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FanGraphs 2020 Top 100 Prospects Chat
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Eric A Longenhagen
1:03
he's on the Picks to Click, think he's on next year and I may be a year late
kcbg
1:03
Hi Eric!  As a long-suffering Mariners fan, this list and write-up gives me hope!  Are the M's prospects thriving despite the poor player development or have there been development improvements under Dipoto?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:03
dev has gotten better, especially on the pitching side
Mister Baseball Man
1:03
Mize's splitter is seen as his best pitch by most. What made throw the double plus on the cutter rather than the split?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:05
Splitter usage waned after he returned from injury and the TM data suggests he may have been tinkering with new grips because the spin rate was more variable. I wonder if they think the split contributed to him getting hurt? That's total speculation, all I have is the TM data to base that on.
Cole
1:05
Very surprised to not see Clark Schmidt, do you not see him as a starter?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:06
Dude in his mid-20s with an injury history and a longer, hooking arm action. I 45'd him. He's not far from the list.
Guest
1:06
Julio Rodriguez is definitley the winner of the 2019 picks to click, right?
Eric A Longenhagen
we did really well, i think
Chris
1:07
What is keeping Bubic just outside the top 100? As dominant as anyone last year
Eric A Longenhagen
1:08
heater averaged 90mph, he was a big conference college arm torching A-ball
Dave
1:08
Whats the word count on the top 100+ this year?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:08
no idea, let's see...
1:09
32145
Slurms McKenzie
1:10
Did the Braves hinder Kyle Wright's development path by rushing him to the bigs?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:10
No, I think I was too heavy on him out of the gate because I didn't yet fully grasp how/why fastballs work
Slothrop
1:10
Hey Eric, does being sad ever get in the way of your work? How do you cope
Eric A Longenhagen
1:11
Sure, sometimes, same as everyone else. Writing is hard, it's hard to turn on the faucet whenever you want, especially when you're bummed or pissed about something.
Nathan
1:12
What are expecting out of a guy like victor victor mesa?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:12
he's barely a prospect for me based on the AFL look
Zach
1:12
How has Varsho looked defensively when not playing catcher?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:13
I haven't seen him in LF/CF but I spoke with someone this week who has and said it's good. There's been some 2B speculation, too.
Jason
1:13
How close was George Kirby to making the list this year?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:13
Very, he was in the last dozen cuts or so
Jackie Robinson Cano
1:13
on the back half of the list, you seem to favor high ceiling, high risk younger prospects, as opposed to ones closer to the big leagues. any reason why?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:15
The types of guys who'd grab hold of a job and be a lower-variance 50 sort end up getting shuttled around like Corey Dickerson now. Plus I think the potential of having homegrown, elite talent or talent perceived as elite is really valuable, and Craig's research supports that.
Kai
1:15
Would you say Royce Lewis is a 'high variance' guy?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:15
yes
Tim
1:15
I've never heard of Tahnaj Thomas before. Is the industry as high on him as you are? What's his ceiling?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:17
I stuck him back to back with Greene on purpose and there weren't any arguments aside from "it's early"
Lance
1:17
I see you made a note on Patino possibly ending up in the pen. What would you say the percent chance of that is?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:17
Just initially in the bigs, I think he's too athletic and will throw too many strikes to stay there forever.
Matt Klentak
1:18
The Franco "estimated probable FV chart is wild" Have you ever seen another one with 70+ above 50% & bust lower than 10%?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:18
I barely adjusted it away from the baseline. The industry is pretty good at picking the top couple guys.
Sophie C. Hawkins
1:18
Will Francisco Alvarez be top 100 soon if he moves to full season ball and puts up similar numbers to last year?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:18
Yeah, in the end I considered him and Ivan Herrera to be very similar but Herrera is a few levels ahead.
Matt
1:19
This is the highest I've seen Yerry Rodriguez by far. What do you see his upside as, and how much concern is there with the elbow?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:20
Definitely some concern but, again, it's in the report. Up to 98 with plus command, comes in at a tough angle, plus changeup, curveball has plus spin but doesn't look plus to the eye right now. He's 22, if this guy is draft eligible last year, where do you think he goes?
Frank
1:20
How close was Luis Matos? I know he's a 45+
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