, let's let that breath another four years.
JK
12:48
What would you like to see from Luis Hernandez and Josuar Gonzalez this year?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:49
If they both hit their way to San Jose (maybe Josuar will break camp there) that'd be good.
had a scout text me "I'd wager a few sheckles Josuar will be overall no. 1 twelve months from now"
Guest
12:49
When you talk about a player's ceiling, what are the things you see that make you classify a hitter as having a lower ceiling (even if they have produced at lower levels)? What are the biggest areas that give you pause?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:50
How good can a player be if he doesn't have power? Like Adam Frazier and Luis Arraez can only be so good, Jonathan Schoop might not be as productive as they are in a given year but in the season or two that he has 30 homers you would rather have that player.
12:51
Garrett Stubbs has had a nice big league career. There was a certain point when it was unclear whether Dillon Dingler was going to hit at all, but that guy always had the better ceiling because of his size, power, athleticism, etc.
szakyl
12:51
During spring training what's the first thing you see other than "being in the best shape of his life" that tells you this is a prospect to at least circle back on even if the change isn't enough to change your priors just yet?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:52
1) Has there been an obvious physical change
2) Has there been a mechanical change?
12:53
3) Is there suddenly a measurable change in a physical tool, usually at this stage that's just arm strength, for hitters sometimes they'll hit a ball like 3 mph harder tan ever before or are two ticks faster than before, and I pay attention to that, too.
Danny
12:53
Now that you're delving into the Yankees list, is there any hope for their high priced, disappointing so far IFAs (Arias, Mayea, Villorio, Cedeno and Ruben Castillo)?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:54
Villorio is the one of that group I think deserves more runway
Kate
12:54
Is Davalan just too small to get to average pop?  Or is something like that actually possible in a good dev org like LA?  Do you think he has a better chance of that (avg pop) or sticking in CF?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:54
I had a source tell me he had the best measured bat speed in the SEC last year. Freaky little guy, I'd say avg power is in play more than CF fit.
Jake Jortles
12:54
Would you rather have a system with 1 or 2 future stars and a bunch of filler, or a system loaded with potential 2-3 war prospects.
Eric A Longenhagen
12:55
Two and three WAR players are stars, Jortles.
There really isn't such a thing as a system loaded with those guys.
12:56
If you're on a top 100 list we expect you to be a two WAR guy
My number two key stopped working
1345 blerg
Eminor3rd
12:56
From what McGonigle has done in ST, and the clear path to PT at SS specifically (not ideal in the klong-term but maybe not so bad in the short term), are you on board with him breaking camp with the Tigers, or do you think he shouldn't skip AAA?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:56
He makes the team
Kate
12:57
How much do you think Summerhill's injury last year affected his performance?  Could a healthy version look more like a 50?  Reading different reports that seem to disagree whether he's hit over pop of the other way around (though that might be more of an approach thing than a tools thing).
Eric A Longenhagen
12:58
Power-over-hit for me, not a great track record of U of A hitters, Tucson is a launching pad. IDK how I feel about Big Twelve pitching versus PAC and whether that makes his performance more reliable.
Kate
12:58
You've talked about guys who you've judged to just a be "no" in terms of their swing working long-term (e.g., Baez).  Is Quentin Young in this group?  Or have we not seen enough of him to say yet?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:58
His data indicates he's a candidate for that binary "no", freaky size and strength kept me on him enough to 40+ him.
KB
12:59
The most fascinating part about the WBC is we get to see the widest distribution of baseball talent on the field at once. Future hall of famers and JUCO level players facing off with everything in between.
Eric A Longenhagen
1:00
Yeah, I hope pool play is competitive enough to hold peoples' interest. I think riding Olympics into this event is probably good, people have appetite for int'l competition.
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