You are viewing the chat in desktop mode. Click here to switch to mobile view.
X
FanGraphs 2022 Top 100 Prospects Chat
powered byJotCast
Prev Page View Full Chat Next Page
Eric A Longenhagen
2:08
Ethan Long, Sean McLain, the pitcher who transferred from West Virginia whose name I'm forgetting, Joe Lampe can really run but maybe isn't a prospect. Hunter Haas for next year.
Jacob
2:09
Where would Suzuki be on the list if you were to rank him.
Kevin Goldstein
2:09
This was the subject of much debate, and we'll talk about it on this week's Chin Music.
Jack B
2:11
I know they're very close on the board, but why Mick Abel over Jack Leiter?
Tess Taruskin
2:11
They are indeed very close. But Abel's younger and has a year of professional development under his belt already. Before that was the case, he debuted on the 2021 list way lower (95) than Leiter's ranking on this year's list, which should give a sense for how Leiter is viewed comparatively at the start of his pro career.
Jacques Pederson
2:11
I noticed a prospect's Throw tool doesn't have a current/future designation. Is that because most players don't improve their arms? Or is the throw tool the least important?
Eric A Longenhagen
2:11
A little of both. This is the single hardest tool to source on because there's no guarantee that, if one of us goes to a game, we'll even see a max effort throw, same goes for scouts. I stopped present/future with arm grades because we were basically never projecting on it.
Tom G
2:12
Who is your favorite OOT speedrunner?
Tess Taruskin
2:12
My older brother, but that's biased based on live looks.
Jimmy K
2:15
It is very interesting to me that #33 - 114 are 50 FV. In a sense, definitely not surprising since it is so hard to be major league average. But quite different than past lists. I realize this is unknowable, but if you had to guess at the probabilities...what % on this being the new FG normal (a methodology change) versus what % this merely reflects the player pool in front of y'all (weird graduation stuff etc.) and we'll see more 55 and up grades moving forward? Thanks so much guys.
Eric A Longenhagen
2:15
I addressed this in the intro a little bit. Combo of the lost year, more graduates than usual because of new rules (Nate Pearson, Jose Barrero, Keibert Ruiz all 55s who would've been on here if not for the new rookie eligibility rules, and I might be forgetting a few) or just a down group this year. We can actually quantify the new rookie rule thing, right? We're already talking about 10% of the 55 FV tier and above with just those three guys.
Insert Witty Name Here
2:15
Which top ten prospect could go the Dom Brown route?
Eric A Longenhagen
2:15
Cruz
Mookie The Wookie
2:16
It's okay Eric, I still love Brujan even if you don't anymore.
Eric A Longenhagen
2:16
I still do! It felt horrible seeing how he performed against 93+.
Geoff
2:16
who are the names “industry people” were highest on and why?
Eric A Longenhagen
2:18
Depends on whether you mean scouts or analysts. Analysts: Lodolo too low
Scouts: Priester too low
Fangraphs Reader
2:17
Gore or Whitley?
Kevin Goldstein
2:17
You're the kind of person who puts big bets on single numbers at the roulette table, aren't you?
Elly
2:19
Understand why the swing decisions give people pause, but seems like the easiest thing to coach when combined with the other tools. Or is that a thing that is not as teachable as it seems?
Kevin Goldstein
2:19
Swing decisions are actually insanely hard to change.
Thursten McGregor
2:19
Awesome stuff as always! Where might an interested soul find chase rate for MiLB players (if at all)?
Eric A Longenhagen
2:19
It does not exist publicly, so far as I know. It would be extremely helpful if it were public so we wouldn't have to do so much work just trying to source that data to make decisions.
Kevin Goldstein
2:20
There's reason to believe minor league data will be public in the next few years, and I hope that's true.
BD
2:20
Top 5 just missed?  Thanks for all the hard work to everyone involved!
Eric A Longenhagen
2:20
our bubble at the end was...
hold on i'm opening the doc...
Harris, Jose Salas, Brash, the other Twins arms (Duran and Canterino)
2:21
Michael Harris, not Dustin, though he was on permutations of the list
Jose Ramos, Foscue, Taj, Hancock...
Pepi
2:23
Why is the Diego Cartaya bust so high
Tess Taruskin
2:23
He's only 20, and hasn't seen a ton of playtime yet. There's star potential there, but need more proof of concept at this point.
jas
2:24
How much does a distant ETA affect FV? Is it just more difficult to break the 60 mark?
Eric A Longenhagen
2:24
It impacts it pretty significantly, especially with pitchers. FV tries to weigh both ceiling and risk.
14343
2:26
Off-the-cuff, all-bets-are-off, first answer that comes to mind: Kyler Murray FV right now?
Kevin Goldstein
2:26
40-45? Eric? Tess?
Eric A Longenhagen
2:26
45+
Tess Taruskin
2:26
45
Eric A Longenhagen
2:26
i was all in
Jake
2:26
In your experience, would teams generally take the risk on someone like Elly DLC or the floor on someone like Kwan
Connecting…