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FanGraphs 2022 Top 100 Prospects Chat
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Me
1:51
The Vidal Brujan drop seemed a little far. Are we worried about his path to playing time or the small sample from last year?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:52
I'm worried about his Durham numbers against good velocity.
Joe
1:53
When I open a new tab and type F my browser auto completes to fangraphs.com/prospects/the-board. Not really a question. I just wanted to say thanks for all the great work!
Kevin Goldstein
1:53
This makes us very happy. We're glad people are enjoying the work.
>this guy<
1:54
How far off the list are guys like Bleday and Downs now- and what happened?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:54
We never should have been on Downs. That bat path doesn't work. I don't know how it worked until Triple-A and then suddenly stopped working, but I thought it was weird when he was a prospect and weighed his performance more than my subjective concern. Bleday also has issues getting to stuff on the outer third because of his bat path, which a more experienced me now feels resolve around even though as I was getting a better sense of said issue he was crushing the AFL for six weeks.
matt
1:54
What do you mean when you say a pitcher has good/bad "pitch shape"?
Kevin Goldstein
anonymous
1:56
First off, apreciate all the hard work that goes into these lists. Having said that....While I realize that you guys always must get a million "How come my team's prospect isn't in the top 100?" As a Red Sox fan who is in no way, shape or form a Dodgers fan.... how is Miguel Vargas not in your top 100. The guy just hits and exhibited in-game power? How is his FV still at 45 value?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:56
I have him at 1B and don't think there's enough power to support him being a 50. The gap between Pasquantino being a 50 and Vargas being a 45 is basically their handedness, which is obviously important. Vargas is getting love from pro models because of his age but i don't think he has the body projection of the typical 20/21 year old and that the cement is mostly dry in that regard.
Old Prospector
1:56
Great work! I enjoyed reading the list. Thoughts on Dustin Harris and what keeps him out of the 50 FV ranks?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:57
we like him. also probably 1B, swing decisions aren't great
Rutherford Ke' Hayes
1:57
Any scouts you 3 talk to still mention "how quickly a pitcher works" as a characteristic worthy of consideration? Or more of just a minor differentiator in the event one HAS to decide between 2 prospects who seem otherwise identical? Feels outdated as an eval criterion
Kevin Goldstein
1:57
I'm pretty certain I haven't heard that brought up as a positive or negative for quite some time.
Jake
1:59
Did Camilo Doval miss because he’s a RP or is there something with the stuff that’s concerning?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:59
He graduated from rookie eligibility. His report exists aqui: THE BOARD | Prospects | FanGraphs Baseball
Tom
1:59
Miguel Vargas missed the top 100 despite finding his power last year and crushing AA pitching at age 21. ZiPS projects him as an average big-league regular 3B this year (2.4 WAR at age 22), and Steamer's projections are significantly more optimistic for this year. What am I missing?
Eric A Longenhagen
2:00
I have the guy's airborne max exits velos as 105mph
Atl Braves
2:00
Any thoughts on spencer strider or Bryce elder for the Braves? I thought both had pretty impressive years in the minors last year yet it seems like they are not getting any love from National prospect evaluators.
Kevin Goldstein
2:00
Strider had some consideration. We had questions as to the playability of Elder's fastball.
Jake
2:00
Is Cristian Hernandez someone you could see fly up the list if he gets more consistent/high-level ABs this year?
Tess Taruskin
2:00
The high-level ABs are a big part of it, but mainly not being able to see him play in the states has significantly limited his exposure. If he looks as good in person as he has on paper and by reputation, he could see a big climb.
chilly
2:01
kwan was really a 40run in college?  did he lose weight to jump up to a 60?   how is such witchcraft possible
Eric A Longenhagen
2:01
I've wondered this myself. I would typically see Oregon State each of the first two weekends of the season when Kwan was there, so maybe he just wasn't in mid-season form? Or my stopwatch hand was not? Regardless, he's laying down plus run times now.
Jake
2:02
Would Jake Eder have made the list if he wasn’t injured for the season?
Eric A Longenhagen
2:02
Not for me, though you could argue he belongs next to Lacy. My concerns are that his period of actually viable strike throwing was not all that big relative to his whole life leading up to that point.
Jacob
2:03
Love the work. You guys put Vientos right behind Baty and was wondering if you could elaborate on the differences between the 2 and which bat is better in a vacuum?
Kevin Goldstein
2:03
Baty is the better pure hitter, Vientos has better in-game power.
matt
2:05
Are prospects on the 40-man at a disadvantage if spring training is delayed and condensed?
Eric A Longenhagen
2:05
Ah, that's a good one, hmmmm... I think probably, right? There are some players for whom it won't matter at all and some for which they might have otherwise won a job if they'd started with the other minor leaguers. Imagine being, idk, Jhonkensy Noel, and you're trying to hit well enough to earn an aggressive assignment, but when you arrive all the pitchers you're facing in minor league ST (Noel is probably too young for lots of big league ST, right?) have being throwing for a while and are more game ready than you...
2:06
Conversely older prospects who are forced to play among the big leaguers upon arrival (rather than be part of minor league spring) might have more opportunities to show they belong?
Appa Yip Yip
2:06
Coffee or tea?
Eric A Longenhagen
2:06
Coffee, not close.
Kevin Goldstein
2:07
Coffee. I don't understand tea.
Tess Taruskin
2:07
Depends on my mood, but the key is always to have three beverages on hand: one for energy, one for hydration, one for fun.
Guest
2:07
3 questions in 1. Baz vs G. Rodriquez (Balt) who’s got more upside? What prospects is the closet comps to the great Jose Fernande? Lastly, cj Abrams was hurt last season. Would he be a top 5 prospect if he didn’t get hurt?
Kevin Goldstein
2:07
Rodriguez (that's why he's higher!); Don't force comps; he certainly had the potential to, but he had the potential not to as well.
Matt
2:08
I'm just here to say thanks for all the hard work and the awesome prospect list
Kevin Goldstein
2:08
Thanks for reading! Thanks for supporting FanGraphs (we hope!) Thanks for joining us in the chat!
Tony Plush
2:08
this isn't exactly a top 100 question, but anyone to keep an eye on prospect-wise at Arizona State this year? hoping to catch some games
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